Quote:
Originally Posted by neverbeclever
Ok, ill play along.
Q1:No (duh)
Congrats, you got this right, and that was with only a 50% chance!
Quote:
Originally Posted by neverbeclever
Q2:No (testing itself not doing ****)
The problem here is instead of randomly guessing you tried to apply some thought and that was your undoing.
I will explain this, though I know you will completely not understand how this works.
Choice 1: You literally have no idea who has Covid, because you did no testing. As a result, those people will not be properly identified and quarantined, so they will spread the virus to others, generally without knowing they are doing that.
Choice 2: You literally know every single human that has it. Now, this is not realistic in the real world, but works for the point being made. In this choice, where you literally know each human that has it at that moment, you can simply separate these 1,000 people for the 2-3 weeks needed, and after that the virus has had nowhere to go, so they would not spread it to others.
Now, these are extreme cases to try to make the point simpler, but I get that even doing that likely confused you. The answer is that by testing and identifying those that have this virus (which is contagious - and you can google that word if you do not understand it) you have a better chance of isolating them to prevent them from spreading it to others.
Thus, the number of cases will increase quite a bit faster in choice 1 than choice 2, so your belief that testing who has it is meaningless is wrong, but at least you tried to put thought into your answer, so good job on that effort!
Quote:
Originally Posted by neverbeclever
Now its my turn:
Do you agree that the rising infection count is useless (as shown on 2p2 by one of their elite authors) without mentioning the testing volume?
In the above I tried to explain to you that the rate of the increase matters. Thus, your answer that testing is useless, and will not change the growth rate of future infections is wrong. You are just choosing to ignore (either by choice or more likely you just are not smart enough to get it ) that while the total number of cases will always increase (because, duh), how fast they increase (ie: the rate) does make a difference based on the choice made above.
Quote:
Originally Posted by neverbeclever
I mean u strike me as a ''somewhat'' above average bright guy so u should be able to answer this level1 question!?
Your question was poorly asked, and I broke down why and explained the answer, but I would not wager that you will understand it or change your mind, because I get how people like you are as humans.
All the best.
Last edited by Monteroy; 06-16-2020 at 06:17 PM.