I MEMBA!!!

You are maybe the WORST LEFTIST I have ever seen.

Well Played

I was invited to represent the worst of my people, in the name of diversity. I take it you received a similar invite?

MARCH 26TH?

LOL. Good catch!

Mr. Wookie used to be a decent poster here.

He's slipped a bit, lately, imo.

Maybe his mask is on too tight.

I want the old Wookie back!

This thread started good, now they are all just trying to troll me to get my goat.

The entire country is opening now. Kemp was right. The sky didn't fall.

A lockdown until a vaccine is created was never a realistic solution.

How to open and minimize the severity of the second wave was really the only discussion.

Sorry, I read May

Got it. Easy mistake. No harm, no foul!

Daily new hospitalizations and cases in GA have been trending up in the last week, but aren't at all time highs just yet. Obviously that means VICTORY, because there's no way they could keep going up.

Hoping lockdown returns soon. Can use $1200 right now.

(Sorta, kinda, maybe serious, but also sorta, kinda, maybe NOT serious.)

Hospital rates in Georgia are at 800. I week ago they were at 850.

I'm not lying, bro:

https://covidtracking.com/data/state/georgia#historical

https://www.11alive.com/article/news...d-b11e659721bf

Over the last 14 days, the average daily increase in new patients was 84.36 new patients a day. Over the previous 14-day period, the average daily increase in new patients was 93.93.



That last was from the article. I'm guessing the next 14 days, we see uptick nationwide, but not as a result of reopening, but as a result from the clustering of people in the protests.

Yeah, the uptick is in the last 7 days.

This was bound to happen. Counting deaths in a pandemic is tricky work even if you do it honestly. There is a lot of room to manipulate the data in either direction if you are intent on doing so. After making a politically motivated decision to be the tip of the spear in reopening, Kemp obviously has a lot of political incentives to push the numbers down.

I'm not sure I would agree that NJ is crushing it right now. 200 COVID deaths in the last two days is not great all. NY is doing well, and CT is doing very well.

For those who appreciate absurd things, if you drive across the state line into FL, you will be asked whether you have visited NY, NJ, CT, or LA in the last 14 days. If you answer yes, you will be told that you need to quarantine in Florida after you arrive at your destination. Florida makes no attempt to enforce the quarantine, of course, but even asking the question is a little ridiculous seeing as at least three of those four states are doing as well or better than FL right now.

Yeah, I thought a week ago there was a total of 850 people in the hospital in Georgia for COVID. I can't quite figure out how to get that data on the link you shared.

The history doesn't break out current people in hospital, just total hospilizations.

Hi Smudger! I think you missed this post:

Thoughts?

Try this link at covidtracker

If you go into the historical data you can see hospitalizations per day (though there can be some lag time problems where a state may fail to report on a particular day and then you see a big number the following day). This is what I copy into a spreadsheet daily to see how certain states are doing on a rolling avg basis (poker related states like NV, CT, NJ, PA; states that abut them: MA, NY, RI; states that have opened early with governors who had late starts at dealing with Covid: FL, GA; states where loved ones live: CA, NY, RI; states with beautiful governors: MI). To my amazement the worst of the bunch is CA. It looks like the only way their death toll can be so low is because they shut down first. But I suspect they may also have a death reporting problem. They are the only state I am tracking that is at an all time high now for Covid cases on a daily basis (7 day and 14 day rolling avgs). Whereas CT, NJ, NY are at all time lows since their peaks in mid April.

As of yesterday they have Georgia at 807 current hospitalizations total.

I also like CovidActNow

because it gives an overview on 4 key stats (Infection rate or R0, positive test rate, ICU bed capacity, and contact tracing cabability). So you can see Oregon, Vermont, and Hawaii are ready to open up basically with low risk. Washington was there a day ago but looks like they are slipping. Going to be interesting watching this as states open up.

edit: This has Georgia currently at 9% ICU bed capacity which is low (a very good thing).

NJ 7 day rolling avg low was 2 days ago. The 14 day and 21 day rolling avgs are at all time lows as of yesterday.

I tend to care more about 14 day and 21 day rolling avgs because the daily reports are somewhat volatile and also because the disease itself takes about 14 to 21 days to kill people on average so those averages reflect the impact of the course of the disease (i.e., death counts are a reflection of what the state of health was two or three weeks ago not what is going on today).

Ironic.

But the people who would travel from CT, NJ, and NY by airplane to Florida are probably more likely to have Covid than those who wouldn't IMO. By car would be another story.

Mr. Rick, the historical data is showing cumulative hospital cases, not number as of that date.

Is there a search I am missing?

Hi Smudger! Still missed it! Any thoughts on how we can use data to verify things aren't getting worse? I know it can't be the case that there is no set of statistics you would ever accept that show COVID being worse than you thought...

From memory, can't quite how to verify, when Georgia opened up, there were roughly 950 people being treated in the hospital for COVID.

Now there are roughly 800.

The whole point of shut down was to protect the hospital. Reopened for 6-7 weeks and people in the hospital for this is lower. Seems successful by that metric.

Great, that's a start. At what level do you think hospitalizations would indicate a problem?

Well, since Georgia didn't have a problem at 950, would think a lot more.

Stop trolling me. You know COVID was overblown. Everyone knows. Every state is opening up now.

Kemp was right to open when he did.