Quote:
The plaintiffs contend that had the final 27 elected to chop the remaining prize pool in even increments, each would have received a payment equal to $53,079.44, which is $33,756.44 less than the $19,323 they received.
Laughable in it's stupidity. Nobody had a reasonable expectation of a 27 way equal chop for $53,079 here. Damages are, at best, the ICM value at the time the tournament was suspended.
ICM's from ohsnapzach some time ago:
Haughton's ~$45k
Sneideman's ~$28k
Tran's ~$52k
Vatanavan's ~$55k
Korres ~$15k
Phung ~$38k
Let's assume liability is on Borgata for the moment. Based on an ICM model, which is the true measure of damages, the players are damaged as follows:
Haughton's ~$25,800 ($45.1-$19.3)
Sneideman's ~$9,700 ($28.7-19.3)
Tran's ~$33,000 ($52.3-19.3)
Vatanavan's ~$35,200($54.5-19.3)
Korres Got more than his ICM, is he free rolling? (if he's paying a lawyer he's not)
Phung ~$18,600 ($37.9-19.3)
I peg the total damages for these plaintiffs at $122,600. That, in my view, is the best they can possibly do after a trial so if there is a settlement, it will be nowhere near that number. So let's look at some realities (all of this assumes contingency fees - if these guys are paying hourly, that's a -EV proposition):
1. Lawyers will need to get paid. Assuming this is on a contingency, is the contingency on the total recovery (i.e. including the $19,323 they're already getting) or only on a recovery in excess of $19,323. If the lawyers are getting paid a contingency fee on the total recovery, then all plaintiffs are risking $6,831 each; money they would get without any legal assistance. I'd be shocked if this is the scenario.
2. More likely, if the players are smart, they are not risking $6,831 each and they are only paying a contingency fee on the amount of recovery in excess of $19,323. Thus, their lawyers are looking at a best case scenario payday of just over $40,000. And that's after a year or more of motion practice, depositions, and a trial, which is not a great payday if they are going to do that much work.
The lawsuit may be seeking attorney's fees, but I can't see a way for the players to prevail on that claim. The law in New Jersey is clear that you can't get attorney's fees for breach of contract or negligence and those are the two causes of action.
3. The case will have some nuisance value I suppose. But if any of these guys net more than $15,000 from this I'd be surprised.
4. There are divide and conquer problems for the plaintiffs as well. They may think they are united now but if Borgata offers a couple of these guys $15,000 they might take it. They can slam the door on the bottom two chip stacks and offer them nothing (exposure is less than $10,000) and leave the lawyers with two minimally damaged plaintiffs. That's a nightmare scenario for the lawyers - lots of work for little money.
Of course, the depositions, if it ever gets that far, would be fun:
Q: Mr. Vatanavan, your ICM was $54,500. Are you saying you would have agreed to a chop that would have given you and Mr. Korres, whose ICM was $15,500, the same amount?
Q: Do any of you plaintiffs believe that the chip leader, with an ICM of $152,000 would have agreed to a chop for about $100,000 less than that?
Disclaimer: Though I am a lawyer, this is not legal advice.