no the guy with jacks won the hand. he called T98 on the flop and then the exact rank and suit of the turn and river. so that is 1 in 2000 for the turn and river. not sure of the odds of calling the flop I guess something like 12/48 * 11 / 47 * 10 / 46
not sure of the odds of calling the flop I guess something like 12/48 * 11 / 47 * 10 / 46
Odds of first flop card being one of (10, 9, 8)
12/48
Given that happens, odds of second flop card being one of the two remaining
8/47
Odds of third flop card completing the sequence:
4/46
So (12/48)*(8/47)*(4/46) or 0.370027752% or roughly
1 in 270
Odds of first flop card being one of (10, 9, 8)
12/48
Given that happens, odds of second flop card being one of the two remaining
8/47
Odds of third flop card completing the sequence:
4/46
So (12/48)*(8/47)*(4/46) or 0.370027752% or roughly
1 in 270
There are 4 cards already accounted for (JsJh, AdJc), hence the calculations are for a deck of 48.
I think I see what the discrepancy is. The calculation in this thread is for permutations of 8 9 T flops. The calculation in that blog is for 8 9 T combinations.
No I think Angus has it. This guy solved for 89T rainbow for some reason, but the dude called out 89T. Presumably to give his jacks a bit of a sweat to chop the AJ. Just to make things interesting.
Beautiful. Thanks for posting! Always nice to get a reminder of how extremely unlikely events do in fact happen right in front of us from time to time.
