Quote:
Originally Posted by SootedPowa
This whole thing sucks. One thing that online poker does not need at the moment is yet more players being removed from the player pool. I am sincerely hoping something is worked out here otherwise these removals will be to the detriment of everyone connected to this industry. I have been playing online for over a decade and every time a country has been removed from the global pool it has hurt us all considerably.
This is true of course but I am a bit more optimistic over the medium term.
The way I see it developing is that we get two international player pools. There will be the legit main pool of countries where it is legal and or regulated and there will be the grey/black pool.
Sorting these two will take a little while and it may mean a short term hit on the .com pool but I know there are serious talks about reuniting the European pool (Italy, Spain, France) back in to the international pool and with POC tax going on. Having that pool not include Iran, North Korea and a few more - even the Vatican! makes this more likely not less. Similarly for the US market, the option of international pooling only becomes feasible if there is a relatively clean, legal, international pool.
As for the grey/black market..less my concern being UK based but one issue today is the terrible liquidity, if you add Aus, Russia and these tiny jurisdiction to that pool then it becomes if anything more sustainable.
In the longer term still countries like Aus and the US seeing that a viable and far cleaner (better player protection, less cheating, proper regulatory oversight and significant tax revenues) pool is ready and that their players are forced into the untaxed grey/black market with far lower consumer protection and social responsibility will face greater pressure to change their law ad move to the legit international pool.
I expect significant disruption and some pain as this pans out but it is a sign of a maturing market and some real progress not all doom and gloom. (Though I concede I say this from the UK not Aus, Russia, Canada, Norway, Turkey....)