Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar
Pundits are saying Amy Coney Barrett has the inside track to be nominated to fill RBG's seat; however, I think Barbara Lagoa is the obvious pick. Winning the election is top of mind for Trump and this pick will be made in that mindset.
That's an asutute observation. I think it's a coin flip. I was leaning towards ACB but you may be right as Fla really is a critical state for both candidates.
In 2016, James Carville knew the election was over for Clinton before anyone else because of Florida. He made this observation very early in the evening. He asutely understood that the panhandle went heavily for Trump, Clinton was going to lose a lot of rust belt states. Retirees from those states settled heavily there. The retirees mirror relatives back home. I would assume the same pattern will hold. If it doesn't, Trump is in trouble. If it does, I think he wins re-election.
As an aside, I think Biden is in big trouble in Michigan. Horrible ground game. Zero field offices. Zero enthusiasm. Visited the state but did not visit any black communities.
Repect for taking an active role.