Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Rick
Not really.
When Trump was President in his first two years with a majority in the House and Senate he tried to kill Obamacare using Reconciliation and failed when McCain gave the thumbs down (joined by Murkowski and Collins).
Trump also couldn't get major funding for his wall in Reconciliation either.
Or an infrastructure bill that he wanted based on privatizing everything.
Its possible that Republicans would try to pass some kind of National Abortion ban bill but that would be the beginning of the end for the party.
I think the bigger picture is that when Democrats regain control of the House, Senate and Presidency based on what Rebublicans do pass without the fillibuster you will see massive and important bills passed (like a ban on assault rifles, climate change energy bills, expanding the Supreme Court, etc.).
I think these 2022 MT and the 2024 GE are everything for the GOP.
This is why Mitch is so frustrated as the GOP was set to take the House and Senate, until Trump got involved, and if they could have done that, and took the POTUS in 2024, they would have built in protections for this current Supreme Court, they would strengthened State rights to the extreme and they would have supported all these extremes State voting rights, vote rigging initiatives that would have made it really difficult for Dem's to get back power simply by winning the Popular vote by any number.
Until recently it was thought there was almost no math that could see a POTUS candidate get 5MM more popular votes and not win the Electoral College as well. The gerrymandering has been so effective that even with Bidens 7MM win, he was a hair away from losing the Electoral College.
I think the GOP holding all offices and having such control of State legislatures, would push that up to 15MM or 20MM margin. That a DEM POTUS candidate could be ahead by 15MM-20MM in the popular vote and yet the GOP could still win.
And the Supreme Court is actively setting that up by actively siding with the taking down of all the most aggressive gerrymandering and vote suppression laws and throwing it back to the States, while saying the problems of the past with regards to gerrymandering to deny POC (and Dem's generally) their voting power are behind them.
In a weird way Trump may save the US being set back nearly a hundred years by helping to keep the Dems holding enough power to block these things and if the Dems do get back enough power (again thx to Trump), I do believe they will try to fix much of the Voting Rights issues as they are a legit threat to Dem power and that is one thing they do not want to lose. Then the next battle will be in the Supreme Court as I am quite certain that any Federal Voting Rights legislation they push out, will be challenged by the GOP States as encroachment and this SC will bend over backwards trying to reverse logic someway to agree with that and invalidate the Federal legislation.
I am quite certain we will see the same for any new Federal RvW legislation. Everyone seems to think the easy fix is new Federal RvW legislation but this SC has been pushing in most areas State rights and independence and I expect they will find a way to invalidate any new RvW National legislation in favour of State rights.