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Computers Conquer Texas Hold'em Poker for First Time Computers Conquer Texas Hold'em Poker for First Time

01-13-2015 , 05:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Hickok
I thought chess has more legal positions than particles in the universe.
No, Wikipedia cites an upper bound of 10^47. The figure you're thinking of is the game-tree complexity.

Last edited by Vempele; 01-13-2015 at 06:17 AM.
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01-13-2015 , 05:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nburch
Something that might not have been really clear is that both games are still using $1 chips, which could certainly be a bit odd in real games. IF you use $1 chips, there are more betting options in $25/$50 than in $1/$2. You can raise to $25, $26, $27, ..., $25000 which is a lot more options that $1, $2, ..., $1000
This might be really naive but why can't we generalize to 1bb intervals?

Sure, maybe a gto optimal betsize in one spot could be exactly 27.5bb but it will be practically the same as 28bb, right?
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01-13-2015 , 08:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by maddog2030
People need to stop comparing the number of states of a game to the number of atoms in the universe.

One random line in an ASCII coded text file has more possible states than the number of atoms in the universe (256^40~10^95). Of course it has fewer possible states than the number of possible states of the universe, by far. In particular it has fewer possible states than the number of possible states of your computer's memory.
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01-13-2015 , 09:49 AM
But we still need multiple atoms per bit of data storage, and the storage requirement is a function of the size of the state space* so it remains a valid comparison.

*Technically you could solve chess with kilobytes if you're only interested in evaluating the starting position, but a full solution would involve storing the best move in every position reachable with at least one side playing perfectly.
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01-13-2015 , 10:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ambientsilence
People need to stop comparing the number of states of a game to the number of atoms in the universe.

One random line in an ASCII coded text file has more possible states than the number of atoms in the universe (256^40~10^95). Of course it has fewer possible states than the number of possible states of the universe, by far. In particular it has fewer possible states than the number of possible states of your computer's memory.
You're reading too much into it. It was just to give a little perspective on the other large numbers, not a comparison between states and atoms.
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01-13-2015 , 11:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CanadaPete
Im sure a programmer could design a real simple bot that could beat any live NL Holdem game (outside of the toughest lineups and beat low stakes online.). Playing a decent strategy along with not tilting or deviating from sound strategies is a big edge even if some of the human players were still better.

it's far different from solving the game but much more realistic in the near term.
there's a thread somewhere on 2p2 about bots on iPoker crushing 1/2 NL.
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01-13-2015 , 11:28 AM
There was a bot ring crushing HS NLHE exposed a couple months back IIRC.
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01-13-2015 , 11:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nburch
Something that might not have been really clear is that both games are still using $1 chips, which could certainly be a bit odd in real games. IF you use $1 chips, there are more betting options in $25/$50 than in $1/$2. You can raise to $25, $26, $27, ..., $25000 which is a lot more options that $1, $2, ..., $1000
Exactly. At least with LHE it's easier because given a minimum stack size it's all the same. Whereas in NL every stack size is a different game. Allowing pennies is a different game. Rake is a different game. Etc.

And many other caveats. This is why I said for entertainment purposes only
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01-13-2015 , 12:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vempele
But we still need multiple atoms per bit of data storage, and the storage requirement is a function of the size of the state space* so it remains a valid comparison.
You can compress the solution. And as you admit yourself, often the vast majority of the state space is irrelevant to finding a solution.

Quote:
*Technically you could solve chess with kilobytes if you're only interested in evaluating the starting position, but a full solution would involve storing the best move in every position reachable with at least one side playing perfectly.
Sure, but that's still many orders of magnitude reduction from looking at every legal position. There are states that are never looked at. Almost all of them in fact.

edti: this seems to be less true for poker, but in poker you have symmetry arguments, effectively reducing the size of the game.
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01-13-2015 , 12:53 PM
Well there are more particles than atoms so yes it does

Sent from my LG-D855 using 2+2 Forums
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01-13-2015 , 01:04 PM
Is this about the new Hellmuth machine at the Bellagio?
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01-13-2015 , 02:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ezdonkey
PS. This probably belongs to that "future of online poker" topic but w/e. Do you know if e.g. Apple tablets work so that iOS can prevent you from running 3rd party software if you're playing PokerStars app? I mean, if that's the case then I think a likely scenario is that in future online poker might be only available on specific devices. I guess it would add longevity for the game as well if usage of real-time huds etc. would be prevented.
Camera + robot arm = still undetectable bot
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01-13-2015 , 02:50 PM
and don't suggest web cams. Not hard to conceal a camera and a computer that tells a human what to do.
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01-13-2015 , 03:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by maddog2030
...Rake is a different game.
Rake doesnt make the game different. It simply makes it less profitable
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01-13-2015 , 03:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
Rake doesnt make the game different. It simply makes it less profitable
It changes starting hand distributions so the strategies at different rake levels should be markedly different for both HUNL and HU Limit.
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01-13-2015 , 04:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
Rake doesnt make the game different. It simply makes it less profitable
Dude, just stop. You are either trolling or dumb. Stop.
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01-13-2015 , 04:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JudgeHoldem1848
It changes starting hand distributions so the strategies at different rake levels should be markedly different for both HUNL and HU Limit.
What? lol. if your strategy is no longer the best with rake increase, then it wasnt the best to begin with. If the government decides to tax your winnings do u need to change it again?! lol

Last edited by Donkem; 01-13-2015 at 04:32 PM.
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01-13-2015 , 04:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
What? lol. if your strategy is no longer the best with rake increase, then it wasnt the best to begin with. If the government decides to tax your winnings do u need to change it again?! lol
Yes.
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01-13-2015 , 06:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JudgeHoldem1848
Yes.
You should play tighter with rake and looser with hourly charge I suspect.

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01-13-2015 , 06:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
What? lol. if your strategy is no longer the best with rake increase, then it wasnt the best to begin with. If the government decides to tax your winnings do u need to change it again?! lol
If the slow pony gets there too late, what do you call the pony who never gets there?
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01-13-2015 , 06:38 PM
Lol just a thought for u guys, this bot cepheus is supposed to play considering no rake right? So basically by saying the FL HU is a different game with rake, you r saying that the bot didnt solve the game. LOL. Well at least we agree on something there.
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01-13-2015 , 06:42 PM
what is the proof that this bot "conquer" limit holdem 1 on 1?
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01-13-2015 , 06:51 PM
The strategy remains almost the same, I do admit Im wrong though, there are specific spots where it will be better to call rather than raise on a cash game, for instance if u r betting for value and u suspect that your opponent has the same hand then it's pointless to raise any further because u r just getting raked. Still this doesnt exactly prove that u should change your strategy, u just get less profitable thats all. This doesnt apply to SNGs though, the best strategy is the best strategy, the money paid in rake or taxes is not directly involved in gameplay there.

Last edited by Donkem; 01-13-2015 at 07:19 PM.
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01-13-2015 , 07:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
Lol just a thought for u guys, this bot cepheus is supposed to play considering no rake right? So basically by saying the FL HU is a different game with rake, you r saying that the bot didnt solve the game. LOL. Well at least we agree on something there.
It essentially solved rakeless HUFLHE at a particular stack size.

Precisely the same CFR method could be used to solve a FLH game with rake or different stack sizes. The resulting hand ranges would be different, but the solution method is identical.

FWIW, optimal pre-flop ranges at 2000NL (with low rake) are markedly different (looser) to pre-flop ranges for 2NL (with high rake).
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01-13-2015 , 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
FWIW, optimal pre-flop ranges at 2000NL (with low rake) are markedly different (looser) to pre-flop ranges for 2NL (with high rake).
A pro is more willing to fold to a cbet than a fish is, so it's not surprising that at lower stakes u get to stack the donks with a tighter range. I really don't see the rake as having a major role on PF ranges, if any. Just my opinion. There's probably not that many donks at 2NL, but still, the field is def weaker.
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