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The costs of trans visibility The costs of trans visibility

08-19-2024 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Phresh
...the Cass Review demonstrates how there is no good evidence supporting PBs.
The Cass Review did find that existing published studies appearing to support puberty blockers were of 'poor quality', that the evidence for the use of puberty blockers wasn't there, and that from now on, in England, puberty blockers should only be administered as part of a (rather overdue) clinically controlled trial.

https://cass.independent-review.uk/h.../final-report/
08-20-2024 , 11:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 57 On Red
No, the Dutch, British and Finnish studies found no benefit.
Yes, there was recently a report commissioned by the government on this due to Trans Activists claiming that since banning puberty blockers in the UK, there has been a rise in suicides.

These were the main conclusions:

Quote:
1, The data do not support the claim that there has been a large rise in suicide in young gender dysphoria patients at the Tavistock.
2, The way that this issue has been discussed on social media has been insensitive, distressing and dangerous, and goes against guidance on safe reporting of suicide.
3, The claims that have been placed in the public domain do not meet basic standards for statistical evidence.
4, There is a need to move away from the perception that puberty-blocking drugs are the main marker of non-judgemental acceptance in this area of health care.
5, We need to ensure high quality data in which everyone has confidence, as the basis of improved safety for this at risk group of young people.
Completely debunking the idea that young gender dysphoria patients will kill themselves if they are not allowed to medically transition.
08-20-2024 , 01:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elrazor
Yes, there was recently a report commissioned by the government on this due to Trans Activists claiming that since banning puberty blockers in the UK, there has been a rise in suicides.

These were the main conclusions:



Completely debunking the idea that young gender dysphoria patients will kill themselves if they are not allowed to medically transition.
Its been 4 months. Are you expecting ritualistic suicide in protest or something?
08-20-2024 , 02:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Its been 4 months. Are you expecting ritualistic suicide in protest or something?
Ehm no it has been longer elsewhere, and sample size grows a lot when you add other countries.

If lack of access to puberty blockers caused suicides, it would be clear in the combined data of all the various countries (and american states) which stopped prescribing PBs for gender disphoria.
08-20-2024 , 03:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Its been 4 months. Are you expecting ritualistic suicide in protest or something?
It's actually been several years since the 2020 High Court ruling in Bell v Tavistock led to suspension of the use of blockers on the grounds that under-16s did not have the 'Gillick competence' to consent in law. Even though the Supreme Court overturned the ruling in 2021, the use of blockers never really came back due to legal fears on the part of clinicians. Activists, specifically talking about Bell v Tavistock, recently claimed that this has caused a huge spike in suicides. The government report found that it hasn't had a measurable effect on the suicide rate at all.
08-20-2024 , 03:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
Ehm no it has been longer elsewhere, and sample size grows a lot when you add other countries.

If lack of access to puberty blockers caused suicides, it would be clear in the combined data of all the various countries (and american states) which stopped prescribing PBs for gender disphoria.
This is the perfect time to post this slam dunk data I've been begging yall for the last month
08-20-2024 , 04:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
This is the perfect time to post this slam dunk data I've been begging yall for the last month
Somebody just linked you a report debunking the nonsense you claim and your response was ''It'S oNlY bEeN fOuR mOnThS''.
08-20-2024 , 04:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Betraisefold22
Somebody just linked you a report debunking the nonsense you claim and your response was ''It'S oNlY bEeN fOuR mOnThS''.
Cass reports objective conclusion was "There isn't enough data and the data we have is questionable"
08-20-2024 , 04:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
This is the perfect time to post this slam dunk data I've been begging yall for the last month
Onus of proof is entirely yours not ours lol.

You have to prove that I drug with immense side effects works SO WELL, even given the disastrous side effects it's use is warranted, not us.

You have to prove to the effect of removing that drug is so huge, it has to be used again even if it permanently changes the life trajectory of a person in the most formative years of his life.

I don't have to prove anything I can sit here and wait for data and say "not enough", that's how it works when you want to touch children. You do all the work and it has to satisfy us completely, or you don't touch them.
08-20-2024 , 04:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Cass reports objective conclusion was "There isn't enough data and the data we have is questionable"
boy you're slow.
08-20-2024 , 04:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
Onus of proof is entirely yours not ours lol.

You have to prove that I drug with immense side effects works SO WELL, even given the disastrous side effects it's use is warranted, not us.

You have to prove to the effect of removing that drug is so huge, it has to be used again even if it permanently changes the life trajectory of a person in the most formative years of his life.

I don't have to prove anything I can sit here and wait for data and say "not enough", that's how it works when you want to touch children. You do all the work and it has to satisfy us completely, or you don't touch them.
This seems to always be the challenge with them. They make a wild claim, link some obscure nonsensical paper written by Dr. Nobody who has a PHD in communication and gender studies yet it's on the rest of the world to debunk said wild claim. It's so backwards.
08-20-2024 , 05:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Betraisefold22
This seems to always be the challenge with them. They make a wild claim, link some obscure nonsensical paper written by Dr. Nobody who has a PHD in communication and gender studies yet it's on the rest of the world to debunk said wild claim. It's so backwards.
According to the Cass report itself, of the studies analyzed, 58% were moderate to high quality

This included support for puberty blockers and hormone therapy.

They will hold clinical trials for puberty blockers in children under 18 next year

You guys do realize they are still moving forward with all this, right? GIDS and Tavistock were just replaced by other institutes with more oversight. They are still going to give kids blockers. Very little has fundamentally changed

You all seem to think that the Cass report resulted in the total ban of puberty blockers but that isn't the case.
08-20-2024 , 05:17 PM
Maybe you guys should rethink this whole "The Cass report was so damaging to puberty blockers that they want to conduct high quality research into its effectiveness and are allowing current patients to continue their same treatment" stance

Its a bit of a paradox
08-20-2024 , 05:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Maybe you guys should rethink this whole "The Cass report was so damaging to puberty blockers that they want to conduct high quality research into its effectiveness and are allowing current patients to continue their same treatment" stance

Its a bit of a paradox
The previous consensus in the UK was that you were a fascist monster if you even suggested to stop those treatments.

Now we are at "treatments are stopped except in a specific trial", for the UK, and people who agree with cordie are the weird extremist minority.

We take the win we can get in reality not in utopia.

Ofc it's incredible we even discuss this and the only normal choice would be to do like republican led states to ban anything related to "trans care" in minors, it's insane anything exists in that space.

And physicians evading those rules should face the harshest penalities possible.

That's the goal but we any single person we can save from that anywhere in the world is a win anyway.
08-20-2024 , 05:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
The previous consensus in the UK was that you were a fascist monster if you even suggested to stop those treatments.

Now we are at "treatments are stopped except in a specific trial", for the UK, and people who agree with cordie are the weird extremist minority.

We take the win we can get in reality not in utopia.

Ofc it's incredible we even discuss this and the only normal choice would be to do like republican led states to ban anything related to "trans care" in minors, it's insane anything exists in that space.

And physicians evading those rules should face the harshest penalities possible.

That's the goal but we any single person we can save from that anywhere in the world is a win anyway.
I can't find anything in Cass's recommendations that I find offensive or even particularly disagree with
08-21-2024 , 10:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom

And physicians evading those rules should face the harshest penalities possible.

That's the goal but we any single person we can save from that anywhere in the world is a win anyway.
Seems like you are on quite the morale crusade- saving one transgender child at a time. Sorry, but I would rather rely on the medical professionals.

It’s hard to take seriously your complaints about being called a fascist when you follow it up immediately with “ as long as the doctors do what I want, they will not be subjected to the harshest penalties (which all seem to be death in Luciomtopia)” posts.
08-21-2024 , 12:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luciom
Ehm no it has been longer elsewhere, and sample size grows a lot when you add other countries.

If lack of access to puberty blockers caused suicides, it would be clear in the combined data of all the various countries (and american states) which stopped prescribing PBs for gender disphoria.
Not to mention, there are plenty of countries with absolutely no support for this alleged trans-identity (or gay rights). If trans-identity wasn't largely a social contagion, you'd see a massive number of teen suicides in countries where they don't allow "transition." Yet we do not see this reflected in the data.

Obviously GD is a real thing and we need to treat those who are persistently dysphoric, but it's obvious that social contagion plays a huge role in the explosion of trans-identifying youth.


coordi is very difficult to discuss anything with because he doesn't seem to understand very basic concepts like sample-size, burden of proof, etc.

Quote:
According to the Cass report itself, of the studies analyzed, 58% were moderate to high quality

This included support for puberty blockers and hormone therapy.
Please tell me which page it says this: https://cass.independent-review.uk/w...view_Final.pdf

You think 42% of the studies they used for analysis were low-quality? You don't think they just excluded them?


Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Maybe you guys should rethink this whole "The Cass report was so damaging to puberty blockers that they want to conduct high quality research into its effectiveness and are allowing current patients to continue their same treatment" stance

Its a bit of a paradox
What? The issue is that people have been swearing that PB are not only effective and safe, but actually "fully reversible" (which is not true at all, obviously, and makes no sense). People on your end call people like me evil for saying there isn't any evidence base like they claim. That's what Cass demonstrated. Why aren't you up in arms that we've been giving children harmful drugs like PBs that they don't need? Isn't it kind of insane that we give little boys "care" that leaves them with a permanent micropenis when they aren't even old enough to drive a car? I guess that makes me evil, eh?


Quote:
Originally Posted by jjjou812
Seems like you are on quite the morale crusade- saving one transgender child at a time. Sorry, but I would rather rely on the medical professionals
You mean the professionals that parrot what you want and not the ones who try to speak out? Dr. Cass is a medical professional. Entire countries have been speaking out against the lack of evidence for "gender-affirming care." Why are you discounting those professionals? Don't we all know someone who got hooked on opiates prescribed from "medical professionals" anyway? $eem$ like they have good rea$on to tell u$ lie$ about thi$ treatment, no?

Last edited by Phresh; 08-21-2024 at 12:43 PM.
08-21-2024 , 12:35 PM
Not only entire "countries", but the scientific bodies in charge of public health care recommandations in some of the most advanced countries in the world.

Denmark for example

/

In the course of less than a decade, like every other Western country, Denmark experienced an exponential increase in the number of young people presenting with gender dysphoria. In 2014, there were only 4 documented pediatric cases who requested gender reassignment. By 2022, the number of referrals grew by 8700% to 352, similar to the several-thousand-percent increase in less than a decade witnessed by a number of Western countries. As the number of young people wishing to undergo gender reassignment increased, so did the rates at which Danish gender clinicians transitioned them. By 2018, Denmark's centralized gender service was medically transitioning 65% of referred youth. This was similar to the proportion of referred children who got transitioned reported by other pediatric gender clinics. For purposes of comparison, the Netherland’s Amsterdam gender clinic reports transitioning 73% of late-onset referrals and 85% of early-onset referrals and in the US, researchers analyzing data from Seattle Children’s Hospital gender clinic reported that over 60% of the referrals underwent medical transition with puberty blockers or cross-sex hormones within one year of intake.

However, following systematic reviews of evidence conducted in Europe and the subsequent reversal of the “gender-affirmation” paradigm in favor of a cautious, developmentally-informed approach that prioritizes psychosocial support and noninvasive resolution of gender distress in Sweden and Finland, Denmark appears to have made a quiet but resolute shift to treat most youth presenting with gender dysphoria with supportive counseling rather than puberty blockers, hormones, or surgery. In 2022, only 6% of those referred to Denmark’s centralized gender clinic were prescribed endocrine interventions (puberty blockers and/or cross-sex hormones).*

The rationale for this shift was explained in a recent publication in Ugeskrift for Læger (“Weekly Journal for Physicians”), the Journal of the Danish Medical Association. This Danish-language article provides one of the most sober discussions to date of the inherent medical and ethical uncertainties of providing minors with profound, life-altering interventions in the context of very limited understanding of the epidemiological shift in the population presenting for care, the growing rates of detransition, and the profound uncertainty about long-term outcomes.

https://segm.org/Denmark-sharply-res...er-transitions
08-21-2024 , 12:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Phresh
coordi is very difficult to discuss anything with because he doesn't seem to understand very basic concepts like sample-size, burden of proof, etc
good post but i do want to emphasize that the most heartbreaking part of this is that coordi absolutely does understand those things


he's just too emotionally driven on this issue that he puts the blinders on and falls prey to one of the more common logical fallacies out there https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias


he's just so caught up in an us vs them that he automatically credits anything people say that he finds supportive as correct and anything to the contrary to be bad science written by hateful people

and lately this has been extended to derivatives of the subject such as where he now glibly posts that i said the democratic party were just like the khmer rouge and that you advocate for the mass extinction of dogs which btw i haven't bothered fact checking, but even if that is your position then it's not exactly a wild one but rather a fairly commonly held one

i have friends with pit bulls who regularly tell me that there's certain dog parks they are not allowed to go to, that certain friends refuse to allow their dogs anywhere near their children, etc etc

are most pit bulls dangerous? no

but dogs which fall under the pit bull umbrella are about 5% of the overall dog population yet account for 25% of all recorded dog attacks and 60% of all fatal dog attacks - so it is without question not only a far more physically dangerous breed but a more agressive one as well

yes, a properly trained pit bull is not a threat, but remember, that's the entire argument put forward by the NRA as well, just swap dogs for gun owners


i like you coordi, i think you're a great poster, would definitely meet up for a meal or drinks if we ever cross paths, but you've absolutely lost perspective in this thing you've framed as an "us against the world" issue
08-21-2024 , 01:24 PM
Yeah I'm not going to engage in this "Coordi is" sophistry from you two. Hardly seems productive.

I think making long multiple paragraph posts about my mental state on this topic is probably against the rules but w/e

Quote:
Not to mention, there are plenty of countries with absolutely no support for this alleged trans-identity (or gay rights). If trans-identity wasn't largely a social contagion, you'd see a massive number of teen suicides in countries where they don't allow "transition." Yet we do not see this reflected in the data.

Obviously GD is a real thing and we need to treat those who are persistently dysphoric, but it's obvious that social contagion plays a huge role in the explosion of trans-identifying youth.


coordi is very difficult to discuss anything with because he doesn't seem to understand very basic concepts like sample-size, burden of proof, etc.
You haven't posted a lick of data. You are just making claims about things like its common knowledge yet you have provided zero proof. Incredibly ironic you bring up burden of proof, yet your main point (social contagion) is widely contested and has no proof to back it up.

Quote:
Please tell me which page it says this: https://cass.independent-review.uk/w...view_Final.pdf

You think 42% of the studies they used for analysis were low-quality? You don't think they just excluded them?
If you read the report then you would know they excluded them. I was responding to a post calling all studies "bad" that even according to Cass most studies were "good"


Quote:
What? The issue is that people have been swearing that PB are not only effective and safe, but actually "fully reversible" (which is not true at all, obviously, and makes no sense). People on your end call people like me evil for saying there isn't any evidence base like they claim. That's what Cass demonstrated. Why aren't you up in arms that we've been giving children harmful drugs like PBs that they don't need? Isn't it kind of insane that we give little boys "care" that leaves them with a permanent micropenis when they aren't even old enough to drive a car? I guess that makes me evil, eh?
This seems like a reading comprehension issue. Cass says that the studies are insufficient and there needs to be more structure and oversight. Thats why they didn't cut any current patients off, and are allowing children to continue using puberty blockers. Thats why they are going to conduct clinical trials of the use of puberty blockers in children. Thats why they immediately opened new clinics with a new onboarding structure to provide medical care to children

From Cass herself on the subject:
Quote:
"There are young people who absolutely benefit from a medical pathway, and we need to make sure that those young people have access — under a research protocol, because we need to improve the research — but not assume that that's the right pathway for everyone."
Quote:
Cass emphasised that a medical pathway, with lifetime implications and treatment, required caution but "it's really important to say that a cis outcome and a trans outcome have equal value"
Seems you just want to use the report to claim victory and Cass directly contradicts your stance in multiple ways.

Last edited by coordi; 08-21-2024 at 01:41 PM.
08-21-2024 , 01:38 PM
Saying "This policy may come from a place of best intentions but I personally think its dangerous and you know who else thought they were acting from a place of best intentions?? The Khemer Rogue!" is objectively comparing a democrat policy to the khemer rogue. Trying to gaslight people into thinking that isn't what happened doesn't change the fact that is what happened. I don't really want to go through this again.

The Pitbull subject is incredibly straight forward. Pitbulls kill something like 20-30 people a year. There are 21,000,000 pitbulls in the US. To say a rational solution to 20-30 deaths a year is to euthanize 21,000,000 animals is objectively insane. Tell me more about sample size
08-21-2024 , 01:52 PM
Cordi do you acknowledge, and i provided a source, that Denmark has drastically reduced the use of PBs in the last years? if you do, do you accept that a lack of increase in suicide of gender disphoric minors THERE can be used to claim that stopping PBs from being used EVERYWHERE isn't going to increase suicides?

So do you understand now why your comment about the UK having stopped only 4 months ago, and so data not being available anymore, was wrong? because we have data from other countries that stopped/vastly reduced PBs use for years already, and Cass had those data at hand when the report was written?
08-21-2024 , 01:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
This seems like a reading comprehension issue. Cass says that the studies are insufficient and there needs to be more structure and oversight. Thats why they didn't cut any current patients off, and are allowing children to continue using puberty blockers. Thats why they are going to conduct clinical trials of the use of puberty blockers in children.
Quote:
On her recommendation, the N.H.S. will no longer prescribe puberty blockers outside of clinical trials.
I can't tell if you're intentionally dishonest or if I'm missing something. The quote was a recommendation given in May, even now it says puberty blockers are ONLY available during clinical trials and in SOME private clinics. No new children are being prescribed puberty blockers yet your post reads like they are?

Too many kids have been prescribed puberty blockers yet we are FINALLY going to conduct clinical trials to find out the effects of said puberty blockers. Yeah, not at all backwards right?

Quote:
If you read the report then you would know they excluded them. I was responding to a post calling all studies "bad" that even according to Cass most studies were "good"
Quote:
There are many reports that puberty
blockers are beneficial in reducing mental
distress and improving the wellbeing of children
and young people with gender dysphoria, but
as demonstrated by the systematic review the
quality of these studies is poor
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi

Puberty blockers and hormone have shown a reduced rate of suicide attempt and success after use. There isn't enough data on this but the data that is there is in favor. Pretty straight forward.
What am I missing here?
08-21-2024 , 01:54 PM
Quote:
You haven't posted a lick of data. You are just making claims about things like its common knowledge yet you have provided zero proof. Incredibly ironic you bring up burden of proof, yet your main point (social contagion) is widely contested and has no proof to back it up.
As I said, you don't seem to understand things like "burden of proof." But please, tell me what data you think I should post that would get you to concede the point I just referenced. You know you can Google "youth suicide rates" for countries that don't allow this madness, right? Why don't you take some initiative?

With that being said, there is plenty of evidence validating this being a social contagion. Like bulimia and nearly every other MH/medical social contagion before it, girls are predominately affected. Have you checked the stats yet on boy and girl representation for trans-identification? Guess who it's overwhelmingly affecting to the point of unnatural numbers. Shouldn't you expect an even split? Again, if this was biological in the sense of a trans-identify being a tangible thing, wouldn't you see similar rates throughout the world and not predominantly in Wester countries? Why do you think there's been a spike in MH disorders SO RARE that it's not even agreed they're real, such as DID, along with the rise in trans-identity? Why do you think there's a massive influx in kids presenting with tics, swearing they have Tourette's? Is that not a social contagion or what?

If you'd like to discuss the pitbull issue, you can go back to the pitbull thread where I've consistently taken a dump on your head over and over and over. I'm not trying to deal with you posting completely nonsensical takes with your made up math in multiple threads.

I have also never once said we should euthanize every pitbull. Lying because you can't understand simple things isn't really a solid debate strategy. It's what children do. This is why people in the pitbull thread just make fun of you and why you don't post there anymore. The last we heard from you, you purported that tons of children die from starvation every year with one of your illogical whataboutisms. I debunked that and you disappeared.


Quote:
If you read the report then you would know they excluded them. I was responding to a post calling all studies "bad" that even according to Cass most studies were "good"
Cass excluded the poorly performed studies from the analysis. That's what I am saying. I am saying this in response to you claiming that , "According to the Cass report itself, of the studies analyzed, 58% were moderate to high quality." Yes, I agree, someone's reading comprehension is poor. Please find me the page in the report I linked for the 58% quote please.

Last edited by Phresh; 08-21-2024 at 02:03 PM.
08-21-2024 , 01:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
Saying "This policy may come from a place of best intentions but I personally think its dangerous and you know who else thought they were acting from a place of best intentions?? The Khemer Rogue!" is objectively comparing a democrat policy to the khemer rogue. Trying to gaslight people into thinking that isn't what happened doesn't change the fact that is what happened. I don't really want to go through this again.

The Pitbull subject is incredibly straight forward. Pitbulls kill something like 20-30 people a year. There are 21,000,000 pitbulls in the US. To say a rational solution to 20-30 deaths a year is to euthanize 21,000,000 animals is objectively insane. Tell me more about sample size
Unlike the 2a, keeping a pet isn't a constitutional right in the USA. So it's a matter of basic law.

It's VERY unclear if it can be federal law, i personally don't think it could , but with some legal shenanigans and using the most expansive reading possible of some case law, maybe it is.

Even imagining it could be done by federal law, ethical and practical concerns are such that i think proposing to euthanize 21M pitbulls is insane.

That said, sterilizing them could be far more acceptable.

Anyway, a proper free market solution to this would be to mandate insurance , which makes sense even in a pseudo-libertarian world when your behaviour intrinsecally generates measurable and attributable risks to others.

If you do that, the market will find a rate for pitbulls (and any other multi-factorial element that can concur to make pitbulls more or less dangerous) that wil cover the risk. Yes i know money isn't the same as giving back a lost life but the principle is the same for cars, and everything else.

And you will have fewer pitbulls around in the medium term because some people won't like to pay (say) 600 / year instead of 35 / year of insurance.

But it's not like we ban pools because children can drown in them, even if HUNDREDS PER YEAR under the age of 5 DO in the USA (yes, hundreds. Per year. Yes it's insane).

      
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