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Originally Posted by Luciom
Still convinced of this rococo?
Yep. I said there was some chance that the SCOTUS would narrow the DC Circuit's reasoning. After the argument, I would rate that possibility as more likely than not. I still think there is a 100% chance that the Court will reject the argument that Trump advanced in the lower courts that a president enjoys blanket immunity for all actions taken during the time that he is president. I haven't read a transcript, but based on the reporting, it sounds like Trump's attorneys more or less have conceded this point.
I do think there is an excellent chance that the ruling will result in delay because there are likely to be additional decisions at the lower court level about whether specific allegations relate to "official acts." But there is zero chance that the SCOTUS rules in a way that substantively eviscerates the prosecution's case.
Trump's argument below was that presidential immunity meant that he couldn't be prosecuted even if he shot his secretary in the head five minutes before he left office. There was no way that the Supreme Court would ever endorse that view of presidential immunity.
Last edited by Rococo; 04-26-2024 at 07:04 PM.