Quote:
Originally Posted by augie_
i laugh every time someone calls bitcoin a good store of value. must be some quality crack you're smoking. i guess people are searching for a reason that bitcoin is valued so high other than the ponzi-esque reasons that obviously forecast a brutal crash.
bitcoin is the most volatile asset on the planet. it's the absolute worst place to put your money as a long term investment. eventually, it will come crashing down like the game of thrones ice wall. almost all of bitcoin's value comes from a bunch of people playing with the numbers trying to skim off the top.
the crash will most likely happen as a result of multiple market movers selling at once and triggering "the great sell-off" which never recovers. additionally, i follow a bunch of people in the bitcoin community on twitter and they're all completely willfully ignorant of US government intervention. bitcoin proponents have a strange religious zealotry that's completely disconnected them from reality. the US government could easily trigger a crash without taking very much action.
anyway, props to WPN! hopefully they are turning and burning most of these coins and hopefully they get out in time when doomsday comes!
First, I have never seen BTC as a good long term store of value, which does not mean it isn't one.Just that I do not look to it for that purpose.
Its utility is clear in any cross-border use case, for single transactions and transmission of value,so let's agree on that point hopefully.
Is holding BTC holding a volatile asset ? Yes. However, the sort of"intervention" you seem to fear is hardly an unrecognized factor, nor will its occurrence be unforeseen if it materializes.
"Ponzi scheme", the buzzword of folks seeking a catch phrase instead of real analysis.You do not seem to grasp that a "ponzi scheme" lacks ANY utility at its heart, the same cannot be accurately said about BTC. Also,a ponzi scheme depends upon a central point of failure and alack of alternative markets for the subject asset.
Can the price of BTC be manipulated ? Not as easily as in the past, when a single purchase or sale of $50,000 USD worth moved the price significantly, regardless of a lack of any motive to do so. . Can naysayers drive down a price short-term, certainly, but less and less so over time ?
Would a US ban on ownership or trading of BTC, however unlikely, drive down the price ? Certainly, but only to a level where buying would take over selling ....Consider the busy fx markets in currency pairs other than the USD, why do you think those markets are active, while you foresee an irreversable BTC price collapse if trading in USD-BTC pairs were to be prohibited ?
Go back to Twitter for your analysis, or your amusement perhaps.