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ex-President Trump ex-President Trump

05-07-2019 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
You need to make up your mind here because you're bouncing between rationals.

You first try and use a utilitarian frame talking about if we get rid of pay day lenders and them making a premium off of the poor in order to pay for basic utilize then there will be no source of income for these poor people aka payday lenders are providing some service and it's good that they're there.

In fact, if you would have read the NYT article you'd see when Warren proposed the "no roll over policy" some lenders were on board. They said they wouldn't make as much money but they'd still be profitable, but the payday lenders didn't want to get rid of a lucrative profit source

So I propose a way to fill in that missing gap via either direct ownership of the utilities, which is pretty common in the world, or through subsidization, again, pretty common.

So, because that frame hasn't worked out, you have to immediately switch to what's called the 'just desserts' framework. In other words, they don't deserve that income to pay their electricity bills in the first place without going into debt.

It's all very odd. Payday lenders say they're providing a service that is sorely needed, but when someone else proposes a away to provide that service without the debt peonage immediately it because the idea that the poor deserve the debt they take on in the first place and there's no other way.
So Payday lenders are providing a service. That service provides short term small loans, to those employed. Those utilizing the service probably have a 1,000 different reasons for wanting a short term loan. Further the people needing these loans make up a very small % of the population.

So paying electricity for everyone does not solve the other 999 reasons people need these loans an does not provide the same service these loans make. Paying 80 electric bill when they need 1,000 for rent is not the same service. It also seems like over kill. WE have a million dollar payday loan problem lets spend Billions and it still does not solve the payday problem.

The paying for electricity is nice but there is going to be a cost and that cost is going to be born by someone most likely the middle class.

Again I did not argue whether it is good or bad payday service stays around. I just said there are some ramifications for shutting them down or making it more costly to do business. But people really should not utilize them.

Last edited by ogallalabob; 05-07-2019 at 04:20 PM.
ex-President Trump Quote
05-07-2019 , 04:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
My main point is that if you are buying a stock sometime the HFT are making trades to lower the price and something they are raising the price and the same is true if you are selling. People have this notion that because these machines are trading they are somehow getting screwed but they forget that half the time it is helping them.
What? How do you think HFT firms make money?
ex-President Trump Quote
05-07-2019 , 04:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Yes the debt and deficit is a concern, but I believe our government has a spending problem and not necessarily an income problem (aka: cutting gov't spending is the solution and not increasing taxes).

trying not to be a biased repub (BTW: I'd love a dem to answer this question as how they think dems and repubs in general are trying to reduce the govt debt):

Repubs believe the way to get out of debt is to cut spending and taxes (more money in the pockets of the most productive people in our country) in an attempt to grow our way out of debt.

Dems think increasing taxes and spending which takes money out of the pockets of the most productive people in our society to give it to less productive people will get us out of debt because (they can't see the big picture) the less productive people are spending a higher % of that money and they ignore the fact that what the productive people are doing with their money is also good for an economy.
also because lol
percent increase

reagen increased debt 186 percent
bush increased 54 percent
clinton 32 percent
bush 101 percent
obama 74 percent
trump predicted to increase the debt by atleast 91 percent

but yeah, democrats need to defend their debt plan, when every republican that takes over immediately increases the percent of debt over the previous admin..

but the GROWTH!!1! that doesnt work..
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05-07-2019 , 04:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Glad to see your eyes have been closed for the past couple years. I suggest you keep them closed for the next 10+ years.

As I pointed out earlier we are not giving rich people more money. We are letting them keep more of the money that the population of the US voted (with their feet and checkbooks) they deserve. Secondly, when the economy grows (which will be for the rest of your life unless dems go crazy beyond anything seriously being talked about today or birth rates drastically shrink) the rich will always get richer and it is very likely over the next 20 years the poorer will get richer too.
insert economic growth graph that has been an upward line since after the recession..
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05-07-2019 , 04:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
Glad to see your eyes have been closed for the past couple years. I suggest you keep them closed for the next 10+ years.

As I pointed out earlier we are not giving rich people more money. We are letting them keep more of the money that the population of the US voted (with their feet and checkbooks) they deserve. Secondly, when the economy grows (which will be for the rest of your life unless dems go crazy beyond anything seriously being talked about today or birth rates drastically shrink) the rich will always get richer and it is very likely over the next 20 years the poorer will get richer too.
I'm still not sure what you're talking about. You made an empirical claim. That giving "more productive" (but in reality it's richer, because no one's actually sorting on someone's personal productivity) people money means higher growth.

The trend for the last 20-30 years has been lower growth even as income inequality has meant the rich have been getting relatively richer.

As far as "growth for our lifetimes". I mean come one, no one would make that prediction, especially saying, "unless the Democrats do something". China could descend into civil war tomorrow and the US would have a recession through the fault of absolutely nobody in the US
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05-07-2019 , 05:39 PM
Not for anything but "We have the wizards in charge and they're conquered the business cycle. Just do tax cuts from now on and everything will be fine" was the mantra of the last Republican administration and that turned out fine.
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05-07-2019 , 06:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeflonDawg

It isn't so much that the general principle is wrong, it's that people act like taking a little of the top and investing in the bottom and middle in a more direct, concentrated effort won't bring about a better ROI than just letting all the rich ****s not have to pay more taxes. Multipliers, bro...Sustaining a continual support system for people who have none and struggle eventually leads to those people being self sustaining. Or at least improves the sustenance of the next generation. We are watching other countries do this now while we pretend we can't do the same thing. I'd argue we can do something superior, the powers that be just don't want us to.
I’m not pretending we "can’t" do it. I put the cost of attaining genuine equality of opportunity for all Americans at $1.5-2.0T a year. And when all is said and done our economy is generating a $3-4T/yr. surplus. So the money is there. But redirecting it comes at a cost because roughly half of that $3-4T is used just to keep the economy functioning at its current rate, with the other half going towards increasing our productive capacity. That’s blurry but it’s the big picture as I see it.

So in my view if we were to redirect that $1.5-2T to the aforementioned equality, there wouldn’t be anything left over to improve our living standards heading into the future. That’s the opportunity cost of taxing the rich and redistributing it to the poor as I see it, which really has little to do with the rich themselves. If instead their income went to the government, I'd still say we shouldn't spend all of it. It's called budgeting: here's what we made, here's the percentage we're setting aside for future prosperity and here's what's left to consume... in that order.
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05-07-2019 , 11:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slighted
insert economic growth graph that has been an upward line since after the recession..
Look at economic growth under Obama’s 8 years and then in 6 years look at it for the 8 years after Obama. Not only will it be higher but Obama took over at the best time to take over as president in the last 50 years. If govt fixes mark to market accounting rules the day he’s elected we could have seen trump like economic growth if Obama did nothing.
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05-08-2019 , 12:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
I'm still not sure what you're talking about. You made an empirical claim. That giving "more productive" (but in reality it's richer, because no one's actually sorting on someone's personal productivity) people money means higher growth.

The trend for the last 20-30 years has been lower growth even as income inequality has meant the rich have been getting relatively richer.

As far as "growth for our lifetimes". I mean come one, no one would make that prediction, especially saying, "unless the Democrats do something". China could descend into civil war tomorrow and the US would have a recession through the fault of absolutely nobody in the US
There is no sense in arguing against you that incentivizing innovation is good.

As I’ve said before the rich will always get richer in an economy as free as the US so I’m not sure what you are arguing against in your 2nd paragraph. Rich people kept relatively less than under Obama than in previous administration and that is part of the reason we saw slow growth.

A Chinese recession or civil war could cause a US recession but it would be unlikely. Trade with China makes up a small % of the US’s economy.
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05-08-2019 , 12:41 AM
Whoever leaked the Trump information is risking disbarment but what's been leaked has been open secret in NY banking/legal circles for years. Trump doesn't know how to run a profitable business if his life depended on it but he's very good at extracting money out of bankruptcies and scamming people.

Last edited by grizy; 05-08-2019 at 12:51 AM.
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05-08-2019 , 02:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by John21
So in my view if we were to redirect that $1.5-2T to the aforementioned equality, there wouldn’t be anything left over to improve our living standards heading into the future.
Aside from medical advances, which I am sure many people would continue to strive for even if it didn't make them wealthy, what improvement in living standards among the non poor, at this point in time, did you have in mind that would make it worth for so many people to live in poverty now?
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05-08-2019 , 04:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
Aside from medical advances, which I am sure many people would continue to strive for even if it didn't make them wealthy, what improvement in living standards among the non poor, at this point in time, did you have in mind that would make it worth for so many people to live in poverty now?
Maybe doing so would delay or prevent discovering a cure for cancer or a longevity drug resulting in millions of untimely deaths. Who knows. But that’s speculative. What’s not speculative is the latent human potential that wouldn’t be actualized and the resulting loss in productivity and overall prosperity. For example, suppose we stopped investing back when and the tech boom just never happened. Think of all the people employed in that sector and the prosperity it has brought not only to them personally but to all of us—it’s the (exaggerated) equivalent of having all that productivity and prosperity potential at work plowing a field.

Anyway, your question is pretty much the fulcrum of the debate, at least as the debate goes on in my mind. Like I said, I think those who say we can’t afford it and those who say it won’t cost much are both wrong. We can and it will, but a lot of people will still suffer some degree of harm whether we do or we don’t.
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05-08-2019 , 05:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Original Position
What? How do you think HFT firms make money?
Arbitrage for the most part. As far as “usefulness” for investors, higher liquidity and tighter bid/ask spreads to me are very “useful.”
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05-08-2019 , 07:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
There is no sense in arguing against you that incentivizing innovation is good.



As I’ve said before the rich will always get richer in an economy as free as the US so I’m not sure what you are arguing against in your 2nd paragraph. Rich people kept relatively less than under Obama than in previous administration and that is part of the reason we saw slow growth.



A Chinese recession or civil war could cause a US recession but it would be unlikely. Trade with China makes up a small % of the US’s economy.
Again, you presented an empirical claim, that by giving the wealthy relatively more money we care incentivizing investment and therefor we will see higher growth.

I point out that as far as empirical evidence goes that claim doesn't hold up. We've seen relatively more money go to the richest and we've seen growth slow down in the US over the last 30 to 40 years.

We've seen companies who don't give their richest a larger share of the income have growth.

All of which means there are probably some confounding factors in your theory.
ex-President Trump Quote
05-08-2019 , 07:49 AM
There will never be emperical evidence in our lifetimes that prove many things in the field of economics. Too many variables and the sample size will be too small.

What do you mean we give relativity more money go to the richest? Relative to what?
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05-08-2019 , 09:45 AM
Relative to the proportion of wealth that the rich received in earlier time periods. As measured by the gini coefficient. Take whatever gini coefficient you want they all that proportionately wealth, income, etc has all been relatively shifted upward.
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05-08-2019 , 09:46 AM


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05-08-2019 , 09:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by grizy
Whoever leaked the Trump information is risking disbarment but what's been leaked has been open secret in NY banking/legal circles for years. Trump doesn't know how to run a profitable business if his life depended on it but he's very good at extracting money out of bankruptcies and scamming people.
Is it as simple as his dad kept him afloat, or are these just paper losses and he's actually super savvy
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05-08-2019 , 10:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Is it as simple as his dad kept him afloat, or are these just paper losses and he's actually super savvy
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05-08-2019 , 10:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Is it as simple as his dad kept him afloat, or are these just paper losses and he's actually super savvy
Probably a lot of both. Except “savvy” seems like a euphemism in this spot.
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05-08-2019 , 10:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
Relative to the proportion of wealth that the rich received in earlier time periods. As measured by the gini coefficient. Take whatever gini coefficient you want they all that proportionately wealth, income, etc has all been relatively shifted upward.
So you are arguing that I am wrong that lower taxes and de-regulation is good for the poor and your example of why I'm wrong includes:

obama's 8 years, a president known for raising taxes and increasing regulation more than any president in the history of the country

The younger bush who very unwisely uttered the words, "I’ve Abandoned Free Market Principles To Save The Free Market System".

And a recession that bill clinton's administration played a huge role in when they threatened banks to give a mortgage to any breathing human?
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05-08-2019 , 10:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bahbahmickey
So you are arguing that I am wrong that lower taxes and de-regulation is good for the poor and your example of why I'm wrong includes:

obama's 8 years, a president known for raising taxes and increasing regulation more than any president in the history of the country

The younger bush who very unwisely uttered the words, "I’ve Abandoned Free Market Principles To Save The Free Market System".

And a recession that bill clinton's administration played a huge role in when they threatened banks to give a mortgage to any breathing human?
I saying people shouldn't take it as a mantra that giving money to rich people automatically means more investment which automatically means higher growth.

That's not borne out in from the experiment in which we did just that. Since the Reagan years relatively more income has gone to the wealthy but growth has slowed down.

Last edited by Huehuecoyotl; 05-08-2019 at 10:30 AM.
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05-08-2019 , 10:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl


First off, when a liberal sounds wacky from his wiki you know he's a nut.

What party and from what country is he talking about that doesn't want to give food to poor people?

Hue, not to be too picky, but I think everyone would prefer you write a sentence or two when you post tweets. Maybe write why you posted the tweet, if you agree/disagree with the tweet or maybe what you think is the education level of the author of the tweet who starts the question with "like".
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05-08-2019 , 10:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
I saying people shouldn't take it as a mantra that giving money to rich people automatically means more investment which automatically means higher growth.
If the rich aren't investing the money what are they doing with it and how does that action help or hurt the poor or middle class?

Spoiler:
hint: they all help the poor or middle class
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05-08-2019 , 10:37 AM
wasn't it that great Chinese philosopher Ying Yang YU that said
"if you give everyone the same amount of money, in 2 years 10% of the people will have 90% of the money"?
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