Quote:
Originally Posted by Zima421
So...
Brian started posting on twitter that he was looking for action using the fantasy poker scoring system. He said he would take all bets, so i asked him if he would lay me a price on a friend of mine. I gave him the name and he responded "1.5-1". so, when i saw that, i thought it was a good line (for myself) so booked some action. If Brian was laying 1.5-1, i was thinking of betting a decent amount more (mid 5 figures). one of my friends friend (who happened to see this on twitter) contacted my friend and said something to the effect of "hey, you know who people thinks Hastings is online right? Noel Hayes". after my friend found this out i didnt book any more action because Noel seems to play pretty well in the 8g mix on stars.
Feels kinda ****ty that my friend (also horse of mine) has been playing 8g on stars with Hastings under a different user name and hastings also got a lot of action in these bracelet bets when people didnt know he was playing a ton of mix lately and was in practice. obviously i liked my side of the bet when hastings was supposedly gonna be rusty at mix games and what not, but just feels kinda scummy to me overall. (especially playing vs my horse on a dif name on stars over scoop)
i cant say for 100% certainty that hastings is on the Noel Hayes account, but seems like a ton of people know and he hasnt really denied it or anything...
I want to first say that I am not commenting on the Stinger = NoelHayes thing, because I know absolutely nothing about it besides what has appeared in this thread/twitter.
However, this post by Zima (and some others but picking this one out) is nothing but sour grapes. You do realize that you are literally complaining that you booked a bet based on the information you had, when there was more information out there that would have changed your perception of the EV of your bet. LOL. Welcome to professional gambling and the real world (this happens all the time in financial markets)! Everyone is seeking an edge, and the fact is one person is getting exploited. This time, it was you. You're trying to exploit him being rusty, so why can't he exploit you for assuming you know more than you do? Seems silly and arbitrary to me where you are allowed to try to hustle someone, but they can't do the same to you. Brian didn't offer these bets to lose money or break even.
Unfortunately, there isn't a term sheet that goes into handshake bets or bets "booked" on Twitter that says both parties need to disclose all information about their skills that are relevant to the bet.
There is nothing unfair about betting that you're better at something than someone else thinks you are. In general this is why I don't make bets like this. You are at a huge information disadvantage.
There are things WAY worse for your EV than him playing in Stars big games. For example, he could have gained access to a GTO solution (HU) or GTO approximation (ring) to any/all of the limit games, and could have spent the last 3 months playing against bots to make sure he either remembered what to do or had enough intuition to make the correct play in all spots. Should he have to disclose this before betting? Absolutely not, IMO. If Ike plays someone in PLO, does he have to tell them all of the software he uses off the table to fine-tune his strategy?
Now I also want to say that, if you would have asked him "Brian, have you played any high stakes mixed games recently? I will only book this bet if you haven't" and he replied "No, I haven't played any high stakes mixed games in 3 months," then this changes things. If that conversation ever took place, feel free to inform us.
And what do you know... another thread with vinivici bashing Cardrunners/Taylor/etc.