Quote:
Originally Posted by rdedrde1
Hey Paint
Because you are in the mode of transparency can you break down these numbers accurately please?
I appreciate you have made things pretty clear but I have followed the story closely and I can see you have used the $100k figure and want to have a look at the exact numbers the challenge cost you for my own summary of the whole issue.
Thanks
So the actual total loss on the challenge was about three months of my time and just over $30,000.
$10,000 sidebet
$19,500 personally refunded DQ bets
>$1000 rake
The loss because of arbitration decision was
$44,800 refunded to Brandon
$25,000 refunded on xbooks
I was owed money at the time of arbitration, as all my xbooks were underwater including with Brandon
Brandon owed me just over $3,000
Other bets I was owed approx $8,000
This money was all in escrow, but I consider it to have been lost as a result of arb
EV is more vague, I probably had an edge in the challenge but it's difficult to calculate. The sidebet, however, would've almost certainly gone my way had we played to a conclusion, which itself was a 20k swing (10k from each).
All in all, I think the 100k+ number is a fair analysis, but an exact number is hard to come by and somewhat up to interpretation.