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The Supreme Court discussion thread The Supreme Court discussion thread

03-07-2024 , 01:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slighted
you want me to tell you how adding extra steps into the language of the constitution that weren't thought to be needed at time of drafting isn't originalism?
isn't textualism, but it can be originalism.

Originalism isn't textualism.

Originalism means "you have to interpret the text everytime it's not-obvious , as it would have been interpreted by the people who wrote it and who voted on it".

here a paper explaining the difference between the 2

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....20same%20thing.
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03-07-2024 , 01:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
isn't textualism, but it can be originalism.

Originalism isn't textualism.

Originalism means "you have to interpret the text everytime it's not-obvious , as it would have been interpreted by the people who wrote it and who voted on it".

here a paper explaining the difference between the 2
its neither. the drafters didnt need it to be interpreted. they knew. zebulon vance was barred from office until amnesty was passed. they didnt need an extra determination.
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03-15-2024 , 05:12 PM
Another 9-0 decision on a other fairly complex topic, this time the right (or lack thereof) of a politician (or public official in general) to block people on social media.

Looks like the kind of nuanced, well thought opinion we do expect by actual experts on an actually unclear topic constitutionally

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/03/p...-social-media/

So much for polarization in everything I guess
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03-23-2024 , 11:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
Another 9-0 decision on a other fairly complex topic, this time the right (or lack thereof) of a politician (or public official in general) to block people on social media.

Looks like the kind of nuanced, well thought opinion we do expect by actual experts on an actually unclear topic constitutionally

https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/03/p...-social-media/

So much for polarization in everything I guess
9-0 decisions are much more common than the general public imagines.
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03-26-2024 , 07:39 PM
the case against mifepristone seems doomed, but it will be very relevant anyway depending on if/how scotus will address several questions arising from this case

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/0...ments-00149166
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03-26-2024 , 11:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
9-0 decisions are much more common than the general public imagines.
Yet even 9-0 decisions are blamed on the "conservative court"
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03-27-2024 , 10:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Yet even 9-0 decisions are blamed on the "conservative court"
No they aren't
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03-27-2024 , 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Yet even 9-0 decisions are blamed on the "conservative court"
Funny, I've never heard this.
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03-27-2024 , 01:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by biggerboat
Funny, I've never heard this.
This is good

https://unherd.com/newsroom/will-the...-trump-ruling/

And my Facebook and Twitter feeds were full of people blaming the conservative court for the Trump decision
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03-27-2024 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
This is good

https://unherd.com/newsroom/will-the...-trump-ruling/

And my Facebook and Twitter feeds were full of people blaming the conservative court for the Trump decision
This is your proof? A few liberals and a staunch conservative predicting before the decision that Trump would lose? (FWIW, I never agreed with Luttig on this point.)

I can't speak to your Facebook friends and the people you follow on Twitter, so whatever as to that point.

I didn't see any SCOTUS commentators blaming that decision on a "conservative" Court.
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Yesterday , 05:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
We don't even know if the SCOTUS will decide to hear the case. If it does, there is some chance that the SCOTUS will somehow narrow the DC Circuit's reasoning. But there is virtually no chance that the SCOTUS will hold that Trump is protected from prosecution on grounds of double jeopardy or presidential immunity.

The best case scenario for Trump is that he loses 7-2, and a 9-0 opinion against him is infinitely more likely than the Court ruling in his favor. I honestly think that Trump's chances in that case are no better than 1 in 100. The arguments in favor of his position are risible in the extreme.
Still convinced of this rococo?
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Yesterday , 06:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
Still convinced of this rococo?
Yep. I said there was some chance that the SCOTUS would narrow the DC Circuit's reasoning. After the argument, I would rate that possibility as more likely than not. I still think there is a 100% chance that the Court will reject the argument that Trump advanced in the lower courts that a president enjoys blanket immunity for all actions taken during the time that he is president. I haven't read a transcript, but based on the reporting, it sounds like Trump's attorneys more or less have conceded this point.

I do think there is an excellent chance that the ruling will result in delay because there are likely to be additional decisions at the lower court level about whether specific allegations relate to "official acts." But there is zero chance that the SCOTUS rules in a way that substantively eviscerates the prosecution's case.

Trump's argument below was that presidential immunity meant that he couldn't be prosecuted even if he shot his secretary in the head five minutes before he left office. There was no way that the Supreme Court would ever endorse that view of presidential immunity.

Last edited by Rococo; Yesterday at 07:04 PM.
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Yesterday , 07:23 PM
well if part of the indictment gets thrown off because some of the alleged acts are covered by presidential immunity that's not just a narrow decision on the scope of presidential immunity that doesn't affect trump, that's material to trump case and not only because of delay, it gets off some charges.

ofc the full immunity from everything done in the 4 years was never going to exist, but let's see what's if anything, the court decides is covered by actual immunity.

all Public communication might for example (or not).

btw the "can't be prosecuted for anything" was just one of many lines of the defense
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Yesterday , 07:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
well if part of the indictment gets thrown off because some of the alleged acts are covered by presidential immunity that's not just a narrow decision on the scope of presidential immunity that doesn't affect trump, that's material to trump case and not only because of delay, it gets off some charges.
It depends.

Quote:
all Public communication might for example (or not).
Very unlikely imo.

Quote:
btw the "can't be prosecuted for anything" was just one of many lines of the defense
I know. I'm the one who actually read the DC Circuit opinion, not you.
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Yesterday , 07:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
It depends.



Very unlikely imo.



I know. I'm the one who actually read the DC Circuit opinion, not you.
I actually did? they had a lot of fun mocking his thesis everywhere in those pages.

let's see what SCOTUS thinks of that as well
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Yesterday , 08:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
I actually did? they had a lot of fun mocking his thesis everywhere in those pages.

let's see what SCOTUS thinks of that as well
The SCOTUS won't care at all about the tone of the DC Circuit opinion. That's irrelevant to the legal issue.
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Yesterday , 08:24 PM
Unfortunately many people underestimated the partisan ship of the current court. (I didn't.)

Trump could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and at least 4 SC justices would use any excuse they could to let him off.
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Yesterday , 08:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
The SCOTUS won't care at all about the tone of the DC Circuit opinion. That's irrelevant to the legal issue.
dream scenario is a 5-4 with gorsuch writing the opinion and slapping the court of appeal for sloppiness and unwarranted mockery (and a lot of legal mistakes).

can a man dream?
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Yesterday , 09:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
dream scenario is a 5-4 with gorsuch writing the opinion and slapping the court of appeal for sloppiness and unwarranted mockery (and a lot of legal mistakes).

can a man dream?
Why stop there. Why not hope for a 9-0 decision, followed by a complete dismantling of the judiciary?
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