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Harrah's is in trouble... Harrah's is in trouble...

07-23-2010 , 04:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Albino Lord
The mafia would have never had this problem. Perhaps Harrahs should hire them as consultants. Never mind, they can't afford it.
the furnishings would be really tacky though
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07-23-2010 , 04:33 PM
Which Vegas hotel is the best?
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07-23-2010 , 04:36 PM
Paulson in the drivers seat? Well, at least thats his normal gig before he made it big with the real estate tank.
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07-23-2010 , 05:37 PM
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Originally Posted by brocksavage1
This is old news. Anybody paying attention could see this coming over a year ago. MGM Mirage and Harrah's both mis-managed their balance sheets and over-leveraged themselves. City Center is a goddamn nightmare for MGM and added 4800 rooms to the Strip when occupancy is well under 90%. Harrah's is owned by a private equity firm, which probably has less than 20% equity invested in the business. Apollo has a well documented history of aggressively taking cash out of their investments through dividends or dividend recaps, so it's not really surprising that they would be aggressively trying to grow the business instead of paying down debt. Gambling revenue on the Strip is down over 10%, which has never happened during previous recessions. It's going to take awhile for Vegas to recover, but I think it likely will - just a question of when.

Steve Wynn has done a much better job of managing risk during the current downturn and is poised to expand in Asia. Things got pretty dicey for Las Vegas Sands, but they were able to pull through and their Asian properites are doing well.
I wish I had saved the ridiculous quote I read quite a while back from one of the guys in the Apollo Group about their takeover of Harrah's. He was saying that they had run their numbers for different projections of the economy and that the current (at the time) economic conditions were worse than their worst-case scenario. It was pretty clear from that statement that the intellectual firepower running Harrah's had not been upgraded.
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07-23-2010 , 05:44 PM
Maybe if they ask real nice they could move the WSOP back to the Horseshoe.
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07-23-2010 , 06:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Flip-Flop
Which Vegas hotel is the best?
Holiday Inn or Motel 6.
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07-23-2010 , 07:09 PM
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Originally Posted by NoahSD
Running a restaurant should be an easy game too, I guess. It's hard to lose money when people give you money for food! And you always know how much money they're gonna give you for each meal!

Did you consider that some of the stuff in casinos costs the casino money. Like all those people with name tags, for example, or the gigantic buildings in the middle of the desert that need to be air conditioned and supplied with food (including sea food somehow...), or the interest on all the loans that they had to take out to build gigantic fancy buildings in the middle of the desert.
Are you serious - your comparing the restaraunt business to casino? You really think the cost of a meal at a restaraunt is fixed? Please - have you ever followed the commodity markets sir? Everything from corn to beef to whatever the *** they are selling - the price of all these things is fluctuating daily.

If i go to the casino to play blackjack they ****ing know exactly how much they are going to make. Easy game - I bet x amt of dollars and they win y amt of dollars everytime.

There problem isnt prices and income - there problem is them over extending themselves constantly
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07-23-2010 , 07:35 PM
excuse my ignorance if it is obvious, but how can they predict the number of people traveling to vegas and how much money they will have in their pockets? obv they can predict but they also do that in the restaurant business, no?
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07-23-2010 , 08:22 PM
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Originally Posted by equalsfour?
excuse my ignorance if it is obvious, but how can they predict the number of people traveling to vegas and how much money they will have in their pockets? obv they can predict but they also do that in the restaurant business, no?
All predictions are made by relying on the previous data. I'm sure that they look at each day/weekend and compare it with the past 5 to 10 years and make a prediction.
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07-23-2010 , 08:26 PM
Harrah's hasn't built a new hotel in Vegas in well over a decade. They just buy up new properties.

In fact, they just bought Planet Hollywood from their owners.

This is why the Rio is always rumored to be on the block because they need to finance their debt.
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07-23-2010 , 08:27 PM
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Originally Posted by Barnfather
FWIW, I went over to Vegas for the WSOP (well one week of it) and stayed at Planet Hollywood. The room was pretty good, although all hotel rooms worldwide become dated fast until they are renovated. The maid service was good and have no real complaints. Around the strip, it seemed to be very busy and casinos were buzzing round the clock, as they were a few years ago when I went. I didn't see any massive difference to be honest - there were still hideous queues for the main buffets.
Harrahs has not had enough time yet to thoroughly screw up PlanetHo. It was a Starwood hotel until sometime around the beginning of the year. While it was not an outstanding SPG property, it was still above average IMO.

I was out there twice prior to the reflagging/branding and have not been back since Harrahs took the hotel operations over. Interestingly enough, on the casino side, they made no effort to match the PlanetHo players club members with existing Total Rewards card holders. I now have two TR cards and Harrahs does not seem capable of mergine the accounts...

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Food is priced on a par with pretty much everywhere, although the choice of eateries is bewildering and there are still cheapo places if you look for them.
Unless things really changed since last December, I would concur with that sentiment.

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Its a shame if Harrahs and MGM are having problems. Perhaps the answer is to sell their properties to individual buyers rather than having two or three 'chains' running the whole strip?
yep...monopolies are rarely good for the consumer. In fact, with a wider array of operators, the offer frenzy might even result in MORE people going out there and spending more money than gets spent with just a few major players.
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07-23-2010 , 08:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Soner
All predictions are made by relying on the previous data. I'm sure that they look at each day/weekend and compare it with the past 5 to 10 years and make a prediction.
They also work with the city and convention council so they know well in advance what big events will be driving in people for business / pleasure.
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07-23-2010 , 08:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Soner
All predictions are made by relying on the previous data. I'm sure that they look at each day/weekend and compare it with the past 5 to 10 years and make a prediction.
And then the economy goes south, conventions are scaled back or cancelled, personal gambling budgets are cut in half, and a lot of those predictions based on past numbers start to look a bit optimistic...

http://www.lvrj.com/news/41078067.html
The cancellation of conventions and business meetings has cost local resorts 111,800 guests and 236,700 room nights and untold amounts of casino betting; the $131.6 million figure represents non-gambling spending only.
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07-24-2010 , 04:25 PM
guess harrah's wont survive if we have a double dip recession.
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07-24-2010 , 04:48 PM
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Originally Posted by kennabot
I got a beer from the bar and it was $5 for a bottle of Bud Lite.
Best beer value in Las Vegas during the WSOP was IMHO the draft MGD or ML at Toby Keith's I Love This Bar And Grill in Harrahs, which is/was served 32 oz in a Mason Jar for $4.50.
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07-24-2010 , 05:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Flip-Flop
Which Vegas hotel is the best?
I prefer The Plaza
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07-24-2010 , 05:37 PM
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Originally Posted by Phleggm
Best beer value in Las Vegas during the WSOP was IMHO the draft MGD or ML at Toby Keith's I Love This Bar And Grill in Harrahs, which is/was served 32 oz in a Mason Jar for $4.50.
That's not even in the top 10 best beer deals in LV.

Also that place sucks.
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07-24-2010 , 05:59 PM
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Originally Posted by Jobless23
All of Harrahs properties are basically crap. They deserve to go broke.
this is all that needs to be said. such a poorly run company
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07-24-2010 , 08:05 PM
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Originally Posted by brocksavage1
Also, before we start throwing Harrah's management under the bus it should be noted that Gary Loveman basically created the rewards tracking system (Total Rewards) that targets average gamblers instead of high rollers. Every other strip casino has basically implemented a version of what Loveman came up with.
And thank you for that Harrahs...as just a mid-level table games player and sometimes slot play for entertainment, I have not had to pay for room or food in any town with a Harrahs for several years now.

Throw in many freeroll Tournaments 10K and up (including free room/food for 2 for 3 days) including a Freeroll WSOP ME Seat Tourny several times a year and I think they provide the best value for the non-whale type player.

Even better now that Ballys and others take Rewards Card for Poker.

Of course, I don't go near those silly 6/5 blackjack tables....
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07-24-2010 , 08:12 PM
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Originally Posted by michelle227
Harrahs has not had enough time yet to thoroughly screw up PlanetHo.
Please, they in no way could screw it up anymore than ANY of the previous owners who plopped Casinos on this property. UGH, those guys who put the New Aladdin up were obviously the worst. Never had a chance before the place was even opened.

Some places in LV are just cursed locations!!!

Anything other than a complete closure would be a great improvement
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07-25-2010 , 06:43 AM
I think they need to reorganize their debt and go public. The spending your way out of debt might have worked in a good economy but right now it is hard to convince people to part with their money.
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07-25-2010 , 09:50 AM
no worries Obama will bail them out and give Harrahs to the SEIU as a gift just like he gave GM and Chrysler to the UAW
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07-25-2010 , 10:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GamblingMan
Are you serious - your comparing the restaraunt business to casino? You really think the cost of a meal at a restaraunt is fixed? Please - have you ever followed the commodity markets sir? Everything from corn to beef to whatever the *** they are selling - the price of all these things is fluctuating daily.

If i go to the casino to play blackjack they ****ing know exactly how much they are going to make. Easy game - I bet x amt of dollars and they win y amt of dollars everytime.

There problem isnt prices and income - there problem is them over extending themselves constantly
You're missing NoahSD's point entirely. The profit from a bet isn't bottom line profit. There is a huge fixed monthly expense in keeping a casino operating. You have to have a certain volume of those bets in which "they win y amt of dollars every time" to be profitable. Not until they cover all the fixed expenses do those bets make profits. When there are a lot fewer gamblers, there are a lot lower revenues to cover those expenses that don't decrease much with fewer gamblers.
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07-25-2010 , 06:16 PM
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Originally Posted by ShipDaSherb
"the company’s annual interest burden consumes around 90% of property income"

lolz


"There's no way a smart person can go broke except through borrowed money. All borrowed money does is, it may help you get it a little faster, but it can help you get poorer a whole lot faster."

- Warren Buffett

The problem is if a publicly traded company chooses to be conservative (thereby leaving theoretical profits untapped) they will just be the target of a leveraged buyout by someone who is not conservative.

There are a number of ways in which managers of publicly traded companies are incentivized to make bad race-to-the-bottom decisions.
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07-25-2010 , 07:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eponymous
You're missing NoahSD's point entirely. The profit from a bet isn't bottom line profit. There is a huge fixed monthly expense in keeping a casino operating. You have to have a certain volume of those bets in which "they win y amt of dollars every time" to be profitable. Not until they cover all the fixed expenses do those bets make profits. When there are a lot fewer gamblers, there are a lot lower revenues to cover those expenses that don't decrease much with fewer gamblers.
Which, of course, is the same thing is running a restaurant. You have fixed costs and you know that each customer will net you $X. So, you need Y customers per month. Also, like a restaurant, there is a cost per sale. The more customers come in, the more staff you need to hire, the more chairs you need to replace, the more sheets you need to wash, the more you need to run the effing AC.

I'm hoping that "gambling man" is actually "gambling boy." Either that or "gambling troll." "lol! All they need to do is take people's bets to make money and they can't even do that! LOL! LOL!"

Oh, and restaurants don't need to think about the price of cattle or F.C.O.J. Your food costs sheets might get updated every 3 years or so* IF you even use food cost sheets. Most cooks know ABOUT what a dish costs the restaurant and they are happy enough with that.

*These days there are probably computer systems that link the prices you paid into your food cost sheets so that when the price of flour increases 1 cent per pound, that price change is automatically reflected in your food cost sheet. You know, some fancy Excel stuff.

Food cost sheet = a detailed recipe which is then divided by portions per recipe. A final dish will have a food cost sheet for each component on the plate and an overall food cost sheet. So, your steak w mashed potatoes, Veal suace, and creamed spinach will have a food cost sheet for the mashed potatoes and creamed spinach. Then you'll have the overall dish's food cost sheet which'll look something like this:

8oz filet mignon: $10
6oz Mashed potatoes: $1.60
2oz Veal sauce: $1.05
4oz Creamed spinach: $1.35

Total cost of dish: $14

You then take that number and divide it by your desired food cost % (btwn .25 and .40 with McDonalds being closer to .4 and Craftsteak closer to .25). In our example, we'll go with .28 and charge $50 for this dish. In general, you keep your food cost % uniform across all dishes and may even choose to ditch dishes if you just can't get a good price on it using this method.

Last edited by CardSharpCook; 07-25-2010 at 08:10 PM.
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