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Computers Conquer Texas Hold'em Poker for First Time Computers Conquer Texas Hold'em Poker for First Time

01-10-2015 , 08:26 PM
I call bs to this. No bot can conquer any form of poker including fixed limit.
Computers Conquer Texas Hold'em Poker for First Time Quote
01-10-2015 , 08:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JudgeHoldem1848
Also this particular strategy should have a signature which probably surpasses fingerprints as a means of positive identification, right? This is just one of perhaps infinite weak GTO solutions, all of them starting at different random points and subject to different developmental vagaries, ultimately taking a shape which is unique to them alone, correct? Why wouldn't Stars and other rooms then just ban this strategy from use? If your play mimics the banned strategy with >95% accuracy or another appropriate threshold then you would be violating the T&C.

This is probably anti-botting 101 stuff but it seems like it might have to be adopted at some point, especially as very strong individual NL and PLO strategies become known. What I may be missing is the extent to which different strategies may resemble one another. But if I am understanding the CFR process correctly the particulars of any two strategies, such as weightings, are very likely to substantially differ at most decision points, at least substantially enough for the strategy to be differentiated from others within a reasonable sample of hands.


So you can play GTO, but you have to derive and implement it yourself imo.
That works until computing power improves 1000 fold and anyone can generate their own GTO (or close) strategy from a random seed strategy.
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01-10-2015 , 08:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
What if i told Dan Bilzerian is a pro? Theres a wide range of people who u can regard as a pro. Regardless, I wanna see an online pro be beat consistently over a large sample by this bot, dont give me opinions.

For instance, if there was someone claiming they had solved NL HU, would u accept it as proof, without having it battling it out against someone say jungleman or ike? NO. U need evidence to make claims.
he is a High stakes HULHE pro lol

go away before you embrass yourself any further
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01-10-2015 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
What if i told Dan Bilzerian is a pro? Theres a wide range of people who u can regard as a pro. Regardless, I wanna see an online pro be beat consistently over a large sample by this bot, dont give me opinions.
That's never going to happen cause unlike you, HS pros are smart enough to understand why this thing is the real deal. All you have to do is read the paper and understand the math and logic.

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For instance, if there was someone claiming they had solved NL HU, would u accept it as proof, without having it battling it out against someone say jungleman or ike? NO. U need evidence to make claims.
They have evidence. Too bad it's beyond your abilities to understand it.

Anyways, I had fund with this but I won't waste more time on you. If you're a troll then well played sir. If not, then I feel sorry for your gene pool.
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01-10-2015 , 08:52 PM
Could a mod please change the title to specify Limit Hold Em?
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01-10-2015 , 08:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TH3CLOWN
I was trying to explain one of the benefits of not capping. So if we do not cap, BB will mostly bet most of his range on the flop maybe up to 95%.

Now because of a non capping strategy we can have all kind of hands . So, if we wait to raise the turn for example with a strong hand, then this will help our weak hands too.



The SB will put in the last raise eventually. So on stars or these bots a cap is SB/Button raises, BB raises, SB raises , BB call.

Say a heads up 5/T game on stars with 2/5 blinds a capped pot is 40
Okay makes sense and ties in with what David S was saying.

If I was playing heads up I think I'd still cap with aces 😀

Sent from my LG-D855 using 2+2 Forums
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01-10-2015 , 09:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolfram
That's never going to happen cause unlike you, HS pros are smart enough to understand why this thing is the real deal. All you have to do is read the paper and understand the math and logic.


They have evidence. Too bad it's beyond your abilities to understand it.

Anyways, I had fund with this but I won't waste more time on you. If you're a troll then well played sir. If not, then I feel sorry for your gene pool.
A match between one or more top pros and this program may happen, perhaps as an exhibition, perhaps for other reasons. Onlookers are likely to question the sample size in such a match.

Certainly top pros will play the program in private.

However, I agree with what I think are your thoughts about Donkem: that he is incorrect in a number of his thoughts as expressed in this forum.
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01-10-2015 , 09:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolfram
They have evidence. Too bad it's beyond your abilities to understand it.

Anyways, I had fund with this but I won't waste more time on you. If you're a troll then well played sir. If not, then I feel sorry for your gene pool.
Im sure this topic will have further developing, will see who's right.
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01-10-2015 , 09:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tenderloinig
Leave NL Alone

What is the point of all this you nerds. You think you are cool because you solved a game? How scientifically useless. Go cure cancer or investigate space. Why accelerate the death of a game millions enjoy and many play for a living.

I sincerely wish you programmers the worst
el oh el poker luddites. Welcome to the 21st century.

Anyways, congratulations on the achievement.
Few questions to the team:

i) Would you regard LHE HU is from here onwards a dead game online? I.e. would you recommend that sites get rid of it because there will be a too significant risk of GTO botting. I read some previous post that "even though there is a solution, it's not useful for real-time play" - I didn't really understand it. Is this really the case? Why is your website processing queries so fast?

ii) I always thought 2-7TD would be solved first, even though there is probably more nodes in that game tree. Maybe a sub solution of 2-7 where one would disregard analyzing further certain "clear-fold" starting hand combos. Do you think 2-7 would be from technical standpoint easy to solve as well, had the AI teams put their effort into it?

iii) When will the bot be back online? I'm very keen on playing it, as I've always regarded my LHE HU game much stronger than NL. I played PokerSnowie a bit - and although a limited sample only - felt like it wasn't that good. Certainly at that time I thought I would not be able to beat players better than me.


If FLHU is truly solved, then RIP woofer & hats off. I guess he was the last guy to be the king of the hill before computers took over.

PS. This probably belongs to that "future of online poker" topic but w/e. Do you know if e.g. Apple tablets work so that iOS can prevent you from running 3rd party software if you're playing PokerStars app? I mean, if that's the case then I think a likely scenario is that in future online poker might be only available on specific devices. I guess it would add longevity for the game as well if usage of real-time huds etc. would be prevented.
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01-10-2015 , 09:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oigres02
So how long until +3handed NLHE 100bb is solved?
I'll happily go on record as saying heads-up NLHE 100b won't be solved in anyone's lifetime. Adding more players won't make that problem easier...

It's an interesting question of how small the stacks would need to be. We could certainly solve a 2 chip game. I need more free time :/
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01-10-2015 , 09:48 PM
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What about real proof? Just because some random nerds at Alberta cant beat this, doesnt mean that 12h/day playing regs cant beat it


Also, I've been consulting for the CPRG and generating samples against their AIs since 2007ish or so. I definitely wouldn't be near the top of the heap anymore, but I imagine I can still play a world class game. The earlier, inferior versions of the AI were starting to edge me out years ago (I never logged any hands against Cepheus because it wasn't useful to do so due to the increasing ease of best-response calculations).
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01-10-2015 , 09:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
What about real proof? Just because some random nerds at Alberta cant beat this, doesnt mean that 12h/day playing regs cant beat it, until this actually beats someone reputable like one of the best fixed limit heads up online specialists u dont have proof of anything
Member of the Flat Earth Society imo. ^^^

The best HULHE players might be able to give the bot a decent run for its money over a small sample size, because edges are really thin and variance is high, but no human on earth can beat this thing over a significant sample size. Depending on how big the bot's edge is, "significant" might be half a million hands or more. Anyone could get lucky and win in the short run. Mathematical proofs need large numbers. The Cepheus team have some very large numbers.
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01-10-2015 , 10:03 PM
I'm sure that this is an extremely stupid question, but here goes:

Is there a reason why this solution couldn't be applied to multi-player fixed limit holdem when you are on BB facing a single raise from a position other than the SB (and it would be headsup pot with only you and the original raiser)?

I'm assuming that there is, as it would be way looser and way more aggressive than the way humans play. But I'm not smart enough to understand the reason without someone pointing it out.
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01-10-2015 , 10:09 PM
The starting hand ranges for the open raise would be different and so everything that follows after that would be different, too.
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01-10-2015 , 10:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ezdonkey
i) Would you regard LHE HU is from here onwards a dead game online? I.e. would you recommend that sites get rid of it because there will be a too significant risk of GTO botting. I read some previous post that "even though there is a solution, it's not useful for real-time play" - I didn't really understand it. Is this really the case? Why is your website processing queries so fast?
We probably didn't help an already-unhealthy online game. I certainly wouldn't recommend sites or players kill the game online because I don't think there will be a real problem, but a) what possibly authority do I have to make that recommendation? b) I could be wrong, and c) at the end of the day, it's all up to what the players want.

I don't think the strategy tool will be a big problem because it's slow: that it's as fast as it is, is a bit of a miracle. It's surprisingly idle: I can watch the back end try serving requests, and it's sitting idle pretty much the entire time I check. If people ever start trying to use it in bulk, they're going to be very disappointed in the response time.

Quote:
ii) I always thought 2-7TD would be solved first, even though there is probably more nodes in that game tree. Maybe a sub solution of 2-7 where one would disregard analyzing further certain "clear-fold" starting hand combos. Do you think 2-7 would be from technical standpoint easy to solve as well, had the AI teams put their effort into it?
I'm not very familiar, so I could be getting something, but it looks a lot bigger. It's generally not very easy to carve of pieces of a poker game and still end up with something where you can provably say you did things right in the full game.

Quote:
iii) When will the bot be back online? I'm very keen on playing it, as I've always regarded my LHE HU game much stronger than NL. I played PokerSnowie a bit - and although a limited sample only - felt like it wasn't that good. Certainly at that time I thought I would not be able to beat players better than me.
No real ETA, sorry. Hopefully Real Soon Now? It was up this morning, ever so briefly, before crashing back down. The guy working on that part has apparently been working on this more or less non-stop since Thursday.


Quote:
PS. This probably belongs to that "future of online poker" topic but w/e. Do you know if e.g. Apple tablets work so that iOS can prevent you from running 3rd party software if you're playing PokerStars app? I mean, if that's the case then I think a likely scenario is that in future online poker might be only available on specific devices. I guess it would add longevity for the game as well if usage of real-time huds etc. would be prevented.
Sorry! I know nothing about the details of iOS tablets.
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01-10-2015 , 10:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by IwillCrushSNGs
Is there a reason why this solution couldn't be applied to multi-player fixed limit holdem when you are on BB facing a single raise from a position other than the SB (and it would be headsup pot with only you and the original raiser)?
Let's say CO raises, the button and SB fold and you are the BB.

To figure out the GTO response for you in this spot you would first need to calculate a GTO strategy for the CO's opening range (I think, not 100% on this).

To do that you would have to first solve a 4 player game.

Last edited by Wolfram; 01-10-2015 at 10:12 PM. Reason: dangit, beaten by the bryce
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01-10-2015 , 10:13 PM
because the first raise isn't heads up
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01-10-2015 , 10:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBryce2

Also, I've been consulting for the CPRG and generating samples against their AIs since 2007ish or so. I definitely wouldn't be near the top of the heap anymore, but I imagine I can still play a world class game. The earlier, inferior versions of the AI were starting to edge me out years ago (I never logged any hands against Cepheus because it wasn't useful to do so due to the increasing ease of best-response calculations).
can you estimate your/someone like you winrate (lossrate I guess) be vs cepheus? If you had a year to train for it how good of a winrate could you get
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01-10-2015 , 10:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by IwillCrushSNGs
I'm sure that this is an extremely stupid question, but here goes:

Is there a reason why this solution couldn't be applied to multi-player fixed limit holdem when you are on BB facing a single raise from a position other than the SB (and it would be headsup pot with only you and the original raiser)?

I'm assuming that there is, as it would be way looser and way more aggressive than the way humans play. But I'm not smart enough to understand the reason without someone pointing it out.
Because they're are two entirely different games.

The range someone should raise varies on based on position. So you can't defend with a static range. Also you're assuming SB folds always so there's an extra SB in the pot that you need to take account for. The solution they have posted now wouldn't apply to LHE HU game where each player posts blinds + an ante of 1/2 SB.
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01-10-2015 , 10:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ezdonkey


If FLHU is truly solved, then RIP woofer & hats off. I guess he was the last guy to be the king of the hill before computers took over.

.
Make the river bet 3 BB instead of 2 and they have to deal another 20 trillion hands.

Put a preflop flop out where those five cards are dead and they have to deal more than 50 quintillion.
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01-10-2015 , 10:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ezdonkey
Also you're assuming SB folds always so there's an extra SB in the pot that you need to take account for. The solution they have posted now wouldn't apply to LHE HU game where each player posts blinds + an ante of 1/2 SB.
You're right, but I assume it would be trivial to adjust the solution to a different blind structure. At worst you could rerun the algorithm with adjusted parameters in the same time it took for the original solution.
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01-10-2015 , 10:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nburch
I don't think the strategy tool will be a big problem because it's slow: that it's as fast as it is, is a bit of a miracle. It's surprisingly idle: I can watch the back end try serving requests, and it's sitting idle pretty much the entire time I check. If people ever start trying to use it in bulk, they're going to be very disappointed in the response time.
So I'm basically querying a supercomputer, no? A one which regular people don't have access to? Could someone grab the source codes and be able to build a similar system which can query the database almost real-time with a moderate investment? (Moderate in this case something in the range of 10-50k?)

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Sorry! I know nothing about the details of iOS tablets.
No worries that question was addressed to poker community at large.
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01-10-2015 , 10:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkem
For instance, if there was someone claiming they had solved NL HU, would u accept it as proof, without having it battling it out against someone say jungleman or ike? NO. U need evidence to make claims.
There are a lot of evidence, you just have to read it. The fact that you bring up NL shows that you know nothing about the math behind a thing like this. NL is magnitudes harder to "solve" than FL.
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01-10-2015 , 10:45 PM
I've absently wondered a few times over the last bunch of years if it would have served poker better for the sites to take more of a 'league play' format rather than the games being static forever. Say there's some site, HUpoker.com, and every year it offers three different HU formats that people can compete at and at the end of the year they go away. These could have been things like Pineapple or other relatively simple variants that would have kept the games fresh, interesting, and competitive. I'm not sure if the culture of poker players at large would have supported this, but if it had become accepted at some point I guess it would have been interesting.
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01-10-2015 , 10:46 PM
No surprises here.

Congrats to the programmers.

NL is next..
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