Quote:
Originally Posted by Howard Beale
You've convinced me that you are right that the rake is the number one problem. Question is: What can be done about it? Do you think the sites will finally make the proper adjustments to stay in business or is their business still profitable enough to continue on in this way?
I'll give an example as to what I'm trying to say:
A hypothetical 'Joe's Bar' in Small Town, U.S.A. has 2 tables in the back room that spread 3-6 LHE w/ 10% $4 max rake. Long term nobody can win, at least anything significant, but at least they don't bleed out rapidly and since it's a small stakes game that only gets ~35 hands/hr it's sustainable. There are many such games at Casino Arizona and they've been there for the entire 12 or so years I've been playing there. Short term some players win and and keep coming back and, like most rec regs, they don't keep records and figure that they are up or down a bit. This suits Joe just fine.
So what will happen online if the rake isn't lowered? Do the sites go out of business bec they've grabbed it all or will people still play?
I think you have just asked the million $ question. I think there is a market for too much rake. There will always be a market with rake the way it is. In fact the market will determine this on its own. If the rake stays the way it is, the market will contract (winning players will leave) until the ratio of winners to losers is even so that the winrate for the players is balanced to rake (less people that know what they are doing are playing). At this point new players will come to the game and the wave will go back and forth.
However I also think that the market can be much bigger than it is today if the price is right. If you really think about it, there should be a way for sites to charge lets say 20% of the money that is won. That would still be a lot of money for the service rendered.
Will the market adjust? I am pretty sure eventually it will (but this is just IMHO of course). Its a very new market and the regulators, law makers, providers and players don't understand it yet.
But eventually a smart dude will come and seize the moment. Now that's my belief.
I do believe that the US market is most likely to actually get it. Look at Vegas it has the best rake live already. I just played in Singapore and the rake cap was $50. In EU its like that as well. There its much more about lets take as much as we can get vs. create a win/win situation. The games have stupid rules that slow the game down. They could rake 3 times as much if they would run it like Vegas.
But what can we do:
1. I think the first thing is to educate fellow players (I am trying to do that). Clearly very few understand this problem. The folks in this thread are right that no one cares about rake (its hidden). We need to change that.
2. We need to use tools such is this forum and the PPA to demand in our regulations that the rake cannot distort the game. Like credit cards have a cap on APR we need to cap the rake.
Of course 2. does not work without 1. At this time the PPA does not even know about this, and 95% of players do not understand why online poker is not fun anymore.
Last edited by knircky; 06-03-2013 at 11:49 AM.