British Politics - Page 23 - Politics and Society -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

Two games to play for election night

GAME 1.

Who will win the following seats? Guess as many correctly as you can by writing the number and the name of the party you think will win the seat.
e.g.
1. Natural Law
2. Republican
3. Whig
...
without all the other extraneous data.
(Data from http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/bat...s/conservative - entries show name of seat, current majority, swin required, 2017 winner)

Con Targets
1. Perth and North Perthshire 21 0.02% SNP
2. Kensington 20 0.03% Lab
3. Dudley North 22 0.03% Lab
4. Newcastle-under-Lyme 30 0.03% Lab
5. Crewe and Nantwich 48 0.04% Lab
6. Canterbury 187 0.16% Lab
7. Barrow and Furness 209 0.22% Lab

Lab Targets
8. Southampton Itchen 31 0.03% Con
9. Glasgow South West 60 0.08% SNP
10. Glasgow East 75 0.10% SNP
11. Arfon Wales 92 0.16% Plaid
12. Airdrie and Shotts 195 0.26% SNP
13. Pudsey 331 0.31% Con
14. Hastings and Rye 346 0.32% Con

Lib Dem targets
15. Fife North East 2 0.00% SNP
16. Richmond Park 45 0.04% Con
17. Ceredigion 104 0.13% Plaid
18. St Ives 312 0.30% Con
19. Sheffield Hallam 2,125 1.86% Lab
20. Cheltenham 2,569 2.25% Con

SNP targets
21. Stirling 148 0.15% Con
22. Rutherglen and Hamilton West 265 0.26% Lab
23. Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath 259 0.28% Lab

Plaid Target
24. Ynys Mon 5,406 7.23% Lab

SDLP Target
25. Foyle 169 0.18% SF

Entries required before 22.00 GMT (17.00 Eastern) on election night.

Quote:

Originally Posted by LektorAJ

Tiebreak for both games is earliest entry.

GAME 2
How many seats will be won by the following parties? Your score is the sum of positive differences between your guesses and the actual number of seats won by the parties, lowest score wins (in other words, guess as close to correct numbers as you can).

Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Brexit
SNP
Plaid
UKIP
Green
Speaker
Other in Great Britain
DUP
UUP
Sinn Fein
SDLP
Alliance
Other in Northern Ireland

Entries required before 22.00 GMT (17.00 Eastern) on election night.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 05:53 PM

#552

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,070

Appreciate the effort but I feel sick every time I try to think of the numbers too much

wow this is tense.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:00 PM

#553

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,862

Wow - 368 for the tories

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:01 PM

#554

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,070

****

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:02 PM

#555

NicReynolds

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 10,540

Well we can go to bed then. Gg.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:03 PM

#556

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,862

would love to be in the respective HQs right now

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:10 PM

#557

57 On Red

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 5,906

Major fail for Labour, with likely Tory majority at the upper end of longstanding poll predictions, biggest Tory win since the Eighties. Labour leadership will of course claim the only problem was they weren't left-wing enough, and will fail even bigger next time. Against the worst PM in history.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:11 PM

#558

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,827

Quote:

Originally Posted by LektorAJ

Anyone watching from outside the UK. Coverage will probably be streamed on
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000c6p0
and it's not generally geoblocked for elections. If it's elsewhere I'll post when I find it.

Not that simple this time, but people are restreaming BBC on youtube, and the rival channels are also streaming there.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:11 PM

#559

Viggorous

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2015 Posts: 23,339

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

would love to be in the respective HQs right now

Probably looks somwthing like this:
[img]https://miro.medium.com/max/2560/0*tVg00d0qTMUFVNvX.jpg[/img]

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:13 PM

#560

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,070

I'm sure they some weeks ago recognised what was obvious for years imo that they must never fight this election with brexit an open question.

****ing **** ****

c'mon major embarrassment for the exit pollsters (he says desperately)

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:17 PM

#561

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,862

Corbyn is a ****ing disaster regardless of Brexit. McDonnell clearly shaken on the BBC.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:17 PM

#562

SootedPowa

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 3,397

LBC predicting Jo Swinson to lose her seat

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:19 PM

#563

abysmal01

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2015 Posts: 1,678

Well ****

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:22 PM

#564

NicReynolds

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 10,540

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

Corbyn is a ****ing disaster regardless of Brexit. McDonnell clearly shaken on the BBC.

McDonnell should have feigned a heart attack as soon as that exit poll came out.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:23 PM

#565

Joe Pulaski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,346

as bad as this is, now brexit is all on the tories. if it goes tits up, if the nhs falters, it's on the tories. and remember every day more and more tories die, and more and more labour voters come of age. shame this is how jez goes out though, he deserved better. impossible election with a divided labour coalition on brexit, anyone saying hurrr durrr they'd have done better with so-and-so is either very dumb, or lying to themselves.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:23 PM

#566

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,070

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

Corbyn is a ****ing disaster regardless of Brexit. McDonnell clearly shaken on the BBC.

It would have very tough anyway but brexit made this outcome ('predicted', he says desperately) extremely likely.

The ramifications of this are just horrendous.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:24 PM

#567

SootedPowa

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 3,397

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:34 PM

#568

JohnCleese

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 1,935

I've just been told that Stanley Johnson is on C4 election night claiming Boris is, and always has been, pro European.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:38 PM

#569

grizy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 20,645

Lol Corbyn.

Going all socialist at last minute and fundamentally changing the election to leave people who like the status quo (remainers if you will) with no choice was just political suicide.

But I always thought Corbyn was actually pro-Brexit anyway and never really gave a **** about the EU.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:38 PM

#570

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,862

Interesting point being made that the size of Boris majority will probably mean he can face down the ERG and delay Brexit if (when) he doesn't get a deal on 12 months.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:42 PM

#571

diebitter

Grotesquely Handsome

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 65,745

Quote:

Originally Posted by abysmal01

Lol at DB still banging on about DEMOCRACY like his spiel didn't lose all credibility when he condoned BJ illegally closing down parliament because actual democratic process was inconvenient for him.

Some of us don't consider the antics involving using available democratic processes to force an antidemocratic agenda by breaking long-standing social contracts as democratic, tbh.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:44 PM

#572

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,070

Quote:

Originally Posted by Elrazor

Interesting point being made that the size of Boris majority will probably mean he can face down the ERG and delay Brexit if (when) he doesn't get a deal on 12 months.

Which was also why May wanted a bigger majority.

Tories have shifted since then though and being able to ignore the nutters is a small comfort

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:45 PM

#573

chezlaw

Limey Bastard

Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 47,070

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnCleese

I've just been told that Stanley Johnson is on C4 election night claiming Boris is, and always has been, pro European.

Probably true but he prefers power

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:45 PM

#574

diebitter

Grotesquely Handsome

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 65,745

Quote:

Originally Posted by SootedPowa

LBC predicting Jo Swinson to lose her seat

That would be the best bit of the night.

Quote

12-12-2019 , 06:46 PM

#575

57 On Red

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 5,906

In terms of seats, looks like worst Labour result since 1935. Richard Burgon has already tweeted that they just have to go further left.

Quote

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