Quote:
Originally Posted by matt hirschhorn
Agreed, I was curious as to what mike postles true win-rate was, people were saying that it is irrelevant and it does not matter if it's 900bb/100 or 300bb/100. My point was that it's important to understand all the facts, and if his true win-rate is not 900bb/100 that's is something we should figure out. BuT wE kNoW hEs AlReAdY gUiLTy
One thing I think a competent defense might point out is that a winrate in a game like this is an artificial construct.
If I told you "I make 9bb an hour at 1-3 at my local cardroom", you'd basically imagine a game with a $1 small blind, a $3 big blind, and usually a whole bunch of limpers with bad hands. Typical low stakes live game.
But that's not this game at all. Most hands were straddled, most hands were opened for a raise, and many hands were 3-bet light. All of that means that the game plays far far bigger than typical 1-3. And that makes far bigger winrates possible.
(Bear in mind, I don't think it makes Postle's winrate possible, especially given his style of play. But people are saying things like "he made $300,000 in a 1-3 game" without regard for the fact that this was actually a far higher stakes game than typical 1-3.)