***Election Week Sweat Thread*** (renamed) - Page 7 - Politics and Society -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

David Dorm
Dave Patrick Underwood
Damon Gutzwiler
Shay Mikalonis (vegetable for life)
Max Brewer (was critical at one point, I don't know if he lived)

There are dozens and dozens of incidences of police being shot at, blinded, or otherwise seriously injured by BLM/Antifa protestors. You're not correct on your facts.

Ok I'll take McVeigh...for starters. Let us know when you catch up

11-03-2020 , 04:48 PM

#152

JoeC2012

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 2,717

Quote:

Originally Posted by 27offsuit

Does he ever post bets he loses? It's kinda tilting how like 90% of the poker community slurps him / thinks he's some kind of oracle; in reality I'm sure he has edge on a lot of his bets but is also just a lot louder about his wins than other people.

11-03-2020 , 04:48 PM

#153

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Quote:

Originally Posted by Howard Treesong

Dave Patrick Underwood and Damon Gutzwiler were killed by a rightwing extremist. Shay Mikalonis wasn't shot by someone participating in the protest at all but instead firing at quasi random into the crowd. It's unclear whether the guy who hit Max Brewer was a protester or not, from the news articles I looked at. He might have just been a drunk.

11-03-2020 , 04:53 PM

#154

MrWookie

Don't Call Me Meredith

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 94,159

Quote:

Originally Posted by wet work

Ok I'll take McVeigh...for starters. Let us know when you catch up

Dude, his own list has at most two people killed by people with some sort of connection to the George Floyd protests. Two were by a rightwing extremist. And one was a guy just firing at the crowd.

11-03-2020 , 04:58 PM

#155

GodgersWOAT

banned

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 3,524

Quote:

Originally Posted by Howard Treesong

There are dozens and dozens of instances of police killing people that posed little to no threat.

Case dismissed, counselor.

11-03-2020 , 05:01 PM

#156

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,995

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

Florida really does hit it out of the park when it comes to the nuts and bolts of administering elections.

11-03-2020 , 05:02 PM

#157

King Spew

Just average

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 15,245

Bark up the wrong tree-song

11-03-2020 , 05:06 PM

#158

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

Quote:

Originally Posted by goofyballer

I think it should be uncontroversial to say that, should the election go against their side, the left is more likely to do violence against windowpanes and the right is more likely to do violence against human lives.

yep, rememeber the right winger that shot that Biden supporter in broad daylight in Denver a few weeks back.

oh wait...

11-03-2020 , 05:07 PM

#159

goofyballer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 70,719

Quote:

Originally Posted by Howard Treesong

David Dorm
Dave Patrick Underwood
Damon Gutzwiler
Shay Mikalonis (vegetable for life)
Max Brewer (was critical at one point, I don't know if he lived)

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrWookie

Dave Patrick Underwood and Damon Gutzwiler were killed by a rightwing extremist.

LOL

11-03-2020 , 05:08 PM

#160

SpinMeRightRound

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 2,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

ABC News / Washington Post, New York Times Siena (large sample), Monmouth, those are pretty much the best polls there are and last week and this weekend they all have Biden +6 or +7 in PA ... they got bumped out of the RCP average by new low quality polls spammed in the last one or two days.

They are all left wing biased organizations. Why are these polls accepted, but ones done by right wing organizations are ignored?

11-03-2020 , 05:09 PM

#161

JoeC2012

veteran

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 2,717

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

They are all democrat biased organizations. Why are these polls accepted, but ones done by right wing organizations are ignored?

Fox News polling is great actually

11-03-2020 , 05:10 PM

#162

Schlitz mmmm

banned

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 28,182

I'm nuts about your b0lts

11-03-2020 , 05:10 PM

#163

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,991

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

They are all left wing biased organizations. Why are these polls accepted, but ones done by right wing organizations are ignored?

You’ve asked this question before.

11-03-2020 , 05:17 PM

#164

SereneTuna

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2020 Posts: 187

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shuffle

One bigger clown running for president than Trump

What's the o/u on how many write in votes Kanye gets? 0.07%?

11-03-2020 , 05:17 PM

#165

uke_master

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 16,041

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

They are all left wing biased organizations. Why are these polls accepted, but ones done by right wing organizations are ignored?

oh man I am going to be enjoying tonight so much. Please post regularly.

11-03-2020 , 05:20 PM

#166

Used2Play

adept

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 784

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slighted

cant believe we dont have the first counties closed itt already..

dixxville/millsfield counties in NH.
total votes-

trump-16
biden-10

2016 was trump 18 clinton 8 apparently.

Interesting. If it’s all the same people/nobody died then two voters had buyers remorse with trump. I hope that ratio of trump voters with buyers remorse holds up nationwide

11-03-2020 , 05:26 PM

#167

SpinMeRightRound

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 2,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by LKJ

You’ve asked this question before.

Quote:

Originally Posted by uke_master

oh man I am going to be enjoying tonight so much. Please post regularly.

Just looking for some impartiality on the matter. It's hard to sift through all the noise and bias when it comes to politics.

11-03-2020 , 05:27 PM

#168

27offsuit

actions have consequences!

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 38,550

Legit thought this was a Project Lincoln add until about halfway through

11-03-2020 , 05:29 PM

#169

27offsuit

actions have consequences!

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 38,550

Quote:

Originally Posted by JoeC2012

He would certainly post his losses...if he had any.

11-03-2020 , 05:29 PM

#170

GTO2.0

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,811

Grunching, but has anyone mentioned yet how the polls were WRONG last time yet?

11-03-2020 , 05:35 PM

#171

maulaga58

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 2,048

Something caused a 12 point swing in NC toward Biden on predict it.

11-03-2020 , 05:50 PM

#172

Dynasty

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 25,951

Regarding when the early Florida vote results are released, what is the "even money line"?

For example, if Biden leads by exactly 100,000 votes and that causes us to estimate that both Biden and Trump have a 50% chance of winning Florida, 100,000 would be the "even money line".

What do you think Biden's lead in the early vote needs to be for that scenario?

11-03-2020 , 06:00 PM

#173

Original Position

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 9,426

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpinMeRightRound

Maybe I did, I don't remember the answer. I just remember polls by ABC, CNN, MSNBC etc. which had Clinton up by like 10 points in 2016 and no one ever questioned them, but then a poll which has Trump up by 3, people immediately dismiss it as wrong.

Just looking for some impartiality on the matter. It's hard to sift through all the noise and bias when it comes to politics.

538 tracks how much a pollster's past results differs from the actual election results and whether there is a bias towards either the GOP or Democrats in that difference.

ABC: D+0.5
CNN: D+0.0
NYT/Siena: R+0.3
Monmouth: D+1.3
Fox News/Beacon/Shaw: D+1.4

It is typically a mistake to assume that the polling done by a media company has the same partisan lean as their opinion writers.