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Bank of Timex. Bank of Timex.

06-10-2013 , 10:34 PM
In theory this works, but practically it is hard to set up. I agree with timex there is a lot of overcharge make up in the marketplace. I hope timex succeed with this concept thus lowering the markups.
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06-10-2013 , 10:53 PM
Sorry if this has already been posted, but, good breakdown for those who are still wondering exactly how it works.

http://www.pokertips.org/weekly.shuf...ves/2013-06-09
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by luckproof
I have no opinion either way on this subject because I don't know enough about it, but this line of reasoning is just so ****ing bad.


I think you are horribly wrong and misinformed. It's your reasoning that puts us all in danger and we all are much poorer because of you and your ilk sticking your nose in other people's private business. POS

For those who think this is bad for the community overall ur wrong. By timex doing this he is saving stakers money who invest in these guys with mark up too high. Every time a person puts a MU too high timex gets to profit and stakers get a better price. Players are not entitled to a certain mark up and they must overcome all competition. This is helping keep the players more honest.
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06-10-2013 , 11:04 PM
This is just another form of sports betting and Timex is playing the house.

Great idea unfortunately it's pretty illegal as haralabob inferred. See intrade as major example.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:11 PM
So he is basically a bookie offering better prices than you would get if you actually bought a piece of a player in the marketplace. Seems stupid to be doing this through twitter/the internet.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clayton
Brilliant concept.

The long game is obviously making it so 5-10%ROI players don't swarm into Timex's HSMTT fields with free passes thanks to selling at 1.25.

If there's a field of 700 in a EPT where 200 are fish and 100 are world class, if Timex can cut the number of low ROI "pros" from 400 to 350 by making it harder for them to sell at anything higher than 1.05, then Timex has raised his future ROI and hopefully makes profit in the process.

The only hitch is governments getting in the way, like Haralabob warned.
I don't think that's his long game at all, just a byproduct of his operation. Also, it's likely there is a small overlap yearly in the tourneys he shorts and the tourneys he actually plays. Note he's not even at the WSOP right now.

I think overall it's a cool idea. I'd be interested in his methodology when quoting prices for players. I saw him make a pretty big mistake earlier on Twitter quoting a player's Main Event.

I also agree that doing it on a public forum like Twitter isn't that smart.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fishcakeking
This is just another form of sports betting and Timex is playing the house.

Great idea unfortunately it's pretty illegal as haralabob inferred. See intrade as major example.
I don't think that is correct or why it'd be illegal.

Much more likely to be illegal due to not having the proper licensing or certification for offering the investment products he's offering on the scale he's offering.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:32 PM
Pretty great idea.

wp
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by princekuh1o
e'll undoubtedly make it harder for people charging overpriced MU to continue doing so, but still nothing stopping him from cutting out all of the premium that a player charges that could be reserved for airfare, food, and the time of the trip in general.
lol thats not what markup is, scammer
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-10-2013 , 11:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tdomeski
I don't think that is correct or why it'd be illegal.

Much more likely to be illegal due to not having the proper licensing or certification for offering the investment products he's offering on the scale he's offering.
this could easily be viewed as illegal as he's acting as a book to book action on an event (especially from multiple people)...its not like you and me just betting on game 3 of spurs-heat or having a last longer in a tourney...
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:14 AM
Whatever about regulations.

Timex is filling a market gap before the market closes in. He is a innovator. He will win in this. It's simple but really brilliant.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by princekuh1o
The ones affected the most will be the mid stakes grinders taking the shots
You mean the make up grinders that basically suck at poker and whose real value is nowhere close to anything above face value?
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:29 AM
And.............. it's over: (Start at bottom and read up)

Tweets
Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 4m
Most people believe in rushes and the confidence you get after big scores. I doubt that justifies 1.28 here http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/18...vents-1341030/
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Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 7m
Here's a nice 1.7 markup assuming no rake/hotels etc http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/16...t-gtd-1341314/
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Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 33m
I guess one good thing that came from this is now I don't have to feel as guilty posting terrible value packages before they're sold out
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Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 45m
I'm happy to keep this account to voice opinions on unfair markups and while I think its +$EV to put my $ where my mouth is, its not +LiveEV
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Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 45m
I wanted to do my part to fix how stupid the marketplace is but I guess I can't really try to fix poker's problems without being penalized.
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Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 45m
and can't really justify keeping this going. It'd get too big too quick and I doubt I'd even get to keep the money I win from you guys.
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Mike ‏@BankOfTimex 46m
Congratulations marketplace idiots, you guys win again! I've spent the evening learning more about the legality of online gambling
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Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:30 AM
he should start a website.
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06-11-2013 , 12:44 AM
wow timex sounds like such a negative grump-a-roo.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:49 AM
Quote:
Mike ‏@BankOfTimex

Congratulations marketplace idiots, you guys win again! I've spent the evening learning more about the legality of online gambling
sounds like its already over RIP.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:53 AM
I would have thought that some butt hurt guy who has lost his package due to this might take retribution by reporting this to someone ( no idea to whom as i am not from the US ).

I like Timex and the idea but i would be worried about this if i were him.

I punted on his (obv -EV for me) Sunday Million bet and was even concerned for him then as he was basically operating a sports book.

Last edited by chasepoker; 06-11-2013 at 12:54 AM. Reason: oops just read his tweets above
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:57 AM
Does he still do his sunday million bet. Or is that over and done with?
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 12:59 AM
pretty cool concept
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 01:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by idun215
Does he still do his sunday million bet. Or is that over and done with?
Shut it down since I was in Europe + scoops are more complicated. Was thinking I might start it back up after WSOP but may just be done for good or possibly seek out a legal way of doing bets like these
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 03:56 AM
Great idea, shame it looks like it won't work out.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 04:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cmitch
Does anyone know if something like would fall under US security regulations since he is becoming a market maker?

Probably too low of a dollar volume to get any scrutiny, but I would assume a risk to investors would be the risk of the entire operation getting shut down.
Both what Timex is selling, and the packages people sell would be deemed a "security" under US law. Whatever that means practically speaking. It's a very broad definition. I've always been curious if anyone would try to go that route to settle a dispute.

If you're a backer who provides coaching/other support, then you're probably outside the scope of securities laws. Maybe someone who is actually (still) a lawyer can provide a real answer
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06-11-2013 , 04:03 AM
Such a great idea, too bad it had to be shut down. Someone should hook up with the Seals with Clubs guys and run this using Bitcoins.
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 04:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by m_reed05
The 10k PLO is not even close to one of the 3 toughest tournies.
ya seriously. how the **** did u come up with that idea?
Bank of Timex. Quote
06-11-2013 , 04:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheBroseidon
-Timex believes players who sell shares are charging exorbitant markups on those shares.

Ex. Player A is selling shares for the main event at 1.5 MU. Thus if you want 1% of his action, you pay $150 instead of the $100 at face value.

-Timex believes that Player A is not good enough to warrant 1.5 MU, and assesses Player A's value at 1.3 MU.

-Timex then offers to sell pieces of Player A's action at a price inbetween those two values - perhaps at 1.45 MU. He pockets the money if Player A fails to cash, and pays out the percentage if Player A cashes. If he is an accurate predictor of MU and sells at a price that is above breakeven, he'll make a profit in the long term.

He's also offering action on any player, likely at MU lower than we're used to but what he still feels is overpriced (so he can make a profit).

Winners in this scenario:

1. People who buy shares. They're able to get a cheaper price investing in players, and are able to invest in any player they desire - even if the player would never publicly sell shares himself (Eg. Ivey, Blom). Timex is also highly respected in the poker world, and payouts from him are all but guaranteed (on twitter he claims to have a bank of ~10m between himself and his investors).

2. Timex. If the market is as overpriced as he believes, he'll be able to offer a service as well as make a profit - until the market corrects itself. If he's a good predictor of MU (Which I imagine he is, given that he's offering this service). Basically, he thinks players aren't as good as they claim, and is willing to undercut their staking prices (to a degree - he'll still be charging more than what he believe their true value to be).

He's also charging high markups on people who don't usually offer shares, exploiting the current market failure.


Losers:

1. People who overprice their shares and are denied action in favor of the BoT.




tl;dr - He's shorting the entire poker staking market, because (according to him) people aren't as good as they think they are.
Cheers for this.
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