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Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc.

07-24-2020 , 10:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I think I did it in my last two post, but majority of the low-wage workers are not in poverty, nor are seeking a higher socioeconomic position, that's why the wages stay low.
The majority not being in poverty does not make the minority in poverty go away.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 10:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
This tells you that you these folks really are not seeking a higher standard of living, financially speaking.


Also:




I think when it's said and done, it will show that the minimum wage increase had no practical impact other than making it harder for a first time job seeker to get a job. The folks who earn that cash will be in the same socioeconomic position they were before it went into effect, because most of these workers are not looking for a monthly nut. We will see, though.
This is still a good thing for workers. DUCY?
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 10:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I think when it's said and done, it will show that the minimum wage increase had no practical impact other than making it harder for a first time job seeker to get a job. The folks who earn that cash will be in the same socioeconomic position they were before it went into effect, because most of these workers are not looking for a monthly nut. We will see, though.
You don't think there's a difference between working for $7.25 an hour and working for $15 an hour? I think the workers would have a different opinion.

Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I don't think pay is determined by what YOU think people should earn (I actually know it's not determined by that). I also don't get why a spouse or kid of a parent making say 50-100K a year would require higher wages because of your idealism about what wages should be. You want to improve the wages for the 2 in 5 by forcing companies to pay 5 in 5 workers more than their labor is worth on the market (Not to mention many of these workers aren't demanding (as in economic demand) increase in pay, as evidence of less hours worked).
Yes! I do want to. A couple of points.

1. I think key a question you should ask yourself (you don't need to answer in thread) is, why wouldn't you want people to have good wages? Personally, I would much rather Wal Mart pay their workers a decent wage, say like Costco, instead of having the Walton kids chop up $150BB six ways.

2. The market is not some infallible deity we must always bow down to. The market for labor is just not very efficient. Yes there are jobs like nursing and software developer where demand is sky high and drives up wages. But we were in full employment in a booming economy, and wages still didn't go up.

https://www.businessinsider.com/supp...y%20broken.%22
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 10:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
Yeah, except you've seen that exact picture, posted from me, and know the correlation, and it has nothing to do with greed and everything to do with an imagined belief that wealthy people hoard cash.






You conflate scrooge with greed, and hoarding cash, as did Huey, Dewey and Louie.

But the character Scrooge McDuck DID hoard cash and WAS greedy.

He literally worships money. Also he's named...you know....SCROOGE.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 11:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I think anyone claiming they know what people "should" be paid based on anything other than what someone is willing pay are communist.

Timing:
I'm pretty far from a communist. At the end of the day I'll just support whoever wants people to have healthcare, to raise the floor, and not **** up the planet.

Also, you know that's satire right? Just checking.

Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
Before people gripe about the headline:
I'm no fan of anarchy, as I'm sure you know if you've read my posts ITT. Not sure if this was directed at anyone in particular.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 11:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EADGBE
Also, you know that's satire right? Just checking.
Of Course.



Quote:
I'm no fan of anarchy, as I'm sure you know if you've read my posts ITT. Not sure if this was directed at anyone in particular.
It was off topic, but on topic for the thread. No, it was not directed at anyone.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 11:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RFlushDiamonds
But the character Scrooge McDuck DID hoard cash and WAS greedy.

He literally worships money. Also he's named...you know....SCROOGE.
And is also made up.

Last edited by itshotinvegas; 07-24-2020 at 11:30 PM. Reason: scrooge has always been a parody of left wing economic beliefs
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 11:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EADGBE
You don't think there's a difference between working for $7.25 an hour and working for $15 an hour? I think the workers would have a different opinion.
Most of low wage workers are not looking to make the most money possible, but are looking to supplement their income.



Quote:
1. I think key a question you should ask yourself (you don't need to answer in thread) is, why wouldn't you want people to have good wages? Personally, I would much rather Wal Mart pay their workers a decent wage, say like Costco, instead of having the Walton kids chop up $150BB six ways.
What you don't get is, the Walton kids will still chop up 150BB six ways (as in percentage of wealth walmart generates). That 150BB is based on how many products walmart sells, not how much profit they generate. It does not matter how much the labor cost, Walmart will operate on a 3-4% margin. The economic reality is the market will adapt to the new wage. If they can't sell x product at a 3-4% margin due to labor cost, they won't sell it, unless people are willing to pay a higher price (which for most products consumers will pay more, because they are making more, but you will lose economic activity and sales for those products that were previously priced as high as demand will allow, and already at the lowest margin). This results in people making more, but cost of living increasing, and the share of wealth not changing at all (or economic inequality). Also, less economic activity means less jobs, less growth, less construction, less investment in innovation, etc etc.






Quote:
The market is not some infallible deity we must always bow down to. The market for labor is just not very efficient. Yes there are jobs like nursing and software developer where demand is sky high and drives up wages. But we were in full employment in a booming economy, and wages still didn't go up.

https://www.businessinsider.com/supp...y%20broken.%22
I've seen other studies saying differently, it's likely we have to wait a few years before we get any type of consensus.

Last edited by itshotinvegas; 07-24-2020 at 11:38 PM.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-24-2020 , 11:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
This is still a good thing for workers. DUCY?
I don't think so, becasue the black market then becomes appealing (economic incentive to cheat and there will be people willing to take jobs under the table who are willing to work for less and not have to pay taxes) both for products and labor, which acts a competitive and destructive force (as in more wealth will have to be destroyed to enforce the legitimate markets).
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I think anyone claiming they know what people "should" be paid based on anything other than what someone is willing pay are communist.

Timing:

I'm not sure why you think a race to the bottom engineered by rich capitalists to get the cheapest price (which is always well under the total value produced) is the objective measure of the value of labor, while setting a hard floor at the minimum livable income as the cost of doing business is some perversion. Capitalists won't accept prices below the costs of producing goods, and neither should laborers accept wages under those of living. They should be able to ask for more than that, a bigger share of the value they produce, but a hard floor at the cost of living should be the expectation of what capitalists pay to the workers that they want alive.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
I don't think so, becasue the black market then becomes appealing (economic incentive to cheat and there will be people willing to take jobs under the table who are willing to work for less and not have to pay taxes) both for products and labor, which acts a competitive and destructive force (as in more wealth will have to be destroyed to enforce the legitimate markets).
The article you cited said it was indeterminate at worst for the benefit to workers.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
I'm not sure why you think a race to the bottom engineered by rich capitalists to get the cheapest price (which is always well under the total value produced) is the objective measure of the value of labor, while setting a hard floor at the minimum livable income as the cost of doing business is some perversion. Capitalists won't accept prices below the costs of producing goods, and neither should laborers accept wages under those of living. They should be able to ask for more than that, a bigger share of the value they produce, but a hard floor at the cost of living should be the expectation of what capitalists pay to the workers that they want alive.
Gee, I wonder why people want to immigrate here....our standard of living is entirely based on our wages and entitlements, and our standard of living is among the best in the world across all socioeconomic classes.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
The article you cited said it was indeterminate at worst for the benefit to workers.
Right, for the workers who make that wage, but they aren't the entire labor market, i.e. the ones who will work for less, etc etc.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
Right, for the workers who make that wage, but they aren't the entire labor market, i.e. the ones who will work for less, etc etc.
Workers who were working for less started making more, and those who needed the same total wages got more free time of their own volition, and also workers who were making slightly more than $15 also were empowered to ask for more.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
Gee, I wonder why people want to immigrate here....our standard of living is entirely based on our wages and entitlements, and our standard of living is among the best in the world across all socioeconomic classes.
It's mainly because we have pretty good immigration laws. Our standard of living isn't anything special by OECD standards, especially at the bottom.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
It's mainly because we have pretty good immigration laws. Our standard of living isn't anything special by OECD standards, especially at the bottom.
IMO, that's like a millionaire feeling bad they are not a billionaire.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Workers who were working for less started making more, and those who needed the same total wages got more free time of their own volition, and also workers who were making slightly more than $15 also were empowered to ask for more.
The number is higher, but they are not making more (cost of living goes up). Is the goal really to create more free time for upper middle class white kids?
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
The number is higher, but they are not making more (cost of living goes up). Is the goal really to create more free time for upper middle class white kids?
The cost of certain goods and services may go up, but not necessarily by as much as wages did, and it's also not clear that rent is one of those things.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
IMO, that's like a millionaire feeling bad they are not a billionaire.
Uh, no, it's not like that.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by itshotinvegas
The number is higher, but they are not making more (cost of living goes up). Is the goal really to create more free time for upper middle class white kids?
Cost of living is going up anyways, and a lot of it is driven by things like rent increases which have outpaced increases in income.

I believe the idea of wage push inflation makes sense on paper, but is largely discredited by the data at this point. You are welcome to look into it on your own.

Quote:
In theory, a higher minimum wage could cause inflation for two reasons:

Higher spending by workers (demand pull inflation)
Higher costs for firms, leading to wage-push inflation.

However, in reality, the inflationary impact of a rise in a minimum wage is likely to be muted.

• As a percentage of a firm’s overall costs, the minimum wage bill is only a small component.
• Also, given the low inflationary pressures, there is also a pressure for firms to absorb the wage increases without increasing prices (reduce profit margins).
• Also, in theory, firms could respond to higher minimum wages by investing in capital to raise labour productivity and so will be able to afford the higher wages – without increasing prices.
https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/1...-wage-on-adas/
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slighted
i feel like the venn diagram of people that think people shouldn't get paid a living wage for jobs because it will ruin the economy and the people that think athletes are overpaid is one big circle of economic stupidity.
Just a question how does the minimum wage for retail affect the minimum wage for workers in hospitality (restaurants, bars, etc) where many of those workers would have tips to supplement their wage? It is just a case of too bad for bar or restaurant owners to have to cough up the extra cash that a set minimum wage would bring and meanwhile less workers are hired as a result?
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
It's mainly because we have pretty good immigration laws. Our standard of living isn't anything special by OECD standards, especially at the bottom.
How many countries have more illegal immigrants than the US?
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
The cost of certain goods and services may go up, but not necessarily by as much as wages did, and it's also not clear that rent is one of those things.
The increase in wages will be paid by consumers/workers (or lack thereof). Walmart, Amazon, or any high-volume, low-margin retailer/restaurant will not change their business plan, becasue the products they sell have already removed most of the fat. Again, these companies make cash based on how much they sell, not the amount they sell it for. They are already operating on low margins.

A company like Apple might...but they have a small footprint in regards to retail workers.


The jury is still out on rent.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 12:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by EADGBE
Cost of living is going up anyways, and a lot of it is driven by things like rent increases which have outpaced increases in income.

I believe the idea of wage push inflation makes sense on paper, but is largely discredited by the data at this point. You are welcome to look into it on your own.



https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/1...-wage-on-adas/
What I'm talking about is not inflation. Purchasing power. You are essentially changing the numerical value of the dollar, but the purchasing power is staying the same. Inflation is reducing the purchasing power of the dollar, and I'm not arguing that.
Politics & Economics: The Minimum Wage, UBI, Taxes, etc. Quote
07-25-2020 , 01:03 AM
Quote:
A $15 federal minimum wage would wipe out 1.3 million low-income jobs and boost the wages of at least 17 million workers, according to a report released earlier this month from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), Congress’s non-partisan number-crunching arm. Overall, one worker would get a pink slip for every 13 people getting a pay raise.

Ever since a landmark 1992 study challenged the conventional wisdom that higher minimum wages reduce employment, the effect of minimum wages has been one of the most closely examined topics in all of labor economics. With so many dueling papers in the literature, CBO’s pronouncements are noteworthy because of the technical rigor of their analysis and the breadth of research that informs their modeling. In a field fraught with uncertainty and data limitations, one can reasonably take CBO’s estimates to be the most accurate possible.

Sharply higher labor costs in low-wage industries like retail trade and food services would shrink business profits and raise consumer prices. In the aftermath of a higher minimum wage — especially one as high as $15 — “real income is also reduced for nearly all people because increases in the prices of goods and services weaken families’ purchasing power.”

One of CBO’s most important findings is that only 12 percent of low-wage workers (defined as those earning less than $19 per hour) belong to families living in poverty. As I’ve noted in a previous Maine Wire article, much of the low-wage labor force is made up of teenagers and young adults living in middle-class households and older second or third earners supplementing a partner’s income. That’s why, even though at least 17 million workers would benefit from a $15 minimum wage, according to CBO’s analysis, only 1.3 million people would be lifted out of poverty.

When all of the effects are considered — including higher wages for some, joblessness for others, higher prices for virtually everyone, etc — CBO estimates that a $15 minimum wage would transfer $7.7 billion to families below the poverty line ($25,750 for a family of four), raising their income by an average of 5.3 percent.

Families between 100 and 300 percent of the poverty line (up to about $77,000 for a family of four) would gain $14.2 billion. But families above 300 percent of the poverty line would collectively lose $30.5 billion, meaning that the policy would generate $8.6 billion in deadweight loss — value that vanishes from the economy.

Essentially, a $15 minimum wage would take $30.5 billion from the middle-class and high-income families and distribute $21.9 billion to low-income families (only a third of whom are poor), while destroying 1.3 million entry-level jobs. Workers with the least education and those with disabilities would be disproportionately harmed, since they would be the first to be let go or never hired in the first place.

CBO’s study starkly illustrates a reality that advocates of a $15 minimum wage are often unwilling to acknowledge: While such a policy unquestionably helps many struggling workers, its benefits are poorly targeted toward low-income families, thus making it harder for low-skill workers to find jobs, and its distortionary effects on the economy result in significant deadweight losses that benefit no one.

https://www.themainewire.com/2019/07...rt-us-economy/
Here is a bigger picture take, based on the CBO estimates. The CBO argues the inflation point, obviously.
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