President Joe Biden - Page 51 - Politics and Society -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

"Updated personal rankings of the Trump '16 turf likeliest to flip to Biden:"
1. Nebraska's 2nd CD
2. Michigan
3. Pennsylvania
4. Arizona
5. Wisconsin
6. Florida
7. North Carolina
8. Maine's 2nd CD
9. Georgia
10. Iowa
11. Texas
12. Ohio

Quote

10-30-2020 , 08:40 AM

#1253

bundy5

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Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 8,152

Quote:

Originally Posted by noon

Yeah I'd have florida further down that list.

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10-30-2020 , 09:43 AM

#1254

RFlushDiamonds

cool

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 5,969

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slighted

he bought a 1.8 billion dollar building that was worth about 600 mil at the height of the real estate market in order to try and make his own "empire".

That apple didn't roll very far, did it ?

Quote

10-30-2020 , 06:22 PM

#1255

Double Down

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 3,401

Quote:

Originally Posted by bundy5

Yeah I'd have florida further down that list.

Which states currently below Florida on that list do you think have a better chance to flip to Biden than Florida?

Or does it just upset you for Florida to even appear on a list of states that might flip to Biden?

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10-30-2020 , 06:48 PM

#1256

jmflu

journeyman

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 310

Personal politics aside, doesn't Biden -180 seem pretty juicy given the polling?

Quote

10-30-2020 , 09:07 PM

#1257

SpinMeRightRound

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 2,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by bundy5

Yeah I'd have florida further down that list.

I'd put Texas right at the bottom. Texas is never voting blue. People always think it will and then it votes with a massive republican majority. Same is happening this time.

Quote

10-30-2020 , 09:19 PM

#1258

problemeliminator

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Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 9,467

2018 Senate Election

Cruz Beto
50.9% 48.3%

Seems pretty close.

Quote

10-30-2020 , 09:57 PM

#1259

bundy5

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 8,152

Can someone tell me from their perspective or knowledge which side has the most campaign workers and volunteers? The side you see more of at the voting booth. Genuinely curious as voting in my local state election today.

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10-30-2020 , 10:06 PM

#1260

capone0

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Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 43,152

I would assume it’s heavily dependent on where you live. It’s typically old people or younger people/college age. If you have a normal job, you normally don’t take a job at a polling place for a day.

Quote

10-30-2020 , 10:08 PM

#1261

vinivici9586

Breakfast?

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 11,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

I'd put Texas right at the bottom. Texas is never voting blue. People always think it will and then it votes with a massive republican majority. Same is happening this time.

there's a pipeline straight from SF to Austin, and Austin's county already has had more votes than in 2016.

whether its this year or sometime down the road, texas will vote blue. might even be a blue state (probably at the cost of the rust belt)

Quote

10-30-2020 , 10:16 PM

#1262

auralex14

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 2,917

Quote:

Originally Posted by jmflu

Personal politics aside, doesn't Biden -180 seem pretty juicy given the polling?

I haven’t seen it that low, but I put some more on Biden at -185 just today. A lot of places have him at -200, which is still a great bet considering 538 has him as a 89% favorite.

I’m speculating, but I assume the odds are where they are because a lot of gamblers are betting on Trump, and it isn’t reflective of what the odds should be. Books are trying to make the vig and balance action.

So to answer your question: yes, very juicy.

Quote

10-30-2020 , 10:26 PM

#1263

campfirewest

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Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 10,009

Quote:

Originally Posted by vinivici9586

there's a pipeline straight from SF to Austin, and Austin's county already has had more votes than in 2016.

With all those people moving into Texas's 4th largest city I'm sure the state will be blue in no time.

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10-30-2020 , 11:20 PM

#1264

problemeliminator

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Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 9,467

Quote:

Originally Posted by bundy5

Bundy rushing to vote for One Nation.
Surprised to see QLD has ranked choice voting-bet he'd hate if we did that here.

Quote

10-30-2020 , 11:30 PM

#1265

noon

banned

Join Date: Jun 2020 Posts: 758

If "the polls" are 'right', this is how it's gonna end.

https://www.frontloadinghq.com/

Biden 351 Trump 187

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10-30-2020 , 11:38 PM

#1266

problemeliminator

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Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 9,467

Biden parlaying GA, FL and NC seems real optimistic.

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10-30-2020 , 11:40 PM

#1267

bundy5

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Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 8,152

Quote:

Originally Posted by problemeliminator

Bundy rushing to vote for One Nation.
Surprised to see QLD has ranked choice voting-bet he'd hate if we did that here.

One Nation was put middle in my ballot.

Quote

10-31-2020 , 12:01 AM

#1268

noon

banned

Join Date: Jun 2020 Posts: 758

Quote:

Originally Posted by problemeliminator

Biden parlaying GA, FL and NC seems real optimistic.

It's an aggressive correlated parlay

Quote

11-01-2020 , 03:33 AM

#1269

noon

banned

Join Date: Jun 2020 Posts: 758

This is absolutely, positively the least amount of Electoral Votes Joe Biden can capture.

Quote

11-01-2020 , 03:44 AM

#1270

noon

banned

Join Date: Jun 2020 Posts: 758

Even if Joe Biden falls asleep in his basement till Nov 4th, he can't get less than 278 Electoral Votes.

Quote

11-01-2020 , 09:52 AM

#1271

ganstaman

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Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 10,941

Quote:

Originally Posted by noon

Even if Joe Biden falls asleep in his basement till Nov 4th, he can't get less than 278 Electoral Votes.

PA is not a given, especially as SCOTUS will be getting involved. I also don't know if Philly will have lower turnout than planned given the riots going on.

Quote

11-01-2020 , 10:32 AM

#1272

np1235711

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,217

Quote:

Originally Posted by noon

Even if Joe Biden falls asleep in his basement till Nov 4th, he can't get less than 278 Electoral Votes.

George Santayana approves of this message.....hahahaha

Quote

11-01-2020 , 10:35 AM

#1273

np1235711

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 1,217

Quote:

Originally Posted by ganstaman

PA is not a given, especially as SCOTUS will be getting involved. I also don't know if Philly will have lower turnout than planned given the riots going on.

the only legit reason for the USSC to get involved would be to restore the will of the PA legislature via the voting parameters THEY set up for this election per their Article II powers......

Quote

11-01-2020 , 05:59 PM

#1274

Shifty86

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 3,041

This is kind of bad.

Quote

11-01-2020 , 06:04 PM

#1275

Monteroy

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Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 16,729

You guys seemed to have given up on Hunter. I thought that was "Super Bad" and a game changer? Anyway, you guys have just a couple more days to keep up the good work of bringing up very big issues in 2020. Maybe discuss Trump's go to quack doctor Atlas talking to the Russian news while claiming he did not know they were Russian. This is kind of bad

. Tick Tock!

All the best.

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