Quote:
Originally Posted by Insider-96
You're a cheerleader. There's a time and a place for that. The time is well past.
The company is 300 million in the glue, some here would argue 450m if you can add. Their banking is gone, and 80% of their market is permanently off limits. How stupid do you think people who can invest 300 million are?
The question now is, what is the brand alone worth. 20 million? 50?
Being positive or negative doesn't change the economics of the situation. This isn't about hoping and praying, its about cold hard cash and whether an investor with $300M+ is willing to invest that in a closed business with serious brand and management issues. Its all good to pontificate this and that, but this business is loaded with issues and its easy for people who dont understand the risks associated with this deal or understanding of the business to think its a home run for some investor, but the reality is that its not that simple. Black Friday was a game changer - it has changed affilate marketing, TV marketing, its affected new player sign ups and total growth, there is so much that has changed its just not a lay up to say that FTP returns and is a successful business again, especially with all the money that will get flushed out on day one by us players. Its really not even clear anymore if FTP as a business is worth anything now - that might sound hard to fathom, but if the business cannot return to profitability then its actually worth zero. We know, everyone who believes in the FTP bull case will cite the old PokerScout numbers and say 'no question FTP can do at least 25%' of its old self - but thats just an assumption at this point, not something you can be 100% sure of given they have been shut down - and therein lies the rub.
Finally, lets remember, that everyone here wants to see all players get paid, regardless of what they believe will happen to FTP, including us, one of the original nay sayers, but that doesn't change the fact its just not, nor ever was, ikely to happen once they got shut down.
As for FTPs statement, this is their chance to say their side of the story without taking responses. Its helps them create
reasonable doubt so that their owners can hopefully fight off their troubles. Its a losing battle though, because the truth just revels all the other lies. Their statement today shows that they could not have been honest with the AGCC (somehow they fooled the AGCC into thinking they were solvent on a monthly basis), that they were not honest with players when they declared on their site that player money was safe and, perhaps most damning of all, it does little to explain why the owners took distributions/dividends while these financial issues were occurring.
Last edited by LedaSon; 08-31-2011 at 04:00 AM.