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***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** ***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge***
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08-17-2010 , 03:45 PM
#701
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in before the third discussion of how odds and variance work once this page ends and everyone forgets it was already covered
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 03:45 PM
#702
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FabledHero
J Fact is in HU over 50k hand sample, your range of winrate is roughly + or - 8.5BB/100.
That really depends on what your standard deviation is. The range would vary a lot depending on your style.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 03:49 PM
#703
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gaurangpatel
has anyone here saying 50k hands heads up vs 1 player is not alot actually played 50k hands vs 1 player or anywhere close?
What's your point? Standard deviation magically drops to 1/10th after you have played 15k hands so any statistics don't apply anymore? It might effect their edges a lot when they play that many hands, but that doesn't remove the variance. There is a lot of variance simulation softwares online, just pick some and try it with 2bb/100, 50k hands and high standard deviation and you'll notice that the underdog wins way more often than you would've thought.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 03:50 PM
#704
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FabledHero
No my argument is you need a 3BB/100 edge to be a 2-1 favorite over 50k hands, this is a fact.
lol you're a ******, plz proof your fact mkay?
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 03:51 PM
#705
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FabledHero
No my argument is you need a 3BB/100 edge to be a 2-1 favorite over 50k hands, this is a fact.
explain please, i really think this is not true, bases on what my brain thinks.

i guess you have a mathematical basis for your comment.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 03:51 PM
#706
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FatalError
decided i'm taking inf action on tom at even money

for any bet 200$ or over, pm me that you are booked for an amount and ship to fatalerror on stars (las vegas) or on tilt (afro/l) and you are booked (unless i know you well IRL)

if you don't know who i am and google isn't enough tom and others have vouched for me in HSNL swap thread
keep it coming
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 03:56 PM
#707
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sappie22
lol you're a ******, plz proof your fact mkay?
If you weren't a dick head I would. Why should I teach something to you when you just randomly bash me? Forget it.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:02 PM
#708
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this crap is never getting started, this is there jobs and they are not working
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:02 PM
#709
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FabledHero
If you weren't a dick head I would. Why should I teach something to you when you just randomly bash me? Forget it.
uhoh, i'm really missing out on something here, guess I could've learned a lot from your probable ingenius math
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:07 PM
#710
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sappie22
uhoh, i'm really missing out on something here, guess I could've learned a lot from your probable ingenius math
Yeah I doubt you're missing out on anything, to miss out on it would require the ability to understand it, thus to provide a foundation for it.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:08 PM
#711
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FatalError
keep it coming
we send you 200 bucks if we want to bet on tom to win? or the other way around
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:13 PM
#712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FabledHero
Yeah I doubt you're missing out on anything, to miss out on it would require the ability to understand it, thus to provide a foundation for it.
I'd like to hear. Could you explain? (via pm if you want)
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08-17-2010 , 04:16 PM
#713
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When is this starting?

Im like a little kid waiting for X-mas.
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08-17-2010 , 04:33 PM
#714
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Anybody willing to give me odds that Durrrr wins by over 1$million
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08-17-2010 , 04:38 PM
#715
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gaurangpatel
has anyone here saying 50k hands heads up vs 1 player is not alot actually played 50k hands vs 1 player or anywhere close?
i think cts said that and has probably played 50K HU hands vs someone.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:40 PM
#716
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who takes action here? i want to bet on Tom Dwan as stated before. $1000 or $2000
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08-17-2010 , 04:42 PM
#717
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Quote:
Originally Posted by apetilt
who takes action here? i want to bet on Tom Dwan as stated before. $1000 or $2000
I will take 1K of action at 1.1:1
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 04:50 PM
#718
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new update for tilt.....




no new durrrr challenge tables
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08-17-2010 , 04:54 PM
#719
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matt Probability
I will take 1K of action at 1.1:1
PM sent
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08-17-2010 , 05:04 PM
#720
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Im working offshore atm, going home on thursday, but can ship to anyone reliable or escrow. I want durrr's side. 1:1. Will reply back prob same time tomorrow, off to work now.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 05:13 PM
#721
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gaurangpatel
from all these stats flying around seems like these guys are idiots for playing each other and should just stick to making videos
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08-17-2010 , 05:15 PM
#722
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RadioActive1
new update for tilt.....

no new durrrr challenge tables
Those can be made pretty quickly I think. Back when durrrr was playing martonas HU he asked support or something for new tables and he got them in like 15 min or something. He wasnt even pro back then. So if jungle and tom feel like playing it doesn't really matter if the tables are there
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 06:38 PM
#723
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who has the sample variance (or standard deviation) in bb/100 for hu nlhe? i dont play hunl. just wondering.
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08-17-2010 , 06:42 PM
#724
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RadioActive1
new update for tilt.....




no new durrrr challenge tables
Update clearly not required to add tables...
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
08-17-2010 , 06:56 PM
#725
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matt Probability
i think cts said that and has probably played 50K HU hands vs someone.
A previously rich man must now be substantially poorer.
***It's Official: Jungleman IS playing the Durrrr Challenge*** Quote
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