Quote:
Originally Posted by maximose
Hey all,
I dont post too often but I do have considerable poker knowledge that I would like to share in regards to the reasons why Durrrr is losing the Durrrr challenge.
I am a live and internet player so know both worlds and obviously you need to know the HU internet side game world to understand what is going on.
First off we know that Durrrr is very aggressive and bluff happy. This has worked in the past because he would get players to lay down hands in flip type situations and would win "ev" in a lot of spots. Whats happening in this particular match is something quite different. Jungleman is not willing to sacrifice his EV and will call light on certain board textures. This has caused lots of coin flips and even though Durrrr uses the run it twice feature (which helps drawing type hands) he still is slightly behind with his draws.
Another reason durrrr is losing is because he is not use to opponents range merging. Jungleman has continually double (and sometimes triple) range merged so Durrrr is basically clueless to his tendencies. This has caused Durrrr to beome even more "lag" against jungleman.
The last reason is more psychlogical. Durrrr is quickly becoming more enamored with the live scene and even won 470 million dollars (hong kong dollars) in a recent heads up side game. He no longer is as hungry to fend of these internet kids coming up. Durrrr is almost exactly like dewey tomko in the way of his poker theory but has a little bit of tj cloutier in the way of his lack of drive at the moment.
Anyway just wanted to share some views and hear some feedback
Cliffs: Reasons why durrrr is losing
1. He is no longer winning "ev" with his draw shoving technique.
2. He is being victimized by double (sometimes triple) range merges
3. Depite his Dewey Tomko like knowledge, he is adopting a tj cloutier type mindset.
I stopped reading somewhere through your post and read no replies.
He is losing either because:
1.) He is running bad; or
2.) He's the 2nd best player in the challenge
Note that 1 and 2 can both be true.
EDIT:
Before the challenge started I was attempting to bet $1K to $2K on Dwan. Never got it done. If anyone is still looking I may still be interested. Of course now I will need to be given odds. And I'm not sure if I'll put up as much.
SECOND EDIT:
I read a little more of the original post and wow .... tons of stuff in there that is just factually wrong (including some poker math about running it twice and draws), other stuff that is just silly, and some really weird analogies that make no sense. Hmm.
Last edited by Lego05; 11-28-2010 at 04:08 AM.