Quote:
Originally Posted by chok1
IM NOT, i am mistaken about saying pretty much guaranteed.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/1..._n_791625.html
This report is very biased. But there was a lot of hope dec. last year that this would get done and reid supposedly had quite a few colleagues to support the bill.
IMO
Hey, I hope I didn't offend you. I thought the "guaranteed" was the key word in that context. And it really wasn't (guaranteed a year ago). Reid met opposition not only from the ~"rest" of the government, but from quite a fraction of the poker community as well (if that counted for anything)...
The reason why I brought it up is that it seems/feels to me that this whole plot has been developing for a reason - there was this ~sudden(?) shift in paradigm from the casino industry regarding online pokers. This shift also hasn't occurred on an empty spot, out of nowhere. I suppose the US Gvt hates the idea of a profitable industry, right under their nose, they have no income from, nor control over. The two forces (casino+~gvt) are interwoven and are fed by each other. Hence the Reid '10 ~"bill", which, I believe, was just something never meant to see the light, but to create the groundwork, a momentum-builder (as it is so fashionable to say nowadays)...
This whole thing is an EV play by the Gvt and therefore the casinos. Things in politics actually happen way before they become public, and "public" is what we, the community, are left with. I think Reid/Kyl coalition was made way before March/April 2011 (when Kyl, famously, agreed to reconsider iPokers). Had the Reid lame duck bill gone on, how much harder would it be for the Gvt to prosecute PS/FTP? How much harder would it be to show and convince the nation that the US really needs regulation, to not let the "terrorists chip-dump $ on PS/FTP", to not let 14-19 y.o.'s max out mommy's credit card? How much harder would it be to get a couple hundred mill off the big two (**** AP/UB)?
The whole thing just fits too perfectly. This is Chess. And really well-played at that… The BF created a huge resonance in the society. The US Gvt keeps the face, authority + $, the casino’s no competition - almost a duopoly. So, again, I am a layman, who knows nothing of politics, economics and its’ undercurrents etc. But this just seems so…