Quote:
Originally Posted by Fulzgold
what is the average winrate now at say 100NL 6max? assume its 1.0-2.5bb/100? If so, multiply that x4.5 (4.5 regs per table-assuming these are the normal circumstances of play with a standard competition level) gets you 4.5-11.25bb/100 or a median of 7.875bb/100 BALLPARK FIGURE
Do you really think a fish playing HU vs a reg has a smaller loss rate than that? i'd say its at least double depending on how bad he is. Plus way more hands HU per hr, right? (not an expert on hands/hr)
You forgot rake, which is biggest winner.
I'm not sure about 6-max rake, but couple years back when I reviewed it I think it was about same on Stars per player in 6-max and heads-up. Lets assume it still is (you can check from PTR if you have subscription or someone with database can confirm if you don't believe me).
At $1/$2 HU my rake this year has been 5bb/100, so it's 10bb/100 per table. Absolute best bumhunters have historically won 40bb/100, pretty good I would say is around 20bb/100. So if a regular wins at 20bb/100 at $1/$2 HU, fish has to lose 30bb/100 with rake included.
In 6-max at $1/$2, if there are 5 regulars at the table, everyone wins at 2bb/100 and there is 1 fish who has to cover it all, and everyone pays 5bb/100 rake it means that 5 regs win 10bb/100 combined and rake is 30bb/100, so fish has to lose 40bb/100.
And I was generous towards you and gave HU reg pretty good winrate and 6-max regs probably lousy one. Difference is huge for Amaya though - in this HU scenario they make 10bb per 100 hands, in 6-max they make 30bb.