***Election Week Sweat Thread*** (renamed) - Page 11 - Politics and Society -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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***Election Week Sweat Thread*** (renamed)

View Poll Results: Presidential Prediction?

Biden wins a landslide

42 50.00%

Biden ekes it out

29 34.52%

Trump ekes it out

8 9.52%

Trump wins a landslide

5 5.95%

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Last

11-03-2020 , 08:56 PM

#251

itshotinvegas

banned

Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 7,899

Quote:

Originally Posted by ligastar

Yes and no. The Sunbelt could run % points different from the Midwest for example.

I was hoping FLA would go blue, just for you, since you put work in.

11-03-2020 , 08:57 PM

#252

grizy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 20,611

If, as it seems increasingly likely, Biden loses FL, he's going to need GA... and that's not looking good.

11-03-2020 , 08:58 PM

#253

RobinFriday

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 103

Trump moving in the right direction on Betfair, now a circa 42% shot. Historically betting markets have been too slow to adjust to early results so this is great news.

Last edited by RobinFriday; 11-03-2020 at 08:58 PM. Reason: Great news for PATRIOTS

11-03-2020 , 08:58 PM

#254

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,096

Biden can stil win FL and he can still win without FL.

brownard was so huge fo Dems i eas surprised by that andalso surprised how dade county was this close wtf.

I absolutely think wi is goign blue and so is Mi

idk why dems are all doom and gloom rn

11-03-2020 , 09:00 PM

#255

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,096

OH most hard lib counties are in but biden has a bigger lead than clinton did. trump down 400k isnt good

11-03-2020 , 09:00 PM

#256

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,995

Quote:

Originally Posted by itshotinvegas

I was hoping FLA would go blue, just for you, since you put work in.

The lack of a viable strategy for the CUB/VEN vote may have kneecapped the Biden/Harris ticket.

11-03-2020 , 09:01 PM

#257

DisGunBGud

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

Quote:

Originally Posted by DonkJr

Yes. Regardless of what some may say, FL is absolutely a swing state and probably indicative of what is going to happen in other close states.

No it isn't Cubans turned out for Trump

11-03-2020 , 09:02 PM

#258

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,096

trump gettign whacked in ohio got damn. biden outperforming clinton massively

11-03-2020 , 09:03 PM

#259

EADGBE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 15,841

Quote:

Originally Posted by grizy

If, as it seems increasingly likely, Biden loses FL, he's going to need GA... and that's not looking good.

OH looking better than expected though.

11-03-2020 , 09:03 PM

#260

GodgersWOAT

banned

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 3,524

Quote:

Originally Posted by grizy

Oh lord, Biden is probably losing Florida. Holy ****.

Doesn’t matter.

No Cubans anywhere else.

11-03-2020 , 09:04 PM

#261

GodgersWOAT

banned

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 3,524

Quote:

Originally Posted by grizy

If, as it seems increasingly likely, Biden loses FL, he's going to need GA... and that's not looking good.

Lol no.

He needs Penn.

Georgia would be icing. Ohio looking good, too!

11-03-2020 , 09:04 PM

#262

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,096

Trump needed to win OH or MI even before PA is talked about imo

11-03-2020 , 09:04 PM

#263

Nepeeme2008

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 2,913

In the sports betting forum, everyone is already giving Florida to Trump.
Hmm?

Let's not jinx this boys. GO GO!

11-03-2020 , 09:05 PM

#264

grizy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 20,611

Trump dramatically improved his Latino support from 35% to 45% in Florida.

The conservative Cuban and Venezuelan, deeply Catholic and often with living memories of socialist regimes, very likely were won over by cries of Biden=Socialist and Barret.

PS: I am trying to manage expectations. I think Biden is still in good shape.

11-03-2020 , 09:05 PM

#265

grando1.0

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 17,111

Lol sports betting forum

11-03-2020 , 09:06 PM

#266

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,096

bettins sites went from +135 to +100 to back to + 130

11-03-2020 , 09:06 PM

#267

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,995

Trump 2020 outperforms Trump 2016 in Broward County. Florida is done. Trump wins Florida.

11-03-2020 , 09:07 PM

#268

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 95,991

11-03-2020 , 09:07 PM

#269

the pleasure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 6,096

Quote:

Originally Posted by ligastar

Trump 2020 outperforms Trump 2016 in Broward County. Florida is done. Trump wins Florida.

Biden outperformed clinton everywhere else tho as well, especially on west coast

11-03-2020 , 09:09 PM

#270

SpinMeRightRound

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 2,723

Quote:

Originally Posted by the pleasure

Biden outperformed clinton everywhere else tho as well, especially on west coast

So who is going to win Florida? The suspense is killing me!

11-03-2020 , 09:10 PM

#271

DonkJr

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 5,343

Quote:

Originally Posted by DisGunBGud

No it isn't Cubans turned out for Trump

As a Cuban-American that has always lived in FL, I can say that the Cuban vote is really not that complicated to figure out. They are staunchly anti-left and as a group they are one of the most economically prosperous ethnic groups in this country. Why they are going for Trump here at a higher percentage than in previous elections is a mystery to me right now, though.