Quote:
Originally Posted by Eponymous
Fair enough. I was just pointing out that if it were to go to a civil trial, the burden isn't proof beyond a reasonable doubt. All they have to show is that the set of facts presented are more likely explained by him cheating than not. And when you connect the 180 degree difference in how he plays when the phone is in his crotch vs. when it's not, I think a jury would not be swayed by the seeds of doubt that you listed, but it's obviously just conjecture at this point.
It may be that I have more faith in the average intellect of a typical jury than I should. I served on a jury for one civil trial and one criminal trial, and I found the jurors to be quite reasonable on both. Certainly this won't always be the case.
I myself think he is guilty. I wouldn’t feel comfortable at all putting a long-time professional poker player in jail who beat a bunch of donks with look how he played different hands. There is no chance you can explain it this very well to a jury.
This isn’t the same as flipping coins. There are tells and betting patterns. It is a game of skill. He is a skilled player. People do run hot.
Half of poker players blame the dealer for their cards. Very, very superstitious bunch.
He will say he was looking at the delayed stream on his phone to get information on his opponents. Or sports scores.
He has defenders. There is doubt he cheated. Every single hand is explainable though.
You have people in here defending his KK fold. He put the other guy on Aces. Didn’t feel it. Other hand he gambled that they both had non-suited high cards and took a slight risk with his 5-4. Different players.
Someone will claim, rightfully, that he played the cards wrong if he knew the other players’ hole cards. Then you get into he is acting to pretend he doesn’t know their cards. That the pauses are by design. It isn’t going to fly.
They need real evidence. The hope is that they will get in through discovery. The fact that he hasn’t been arrested/charged makes me wonder if they even have anything on him.
Did he possibly pull off the perfect crime in front of the world? No witnesses and nobody can definitively say how he cheated?
Incredible story. It will be interesting to see the turn and river.
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