Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
The question I would ask an agreed on expert is:
"What impact could AI make on preventing harmful content being posted on facebook over the next 5 to 10 years"?
We would then agree on someone like T_D to determine if the answer amounted to 'not significant' when I would lose the bet. You would be nuts to take that bet but I dont think you would agree that question because you're talking about something else.
Ya I am not sure what the range of answers you would expect are but I know they would all be very heavily hedged.
If you broke that question up into:
- do we currently have in AI any real ability to prevent harmful content being posted on SM - That answer would be a flat 'NO'
- do we feel we are in sight of a break through currently with any of the AI work being done in this area - that answer would be 'NO'
- do you believe with all the money being poured in we could get the type of breakthru that would achieve that - that answer would be 'it certainly is within the realm of possibility', 'I am cautiously optimistic
- would you bet that within 5 or 10 years that break through would be made - Well 10 years is better than 5 but it is not something I would choose to bet on. There is a significant percent of the community who believe this breakthru may never be achieved
NOw on both sides of that you would find boosters and deniers who would take very strong positions, but the bulk of the AI scientists and the bulk of AI conferences addressing this issue would take my position above. It is the position I have seen discussed at conference panels with most of the worlds top AI theorists and scientists.