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Originally Posted by Baltimore Jones
Courting Republicans didn't work, and in fact quite likely hurt Democrats down-ballot. By featuring ****ing conservative goons at the DNC and saying how great GW Bush is, you're telling your voters "hey come on man, they're good people, they want good things, we'll work together!" which is not correct or effective.
What's your argument for the bolded? Courting Republicans seems to have helped Joe Biden win - for instance he will likely barely win Arizona, where he was endorsed by former GOP Senator Jeff Flake and Cindy McCain. He ran two points ahead of the generic Democratic candidate. What's the case it hurt candidates downballot? Just that they did worse than expected based on a polling error?
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In a normal world, Nancy Pelosi would rightly be seen as a disgrace and would be forced to resign. Instead, the media (and most normies) somehow allow her and the rest of leadership to blame everything on the left. Should have seen it coming, but no matter what happened, they were going to punch left.
Few politicians will resign their position for winning by a smaller margin than expected. But she definitely should have resigned after 2010 and probably 2014 as well.
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Try to look at this free from your political leanings:
A) "Bernie is unelectable and radical, we must not nominate Bernie, we need a sensible moderate. We will suffer horrid down-ballot losses if we nominate Bernie. We need to appeal to conservatives."
B) The most conservative of the group, the "electable" guy, wins the nomination, and publicly denounces Bernie and his policies. "I beat Bernie".
C) President is universally recognized as having handled a pandemic horribly, leading to hundreds of thousands of excess American deaths along with mass unemployment.
D) The "electable" guy squeaks out a win with horrifying down-ballot losses.
There are certainly some logical excuses for how A, B, and C could all be true even though the result was D. But, more likely, since we know B & C are factually correct, assumption A was wrong.
(C) is false. According to
exit polls, 48% of voters believe US efforts to contain the coronavirus pandemic are going very or somewhat well and overwhelming voted for Trump.
It's true that Biden won, though he wasn't the most conservative candidate (Bloomberg was). He also didn't publicly denounce Bernie. Saying that you won a primary and that the voters chose you and your platform and message instead of theirs is not a denunciation. And of course, from the GOP perspective, Biden is perceived as a tool of the AOC/Sanders left by many voters. But I agree that it is largely correct that Biden is generally perceived by the public as being personally more moderate than Sanders.
Your argument also assumes that entering the race generic Dem candidate and Trump were even and so a big boost from electability+COVID would manifest as a blowout rather than a narrow victory (if Trump entered with a lead). We don't know that this is true.
We also don't know how plastic the electorate is. Maybe big electoral boosts from events are no longer feasible and elections will all revolve around narrow swings of the electorate.
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Then throw in that Kerry and Clinton were nominated for similar versions of the A argument, and that Obama was a risky candidate nominated against the A argument (Black, Middle Eastern middle name, anti-Iraq War, progressive language). Cling on to "A" if you'd like, but idk what the f you think you're doing or what you hope to achieve next time. Just pray Kamala Harris squeaks it out?
I'm not super confident in the Obama/Hillary/Biden coalition. I'm definitely willing to listen to arguments about its weaknesses and how we can shore it up. But I don't view this as a binary where evidence that this coalition is weak shows that Bernie-style populism is strong.
Last edited by Original Position; 11-07-2020 at 01:27 PM.
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