I watched the first two streams in their entirety and am about an hour and a half into the 3rd stream.
Let me preface by saying I came in with bias that there was a 1 in a million chance he was innocent, I now think it's about 1 in a trillion.
I wanted to make a spreadsheet with all his river hands. Although I've done this, it's very challenging because he's in and out of God mode throughout the first two videos and very likely for a stretch in the 3rd. It's obvious when his phone is on the rail but not so obvious on hands where we never see him look at his cards and he makes a suboptimal play. I tried to only record the river hands where I thought it was clear he looked at his phone in his lap at some point. There were a few exceptions though.
If you don't want to read further before this gets too long, check out two things that I found incredibly suspicious and I don't think either have been posted:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WaWPHGvuqDg
This is 1:54:20 of the 2nd suspected stream he was cheating. These were my thoughts watching it:
"At 1:54:20 is one of the most suspicious things I've seen through the first two streams. He'd just finished eating something and his phone is in his pocket to start the hand. Someone opens for $26, Mike calls for $23 from the small blind and then hurriedly grabs his phone out of his pocket, pushes a button, and puts it in his lap as the flop is being dealt. You can see the chair going back at 1:54:50 as he's starting to look down and it cuts out (it's not clear if he sees his phone). The timing here is incredibly suspicious, what would prompt someone to grab their phone and place it between their legs right after being dealt TT in a heads up pot?"
2nd suspicious thing (to me at least):
25:20 of his 3rd session.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_eYbMfvswe4
This isn't verified as a session of him being in God mode but I can say with virtual certainty he is in it for the vast majority of what I've watched.
Here were my thoughts watching: I'm not sure if he thinks he's off camera but can clearly see him grab his hat and look down. He then picks his phone up and looks at it briefly - this is the first time I've ever seen the phone in plain site coming up from the lap during a hand. It's a bomb pot with 8 players so assuming he's seeing hands, there'd be a lot to take in. Mike is in the white shirt/black hat at the bottom left of the screen
----------------------------------------------------------
More thoughts from watching
From about the 2 hour mark on of the first presumed God session, he's fidgeting with his phone, looking around, leaving the table etc. This actually continues into the second session as well. He looks very uncomfortable and awkward in a lot of spots. Distressed almost.
He stood up or left the table 11 times in the 1st stream, 10 times in the second stream. So far only once in the 3rd stream about 1.5 hours in.
In the 2nd stream, he changed the position of his chip stack. There were about a dozen times in the first stream, he was trying to look down but couldn't see his phone.
In the 3rd stream, he's changed his body positioning\body language. He's still sitting with the phone in his lap (much more than the first two streams), but now he almost always has his left arm covering his lap when in God Mode. He slides his arm slightly up when against one or two opponents. When against many opponents, he slides his arm much further up while looking down. And once (linked above), in an 8 way pot, he just picks his phone up and looks at it quickly midhand.
---------------------------------------------
A few general thoughts (there's a whole lot more of everything in the spreadsheet)
I think it's going to be extremely difficult to prove he's guilty through his poker actions. He's not always in God mode. Sometimes he's eating, sometimes he puts his phone on the table, sometimes he just doesn't seem to look down. There's a strong correlation between his mistakes and these periods but very difficult to prove imo.
Many of the river decisions are subjective and there aren't clear right answers. Should he go for value with 2nd pair or induce a bluff? Should he bet or try to check/raise? etc. etc.
Also I don't underestimate him at all. He's smart enough to know it can't be completely blatant so there were a couple spots where it felt like to me, he was just doing what he had to do despite knowing he'd be making a "mistake".
This is going to skew any river stats. I will say, I've yet to see a single hand where he's called a river bet and lost though. It's still a small sample but could be significant evidence over a bigger sample if it holds up.
Last thought:
There were several instances where Stones messed up the pot. Some got corrected some didn't. In one case, they awarded the pot to the wrong player (on the graphics) and I didn't see the chip stacks adjust at least for a few hands - I lost track after that. I have no clue if rake is being accounted for either.
I don't think they are far off (and mistakes should go either way) but they are not accurate either.
Here's the spreadsheet, Time permitting this week, I'll go through a few more streams.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing