Quote:
Originally Posted by Giltech
^^ somewhat interesting spot in the video above. If im Connor idk if i can ever find a fold here. What is David repping? Does he ever play a set like this (dont think so)? A9, probably more likely maybe. Dont think we can fold here though, maybe its just me.
Let's see if I learned anything from Doug:
Peters does have full houses/quads, so 7 value combos there. I don't think he ever raises the nut flush for value when the BB has so many full houses, but what do I know. I can't even beat play money, lol.
So let's say Peters has some 10-12 value combos (he might open raise some T8s etc).
So he can bluff something between 5-6 combos for that size. The 2 remaining A8s are great candidates for the reasons on the video, and if he ever has A8o the 2 with the Ah are also great options.
So even if he has only full or better for value the Ad8d bluff is fine. From Drinan perspective he has to call around 40% not be run over so... Assuming he leads anything equal or better than a str8 and has every possible full house but 77:
The hands better than Kh9h correspond to around 40.5% of his betting range. So K9hh is kind of exactly the division between folding and calling, lol.
Great hand.
Disclaimer: I suck and did this using windows calc. Errors both on logic and execution are EXPECTED!