Quote:
Originally Posted by donkee12345
I have to respectfully disagree with your analysis. Since you are up for making revisions, I would honestly remove this hand altogether to illustrate your point as I believe it is unrealistic and incorrect.
I have played a lot of PLO, and I don't think there is a single PLO player that would fold this flop (or should) based on how the hand was described. PLO is a game of draws, and hero flopped a top end draw (nut flush), with some good disguised back door straight cards potentially on the turn, and is deep, and is in position.
This is a great situation in PLO. Since you are certain the villian has QQ, couldn't he also have some Kx (KJ/K10) of heart type hands that you could get some value from if the flush card hits?
You stated the villain is a "good" player and this is pot limit, not no limit. Even if the turn brings in a non-board pairing flush card, the villain would almost certainly just check call since he can only face a "small" pot sized bet and draw at his 10 outs to improve (particularly when deep).
You wanted feedback, and it is my contention that no PLO player would ever fold this flop as the hand is described, and no trainer in PLO would suggest to their students to fold a nut flush draw in position when deep.
The main problem with my example was that I carelessly gave the flush draw lots of backdoor straight draws. Without any of them the problem almost completely reduces to getting two to one on a 3.5 to one shot if you can be certain he has a set and will either push out the draw if it misses the turn or if not, get out himself if the flush bets what he is supposed to. Given those parameters its an easy fold and the coaches you mentioned would agree.
However those parameters come up infrequently so I will be changing the example as you suggest.
MEANWHILE it might be interesting to note that there are hands that should call on the flop against a player like this (with deep stacks) who you are sure has three queens. Namely a set of sevens or deuces. Do you see why?