Quote:
Originally Posted by SpeedLimiter
The thing is there are only so many degens/wealthy recreational players that are willing to keep playing and losing money. The number is even less if you then take the percentage of those from this group who will continue to play when they and their peers know that they are a losing player. If the poker economy is to be sustainable long term, the factors which allowed it to be maintained in a live enviroment must be recreated as closely as possible in the online domain.
Over time the money filters upwards, we all know this. But databases like ptr clearly define the boundaries and the flow of profits. This economy relies on players believing in luck, being result orientated and in many cases being dellusional. PTR takes away any doubts you once may have kept you in the game. Your a break even player? no your not, your 85BI's down and now you, your friends and your milkman knows it. There is no way to hide your results, and this will be too much for many people. They will quit from fear of embarrisment or decide to study on their game (no doubt the majority taking the former option). Over time the % of players that know about PTR can only rise.
Then the fishes go broke and move onto something new, something fun where they don't need to study to not get crushed. The break even regs become the fish, and the economy collapses as a mass exodus ensues from sites leaving those with no choice but to grind with a marginal edge agenst the few recreational players left. Poker is about incomplete information, but if you have enough data, enough trials of ranges and betting patters you can effectively turn someones hand face up. It can't stay like this, something has to give.
I've basically believed in just about every point that was mentioned in this post for a very long time, I just took it for granted that nothing was going to change with TR going up. Frankly, I would love to see the site go down, it creates ego wars between people who would otherwise be friends if they didn't know each other's winnings/losses, along with the entire theory that it is scaring many people away who may not have realized how bad they may have been prior to quit all together.
I don't see how anyone could argue it's good for the games, when in reality there's almost nothing good that filters down because of it. The only exception to the rule that I would make would be if they became exclusively a site sort of like HighStakesDB where they would only decide to track hands of the top 3 levels offered at all the sites. At least once you're getting to 25/50+ and higher, it's pretty safe to say the majority of them are already professionals by and large and would hardly care if other people knew roughly how they were doing or what lower stakes players thought of them.
Just my 2 cents... I'd be curious to see whether a group or party of people ban together to really push the ideas behind this thread to get some real progress going in the next couple of months.
Last edited by HBomb; 12-23-2009 at 03:54 AM.