Quote:
Originally Posted by TimM
Everything is evidence, especially when you quantify it. Not talking legally here, but scientifically. Feelings like "the winrate is too high" or "that's an odd fold" are reasons for suspicion.
Yeah, this. The results
are evidence.
An extreme (and stylized) hypothetical would be someone offering an even-money bet that he can flip a coin 30 times and get 30 tails. You snap call, only to watch as he pulls off the feat right before your eyes. You may not have any idea how he's doing it, but the outcome by itself would be evidence of shenanigans, simply because it's almost literally a billion-to-one shot.
Of course, what Postle accomplished is not nearly as mathematically improbable, but it was still unlikely enough for knowledgeable poker people to look crook-eyed at it. I say it all the time, it's why experienced poker players are certain he was cheating, and the doubters tend to be either donks or poker muggles.