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Originally Posted by #1PEN
Hey guys, first time posting here in about 10 years. Mind is blown. Been playing poker for 15 years and haven't seen anything quite like this, well maybe pottripper. Can't believe I'm comparing GTO with CTO (crotch theory optimal aka what's the best line when my opponent's hole cards are in my crotch). I've invested 50+ hours into this so I'm pretty well informed.
I was watching Joey Ingram's stream last night until 3am, then woken up by the lead investigator in the criminal case at 8am. I've been in contact with them the last few days, mostly relaying a lot of the videos and posts here to them. Great job by the entire poker community minus Matasow on putting this whole case together. As of this morning, Postle has not been arrested. The investigating team still doesn't have all the evidence for criminal conviction although I sent them the 6 minute Berkey video + 33 minute GUMPNSTEIN video + blue phone screen shot all this morning, so we'll see if that changes anything.
We all know Postle is cheating, but we need 100% proof. I dissected the only 10-25-50nl game on Stones Live Poker today. Last night I had it playing while watching Ingram's stream and didn't think he was in God mode at all, but after dissecting it today, he's in God mode but only after 3:31:00. First hand in God mode is AQ. Sorry for being off about that in the chat last night. Crazy to watch though. He's almost for sure not in God mode and crushing the game the first 3 and a half hours, then decides to flip the switch. Also there's a guy standing behind him from 2:32:40 until 3:26:00, he tries to go into God mode at 3:26:29, but realizes the guy is still standing beside him, so it would look fishy, so he gets up, walks around, misses a hand, comes back and the guy isn't standing behind him any more and he's almost 100% in God mode for the next 45 minutes. Plays completely different than the first 3 and a half hours, lots of crotch staring. I'm sure there are other examples of this, but after watching this, its safe to assume that he's always switching back and forth between playing legit and God mode, it's not a consistent thing. Also when he's not in God mode, he's still pretty damn good. He plays a few strange hand like the 45 v Ac9c, QJ v QT, and open folds A8o on the button in the last 30 minutes of the stream. Its tough to determine if he's in God mode in these hands, or if he's content with running $5k up to $26k and doesn't want to make it any more obvious, puke. The reason why I was so curious about this stream is because it was after allegations were made, cell phones were banned and it said God mode on the spreadsheet you guys made, with hours of him clearly not being in God mode. I thought Stones and Postle might have tried to play clean on this stream, but nope, just a 3 and a half hour set up winning 10k on top of the 10k he was already up.
Also I think it's worth noting his play against "Augie" after watching this stream. This is pure speculation and I have no proof other than the way they play a few hands, its just weird. The 65 v TT, A4 v KT, AQ v J9, its all just really really weird, could be nothing, but worth noting. If anyone can confirm or deny this, LMK.
What the investigating team and I (can't believe I'm going to this length of investigation) are mostly looking for is proof of other stones employees in connection with Postle and more proof with the cell phone. Just encouraging you all to continue to work on this for criminal conviction. He (and connected stones employees) really deserves to be in jail for this and its nice to see so many people wanting to keep the game clean as you all have shown! If you want to contact me directly please PM me on twitter @PeterNeffPoker and please let me know if there is any new evidence I should look at, thanks! -Peter Neff
This is Augie.
I already responded you privately, but I'm just going to do it here as well, just to dissuade anyone from wasting time looking at me as a possible suspect. I did not know he was cheating and would never in a million years think to cheat myself.
The rationale for the weird lines I took?
65 vs. TT - He calls uber wide pre. Once he calls my flop bet on a 854r board, then donks the turn when an A hits I honestly feel like I'm behind 2p+, probably worse. If I flat turn, then I have an SPR of 1.3ish on the river, and I know he's capable of overbet jamming. I really didn't want to be in that situation.
A4 vs KT - I put a small 3b in (too small looking back), and completely brick. I had seen him be very sticky, and I didn't want to start building a big pot, with K high on a monotone board.
AQ va J9 - Okay preflop I open limp because I don't want to get 3B and have to fold. I'm very happy taking J9s to a single bet flop. Flop, I figure he's c-betting wide, and decide to apply pressure, he calls I'm not happy, but whatever I've seen him float bottom pair in the past. Once I spike the J and get checked to, I honestly feel I have the best hand. When he check-raise rips, I figure he has minimal showdown value and is trying to end this now, so I snap. And I was wrong.
So there you go. Take what you want from that. I'm happy to help in any way if anyone has other questions.
Just to add, there was one other hand that hasn't been mentioned that he plays with Berkey that I find interesting. It's the KK vs. AQ hand, where he check calls the whole way on a pretty safe board. Can't remember the time stamp, I have it annotated elsewhere.