Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
How do you account for the fact that you could have used the same argument AGAINST NLH thirty years ago.
I account for it by noting that the thing that has made NLH successful is a virtuous cycle of promotion, and that cycle took place in those 30 years. My argument is that within reason any other game *could* be the next NLH, but in order for that to happen, an analogous amount of promotion would have to be done, and that would take a decade or more. PLH or LH might be easier since they're closely related. Since no one is putting in any real effort to promote any other game, NLH will remain the top of the heap for the foreseeable future. This is not something an individual cardroom can control, unless they're willing to go to WSOP ME type lengths to promote something else, which seems unlikely.
In fact as people with experience with older games age out of the player pool, NLH may become even more dominant. At 39 years old I essentially never encounter a casual player younger than me who knows anything about any game other than NLH. Tho other games might as well not exist. These are the people who move up from the dining room table to 1/2.
To be clear, I'm making no argument about the mathematical properties of the various games. I'm merely pointing out that the success or failure of a game has little if anything to do with those properties and everything to do with what is being promoted to the fish, and those promotions are very close to 100% NLH.