Quote:
Originally Posted by Smudger2408
If you are referring to loan wolves like Timothy McVeigh, or not jobs, that is one thing. But there is no evidence that protests and assemblies by Trump supporters, or conservative groups, have had anywhere near the consistent violence, looting, shootings, and property destruction as protests around BLM and Antifa.
You have Charlottesville. Ferguson, Minneapolois, Louisville, Portland, the Berkley issues.
It isn't even close.
From a threat perspective, far right extremism and white supremacists tops the charts in the developed world today, usually in the joint "lead" with Islamist terrorists. I posted some links to this earlier in a reply to Inso0.
I don't think there is any utility in referring to them as "conservatives" or "Trump supporters". Far-wing extremists are their own thing. What we
can note, is that Trump is generally a popular figure in these circles. But it is not healthy to use this as a condemnation of political support for Trump, that will lead to an unwillingness to take the threat seriously. The political desire to interpret this as extremism among more mainstream supporters is both unfortunate and dangerous. It's unfortunate because it will lead to a useless risk assessment, and it is dangerous because it actually normalizes the extremism.
It is also not a contest. Noting the threat from far right extremism does not mean one should ignore left-wing extremism. But left-wing terrorism has been largely dead since the 80s and early 90s in the developed world. Right now it simply does not exist on the same scale as far-right extremism in terms of capacity, willingness to carry out or number of attacks. We should definitely learn from those days however. Left-wing terrorist groups from the early 60s to the early 90s were easily some of the most dangerous groups to have operated in the developed world. I myself see a rise in aggressive rhetoric and an acceptance of violent rhetoric in certain left-wing sub-cultures (but I obviously have no data-material to go by). We might very well see the rise of left-wing extremism and terrorism in the coming years.
You are also mistaken that this should be looked at as only lone wolves. What we see these days that even the lone attackers are typically connected to social media sub-cultures, where we see that more organized groups actively work to influence the culture. Attacks are often organized or planned online, attackers use streams or are active on social media as events unfold and there are many supporters who actively encourage these activities.
A good case study is the attack and killing of law enforcement officers in May, 2020 by individuals from the Boogalo-movement. It would be remiss to look at that as "just two people". Their interaction prior to and during the events with the online subculture is vital to understand, assess and predict these threats correctly.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Former DJ
Cuepee:
I've been hesitant to mention this out of fear that it might actually happen ... I'm worried that a nut case (or another Arthur Bremer type) will attempt to assassinate either Biden or Trump. If there's an assassination - or an attempted assassination - I'm afraid all hell will break loose.
While this is of course a "likely" threat scenario, it's probably not the worst one. Both these two have ample security details and a professional apparatus around them that handle security. Since they are already the targets of all kinds of threats, you already have the resources to handle it.
I'm not saying it should be ignored, this is without a doubt an active threat that must be taken seriously. What I'm saying is that I suspect the more dangerous scenario is groups or individuals who start targeting people and institutions without such security around them.