you can't pick 100 players that will cash 1.5x. I was laughed off twitter (and maybe here) when i first offered it but i have literally NEVER LOST (and printed mountains of money). I was the first to blow up the idea that you should be paying markup to "tournament pros". Now advantage play crushers on twitter were talking this bet hand over fist. hahahahahah. oh how things change!!! (except listening to limon, that never changes)

I’m dense but what’s the bet?

you can't pick 100 players that will cash for 1.5x! thats it! line up all the ballers selling at 1.5 or 2.0 or whatever and ill book it!

I hope when I'm 60 something I still feel the need to hop on an internet forum and make a thread congratulating myself for being right about something.

So what you're saying is 'you can't pick 100 players in the Main Event that will cash for an aggregate of $1.5 million or more??
Is that it ?

You're the man limon!


I'm sure we share similar views on most of these grifters in general on social media pretending to be poker pros.

It's astonishing not just at the markup people who aren't even good will sell for in the main, but even in in other events i've seen 1.3-1.5 from tons of players which is a joke.
Anyone worth 1.5 in some 2500 isn't selling for a 2500.

1.5 million profit. ya. thats it! or any large field tournament. maybe any tournament period, ive only taken ME bets for the last 8 years (- covid year)

they are grifters but i guess a sucker is born every day so all those idiots selling and paying deserve each other.

Oh if I do the work and find every single one that I can selling for 1.5 or above just put them all down and hope to hit a 100?

just take the top 100 players in the world genius. i dont give a ****.

So I need to go 100 for 100?

no you need to go 1000/100

Lol I told you I was stupid in post 2, now what’s this bet again?

Ok this guy explained better

Well 1.5 million profit is 2.5X, not 1.5X, with X being the buy-in of $10,000 for 100 people.
X = $1,000,000, if you want a $1.5 million dollar profit, thats 2.5X.

This dumb fook doesn’t know how to market his product

AKTUALLY.gif

I doubt someone could pick 1.5X, never mind 2.5X.

I’m probably going to book this and win it next year

but they will sure sell at 1.5x!!!!

i mean timex pretty much proved people selling for markups was absurd with his bank of timex stunt.

and yet i still make all the profit. hahahahahahhahahahahahaha

The 1.5 markup is still fine and totally reasonable over the long run . There are tons of players who can reasonably charge 1.5x markup and even more. The bet itself, however is a suckers bet. The vast majority of the time your 100 picks won't cash for more than $1.5MM in a single year and you lose the bet. And when one of them does hit it big you only double your money.

Let's look at an example:

Let's say you bet $1,000 and pick 100 players to cash for over $1.5 million. Over the first 9 years your players only cash for $1.2 million each year. But in the 10th year one of your players binks it big and combined your horses cash for $6 million.

Well in this scenario you lose the first 9 bets and are down $9,000. You win the last one but ultimately its only good for $1,000 and you wind up down $8,000.

However, if we were simply staking the players each year we would be up very big overall. The first 9 years we lost $300,000 or $2,700,000 total, but the final year we profited $4,500,000. For a combined total profit over the 10 years of $1,800,000.

i proved it in 2015 and up to current day. documented.

That is true.