Quote:
Originally Posted by floatingtheriver
I think you ended up googling the AI page and misunderstood my points about equity, MLPs, small business owners and non-taxable forms of income. What I think you don't realize is that legal accounting helps mitigate taxable income a lot so what you see is not what you get. But whatever. I'm just telling you how things are, being one of said group. You are free to disagree and holdfast with the 2%, but I think that won't do anyone any good to underestimate the amount of successful people in the US. Better to strive higher than to make excuses, and not-surprisingly there's a correlation.
Having said way too much, you think that 2% of poker players clear 100k?
These estimates don't take into account many things, so the 4-5% range should be about spot on and possibly a little higher. The vast majority of self-employed people make considerably more then what they show on paper (tax returns) due to write-offs, not claiming some income, etc. This also does not take into account that your primary job is not always, and never should be, your only source of income. I am not sure where the baseline would be, but a high percentage of people making over say 100K or so a year are also putting their money to work for them in other investments, basic retirement plans, stocks, real estate, etc. of which a lot of this does not always show as actual yearly income but is still income being generated.
I am very surprised so many people claim is it easier to make 100K per year in poker over 300K in the regular work world. For one single year, sure I can see that but certainly not on a consistent basis over time. The small percentage of elite crushers and rake makes this impossible for a large majority of players.
Once you stabilize and are financially secure in the job market, that usually continues to grow and increase your earnings for the vast majority of people. There is no real 'variance' per say other then on the investment side and high commission jobs. Once you get to making 300K/yr, you usually do not go backwards for the most part.
In poker however, to make 100K/yr on a consistent basis year over year is very hard for 99% of poker players. Sure, you can bink a tourney or run hot in cash games for a year, but that almost always doesn't correlate to you making 100K+ the next year. Variance can kill you at any time no matter how long you have been playing and a large majority of poker players may claim they have good bankroll management and never play over their head, but in reality that is only a small handful that actually do that. 95% of poker players are also not investing their money, they are just trying to move up in stakes, or play bigger tourneys, etc. They rarely have their money working for them. The few select pros that are sponsored and/or those making additional income off of coaching, streaming, etc. are the exception, not the rule.
To me, this is not even close, making 100K+ per year on a consistent basis over time playing poker is infinitely harder then making 300K/yr outside of poker. I would preface that by saying that the
ability to make 300K+/yr over 100K/yr in poker is much easier, but certainly not everyone takes advantage of that ability for sure.