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Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet)

03-21-2023 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by freedom 35
Have you followed Charlie Carrel over the years? Just because it comes across as unkind doesn't make it untrue. I wouldn't categorize suggesting he will back out as a hate or a huge energy waster either, especially when he has done so multiple times.

Hopefully he gets some action and it happens, but most likely it will not, and he will then go back to his usual antics of posting lunatic takes for shock value, claiming victim, deleting twitter, and months later reactivating it while vowing to save the world. Wash-rinse-repeat.
He is a savant in a number of areas, poker is just one of them.

When someone is a savant you should never be dismissive of them, even if there are some areas in which you disagree with them, because they will often work out things, in poker, and in life itself, that you yourself will either never work out, or will work out, but much, much later than him.

I am not saying he is perfect, he is not and nobody is, but his brain and his being understands some things that 99.999% of the rest of the population doesn't.
I would never underestimate his poker skills either, because you are dealing with someone who has an aptitude that one can't measure in the normal way.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 01:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NikAirballFanClub
He is a savant in a number of areas, poker is just one of them.

When someone is a savant you should never be dismissive of them, even if there are some areas in which you disagree with them, because they will often work out things, in poker, and in life itself, that you yourself will either never work out, or will work out, but much, much later than him.

...
Spoiler:
Quote:
Originally Posted by NikAirballFanClub
...

He was terrible at PLO and there was one pot where he played awfully pre and it cost him most of his stack, seems to have zero understanding of PLO pre flop strat and stack size considerations.
He also made big suicide bluff on the river in PLO, which he got away with fortunately. I think he lost all his money playing PLO, having been up about $30K playing NLHE.

Never play PLO ever again, if you're reading this Charlie. not even 50c/$1! You are terrible at it and it's likely you'll never be good at it. Some player's brains just don't fit PLO, and never will. Doug Polk is another example of this.

...
i believe it's time to add you to the ignore list.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 02:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MastaAces
cliff notes on this? thanks.
Just take a scroll through his feed and will probably come across a few. I'm not saying he backed out of booked challenges, but his routine is to announce a challenge, and never settle on the details or just flat out change the parameters of the bet. Pretty much identical to the one from last few days where he went from saying he would beat it at 30bb, to 15bb, offering 5:1 originally to now 1:1. Here is a screenshot of the usual type announcement:



Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 02:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MastaAces
Spoiler:


i believe it's time to add you to the ignore list.
Well he can't work out PLO, he isn't good at everything, that is how a savant's brain works, they are often terrible at certain things.
Their brilliant at / terrible at graph has a lot of steep peaks and troughs on it.

Your average bod in the population has a pretty flat graph, with a small number of shallow peaks and troughs on it.

Although I'm a big fan of his, as the previous post demonstrates, he has a history of backing out of these challenges. I think he needs to follow through with this one
and not chop and change the parameters, otherwise he will lose credibility.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 02:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RandomLurker
Kind of rooting him because of the meltdown people will have if he manages to beat this.
You think there'll be a meltdown if he achieves it? Give us peace. It'll raise a few eyebrows and nothing more.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 04:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GazzyB123
You think there'll be a meltdown if he achieves it? Give us peace. It'll raise a few eyebrows and nothing more.
Disagree. 2+2 is that hysterical.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 05:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NLBiddy
Disagree. 2+2 is that hysterical.
The world doesn't revolve around Charlie Carrel, Nik Airball or Garret Adelstein. People will post a few times expressing surprise and then move on with their lives.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 06:07 PM
Think I heard him say he has 13k hands already at 13 Biebers so he'd likely include that in the challenge.
You'd have to squeeze that 200 pool dry to eek out 5bb post rake and pre rake back imo

Sent from my XQ-AS52 using Tapatalk
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 07:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dejavudu666
Think I heard him say he has 13k hands already at 13 Biebers so he'd likely include that in the challenge.
You'd have to squeeze that 200 pool dry to eek out 5bb post rake and pre rake back imo

Sent from my XQ-AS52 using Tapatalk
It's post rake and post rake back, as I understand it.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 07:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dejavudu666
Think I heard him say he has 13k hands already at 13 Biebers so he'd likely include that in the challenge.

...
/r/BrandNewSentence
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-21-2023 , 09:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by freedom 35
Just take a scroll through his feed and will probably come across a few. I'm not saying he backed out of booked challenges, but his routine is to announce a challenge, and never settle on the details or just flat out change the parameters of the bet. Pretty much identical to the one from last few days where he went from saying he would beat it at 30bb, to 15bb, offering 5:1 originally to now 1:1. Here is a screenshot of the usual type announcement:




Next year he will come up with another challenge... Probably at NL100.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-22-2023 , 03:42 AM
Toxicity seems to follow Charlie everywhere he goes, really unlucky guy
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
03-22-2023 , 07:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bananasplit
Love to see it
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-02-2023 , 10:02 AM
Meh, Charlie's tweet is pretty much right.

People are bitter and they hate you and get jealous, if you have any kind of success, that they weren't able to achieve themselves.

People love the drunken fool at the bar.

They instantly despise the successful, businessman in the suit.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-02-2023 , 11:10 AM
Yeah, that's why people don't like him
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-08-2023 , 01:36 AM
he seems alright, i dont really know anything about him and had never even heard of him until i stumbled upon this post and did a little research myself.

i guess hes buddies with jungle so he cant be too bad. dont give him too much ****, hes a new father or somethign it seems, got a mf ninja stressed out i guarantee it.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-08-2023 , 06:07 AM
Weak player but good showman. As Uri Peleg said CC is an achiever, (easy to outplay by average NL50 reg), but what he is doing good is exploiting recs and attracting wanna be poker pros to buy his products. He is probably solid winner on 0.1/0.25 (NL25)
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-08-2023 , 08:27 PM


Don't disrespect this poker genius who can outplay a GTO nerd if he has the nuts and a redraw!
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-09-2023 , 05:28 PM

Thoughts, gentlemen?
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-09-2023 , 06:00 PM
Something that everyone attacking him has missed, and I admit I even missed myself until now, although I haven't been attacking him I have been supporting him or saying to people
to view him a special talent that isn't conventional but is still worth listening to and learning from, is that that his Poker Masterclass course is a course specifically aimed at learning how to
beat 2NL through to 25 NL. So for micro through to small stakes,

From: https://charliecarrel.com/poker-masterclass/

"Charlie Carrel’s Poker Masterclass
My premium poker tutorial is a micro-stakes masterclass, moving through 2NL, 5NL, 10NL and 25NL."


Then in the text explaining what the course aims to achieve it says:

"My aim is to show people how to think about poker. There is so much mess in people’s thought processes, from watching so much messy teaching content. My aim is to streamline people’s thought processes, to allow them the mental clarity to dissect any situation that you will come across. In other words, I'm not teaching you *what* to think, I’m teaching you *how* to think. Teach a man to fish."

So he isn't necessarily teaching how to play, he is giving examples of how to play various hands, yes, he is teaching people how to think so that they can work out how to play and win.

So he is being very open that this is not a conventional poker training course, it is teaching some outside of the box ways of thinking and it's helping people to work out for themselves how to think logically and how to use their own brain effectively.

It is therefore not wholly relevant whether he can beat 200z or 500z himself over a decent sample size, because that is not what he is teaching them, he is giving them a training course on how to think about poker. Fwiw, I have followed his career and watched a lot of his content and his main strengths IMO are live reads, player profiling opponents, putting opponents on tight ranges and quite often narrowing their holdings down to one of two specific hands, and his absolute best strength is knowing when and how to apply max pressure on opponents, with the bigger the cash game or the bigger tournament the buy in, the more fearless and the more dangerous he is at doing this.

So the above is why he has a very good record in big buy in tournaments, live and online and why he can often do well in big buy in cash games.

The mid stakes online cash games aren't really his wheelhouse because there are no live reads obviously, and the stakes aren't high enough to apply monetary fear pressure to opponents.

His other skills of putting opponents on hands and player tendency profiling are very useful at mid stakes online cash but less effective if up against a lot of regs who are playing balanced.
I would still make him a slight favourite at 200z and 500z online because his fundamentals are good, if not perfect in those games, and because he has a very good mental game and focus,
but where he really crushes is in the other types of games and tournaments that I described.

He has therefore made a tactical error IMO by trying to defend his position, creditability and honour by making challenges in games that aren't his forte,

He would be better off and be more certain of winning the challenge if he emphasised that he is teaching players how to think about poker in his courses, emphasised the fantastic results that he has had, and challenged some players in a live full ring high stakes cash game or maybe high stakes heads up live cash, or some kind of group of live MTTs challenge.

He is trying to prove himself using the wrong game type to do so with.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-09-2023 , 08:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NikAirballFanClub
the stakes aren't high enough to apply monetary fear pressure to opponents.
Counterpoint: i don't follow him day in day out but his most recent HS game is on coinpoker with Jungleman and TonyG, right? Not exactly a lot of monetary fear pressure going around there.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-09-2023 , 08:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by szander
Counterpoint: i don't follow him day in day out but his most recent HS game is on coinpoker with Jungleman and TonyG, right? Not exactly a lot of monetary fear pressure going around there.

That's not true.

Firstly Jungleman is going to feel some monetary pressure in a 100K or 200K pot, he is not a mega rich businessman.

Secondly, even someone like Tony G who is a mega rich businessman, still recognises that 100K or 200K is a lot of money, even if it's a fraction of his net worth,
so can still be pressurised into folding.

Players, however wealthy they are, still have some sense of the value of the money they are playing for, when the amounts start getting to the equivalent of the cost of a house.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-09-2023 , 10:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by szander

Thoughts, gentlemen?
That he ran hot for 18k hands and then the regs figured him out. Lmao at him cherry picking a 30k hand sample trying to shill his course
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote
04-11-2023 , 04:48 AM
if you have 15bb/100 at sample of 30k hands, its super unlikely you are not a winner.
Can Charlie Carrel beat 500z? (Tweets about prop bet) Quote

      
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