Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
I think it will be a huge deal if Israel loses USA support. A massive deal. The price will be among other things a large increase in existential risk. You seem to dismiss it as no biggee which I did find bizarre
The credibility argument makes little sense to me. This is a response to a terrorist attack not an invasion or existential threat.
We agree on that (apart from the blame bit). This whole segment was about world 'good will' being lost and I just dont think that can be dismissed as not being of any negative consequence to the risks to israel's future security.
You"re completely misunderstanding my point.
My point was Israel can credibly deter the US from withdrawing support, not that Israel will not see an increase in existential threat.
In fact, one of my implied points is that the increase in existential threat, and the lack of restraint imposed by its new allies, is going to increase the probability Israel will be forced to take the gloves off.
In other words, what I am saying is withdrawing support will likely lead to the opposite of desired effect even if the threat is carried out. That it would lead to opposite of desired effect and collateral negative consequences for everyone involved is why such a threat is not credible to begin with, even if doing such a thing (something that feels morally obvious/justified but practically dumb) is totally on brand for Biden.
Last edited by grizy; 03-28-2024 at 08:27 AM.