I think the most likely thing is he’ll injure himself too much training for it than ever getting a serious attempt in

Koon agreed to a 7-figure bet, and the guy tried to weasel out of it. Funny that everyone paid so much attention some random Twitter troll

Perhaps a group can come up with $2M, or whatever amount Koon is willing to do the bet for. Most seem skeptical that he can do it, and I concur.

11 seconds is not even remotely close to 10 seconds in 100m. That’s just absurd.

Lol. If he’s serious about running 10.9 in a year, he’s able to run sub 12 right now or with minimal preparation.

The chance of Koon being able to do this at 35 is close to 0%.

he'll be at least 36 when attempting this, if it ever happens (it won't).

its all fairly relative.. sub 11 in high school is pretty good, probably 1-2 people per school. go to top d1 schools, and sub 10 is gonna be fairly frequent too and 11s will get you laughed at.

agree with 2nd part.

if this is him, and 10.86 is his best ever college time, i think he has about zero chance. to attain the same level as your PEAK, is gonna be nearly impossible. if he were casually putting up 10.4/10.5 then maybe... but still hard

and how is unlimited attempts an issue? its very hard to randomly bink a miracle 100m. and its running.. practice and doing it are the same thing

Most spot-on post yet.

One possibility I haven't seen mentioned - maybe he wants to bet because of an asymmetry in information about how hard he was working when he hit his PB in college and how hard/efficiently he could work now?

In other words, maybe the reason he thinks he can do as well as his personal best in college even though he is much older is because he knows he wasn't doing a lot of things right then - diet, training techniques, even dedication - and feels that if he did all those things right now with everything that he has learnt he would have a chance of making up for being older now.

Not saying if that's realistic or not but he's obviously a smart guy and its not like he doesn't know enough to know all the reasons people in this thread think he won't be able to do it so he must have a reason for thinking he can.

No, all of that was mentioned by SimpleRick. He just used fewer words:

yeah, lots of college athletes dont try to do well..

even with a much better diet, 18 years of aging and post-peak is going to be a tall order to overcome imo

That’s a given. Otherwise the whole thing would be pretty pointless.

I agree. Insane bet.

You kinda don't see it unless you've raced but the difference between 10.99 and 9.99 is huge... his age isnt a restriction I know 40yr olds run under 11. Depends on how much money is on the line as the training isnt insignificant but betting 7 figures against this seems dumb. A lot of 100m is the start too so 1 race vs PB even over a year is a significant difference in the bet.

Age is always a restriction

I'd bet against him unless he's a world class type of athlete.

10.9s automatic is no joke in the 100m. That's professional athlete speed.

There are running backs and receivers in the NFL who can't hit that number.

So with all due respect, I would take that action all day.

The average fit adult male in good physical condition can't hit 11.9s, much less 10.9s.

In the end, he will get in amazing shape, but will have to buy out of the prop once he see's there's no chance.

Great Jesult!

For real, his acceleration is insane!

Depends on the athlete. As you said, it's faster than most people in the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, and so forth. I agree that most running backs can't do it, although most receivers probably can. A 10.9 sprinter in the 100m is largely in the range of a NFLer running a 4.5 40†.

In the world of track & field, it's an average Division I collegiate sprinter. I posted a bunch of data above about where that time rates in the world of NCAA sprinters. But if it further helps illustrate where this rates, UC Davis had three sprinters run the 100-meter dash at six different meets for us this year. This is from a Division I mid-major school that finished smack dab in the middle of the Big West Conference, but had this year's league champ. These were our times:

10.67 - Big West champion
10.67
10.78
10.82**
10.84
10.87
10.88
10.89
10.97
11.00*
11.04
11.06
11.07
11.11
11.13

* aided by a wind of greater than 2.0 m/s but less than 4.0 (i.e. does not count for records)
** aided by a wind of greater than 4.0 m/s (i.e. does not qualify for NCAA postseason)

However, for his age group, 10.9 would put him among the top few dozen performers in the world... as is also noted above.

All in all, I like James Obst's chances of making Wimbledon than Koon's chances of performing this feat, and I don't like Obst's chances at all.

Yeah maybe I was being too hard on JKoon.

This bet was ripe.

Tell that to Kim Collins.

Everyone on 2+2 is a track&field expert all of a sudden.
You guys are hillarious

You're right, everyone stop posting IMMEDIATELY in this thread because nobody is an expert.

You're not allowed guys, Vrael111 has said so!

Watching this bet go down with frequent updates would be ***** amazing, but also think Koon is drawing very thin.
PEDs or not, his body probably wont hold up to the conditioning/training required to get there. 36yo and sub 11 is probably something that professionals, who have been training for this their whole life, can put up, but to think that Jason Koon can get there off the bat, is pretty crazy to me.
It would be one hell of a ride and i would be so excited to see how this progresses.
Does anyone know what Jason Koon can throw down right now? Think there's 0 chance that such a smart guy would just offer this bet without doing some research. He probably has a pretty good idea how doable this is, but for me this is absolutely insane.