Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
I would guess NY/NJ is completely responsible for the orange curve going negative all by itself, and if you removed those states the orange curve would look similar to the other ones.
The point that noone should probably be locking down when Ro is still clearly > 1 is fine.
But comparing and combining states that are clearly at different points of the epidemic curve, obfuscates reality IMO.
I suspect by the time Georgia got to the point where ~20% of the population had recovered infection and their deaths/million were 1000+ (as opposed to ~100 where they currently are), they would be on the downswing too, regardless of lockdown status.