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Biden Harris 2020 (formerly: Who Will Be...) Biden Harris 2020 (formerly: Who Will Be...)

10-06-2019 , 12:27 PM
Sure buy now but sell at like .19c...if he ever makes it that high even.
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10-06-2019 , 12:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
Sure buy now but sell at like .19c...if he ever makes it that high even.
Biden can still become president. Warren's price falls with the slightest of negative word and Biden improves if the **** merely subsides. Also, I assume that older centrist voters, people who actually vote and not talk about it would prefer to go for the candidate that the trust and fell more comfortable with.
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10-07-2019 , 08:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inso0
The year is 2037. Congress has just passed a bill increasing the number of supreme court justices to 29, hopefully allowing President Ocasio-Cortez to appoint the necessary members bring the court back to the side where it belongs. They've long waited for this day, after the conservative majority left by former President Shapiro overturned then President Warren's tax plan whereby all wages and investment distributions in the country were paid directly to the Federal Government and then redistributed to individuals based on the 93 point social justice scale.

"If we take the number from 13 to 29, there's no way these ****ers will be able to make it any higher because there isn't enough room in the chamber for any more seats", said Speaker Pelosi, clutching her gavel in her specially designed hospice quarters on Capitol Hill. "We win. It's over."
Good ole right wing wit.

Never not funny
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10-07-2019 , 10:43 AM
10-07-2019 , 05:32 PM
I sold my Warren in South Carolina at .21c and used the cash to buy that Clinton, lol. Then I deposited some and put in a buy order for Warren again at .16 in South Carolina. Idk.
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10-07-2019 , 06:24 PM
Warren taking a beating acoss the board today. In Nevada down .10c., down .06c in California. Down a bunch in Iowa. My gains cut in half. Not deterred. Buying more.
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10-07-2019 , 08:45 PM
Bought Clinton at .10, sold at .11, bought at .10 again, sold at .11 but now she's running away and is up to .14
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10-07-2019 , 09:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
There is no carnage or nothing unusual.

It's small ball horseshit on Predictit. Biden's jump was there in plain site. Big money cant influence P so you're stuck with broke degens betting 850 cheeseburgers on emotional news that someone such as yourself should know was theatrical bullshit.
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10-08-2019 , 11:35 AM
It is hard to imagine Hillary entering the race at this point, but the price on her running is up to 20 cents on PI. Seems crazy to me, but on the flip side I'm afraid to take the no side of that bet.

Things in favor of her running:
-Weak field
-Her own all-consuming desire to be president
-fact she beat Trump by 3million votes last time and he's less popular now
-only other moderate with a legit chance is old man Joe

Things against her running:
-Again? Really?
-Warren is currently one of the favorites so she'd be seen as usurping another woman's chances to be first female prez
-It's late and she has missed the debates, no teams in place in early voting states, etc.
-She has said she's not running

My head says I should load up on every Clinton No I can, seems like free money. Can't seem to pull the trigger though.
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10-08-2019 , 11:42 AM
.10c seems to be her floor for the Democratic nomination market and the price keeps hitting .13 or 14 so some quick 30% and 40% returns are possible there.
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10-08-2019 , 11:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
It is hard to imagine Hillary entering the race at this point, but the price on her running is up to 20 cents on PI. Seems crazy to me, but on the flip side I'm afraid to take the no side of that bet.

Things in favor of her running:
-Weak field
-Her own all-consuming desire to be president
-fact she beat Trump by 3million votes last time and he's less popular now
-only other moderate with a legit chance is old man Joe

Things against her running:
-Again? Really?
-Warren is currently one of the favorites so she'd be seen as usurping another woman's chances to be first female prez
-It's late and she has missed the debates, no teams in place in early voting states, etc.
-She has said she's not running

My head says I should load up on every Clinton No I can, seems like free money. Can't seem to pull the trigger though.
This I disagree with. The top 3 candidates are all beating Trump by a few points. It's a pretty strong field even if they're not all Obama strong.
Biden Harris 2020 (formerly: Who Will Be...) Quote
10-08-2019 , 01:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
It is hard to imagine Hillary entering the race at this point, but the price on her running is up to 20 cents on PI. Seems crazy to me, but on the flip side I'm afraid to take the no side of that bet.

Things in favor of her running:
-Weak field
-Her own all-consuming desire to be president
-fact she beat Trump by 3million votes last time and he's less popular now
all those millions of vote in NY & CA give her the same number of electoral votes
-only other moderate with a legit chance is old man Joe

Things against her running:
-Again? Really?
-Warren is currently one of the favorites so she'd be seen as usurping another woman's chances to be first female prez
-It's late and she has missed the debates, no teams in place in early voting states, etc.
-She has said she's not running she's a serial liar

My head says I should load up on every Clinton No I can, seems like free money. Can't seem to pull the trigger though.
save your money
Biden Harris 2020 (formerly: Who Will Be...) Quote
10-08-2019 , 01:54 PM
It isn't "good money"--at least not with the small amount in cash I have--but buy HRC low and sell high, then repeatedly do that seems to be working out well. .11c is the new floor up from .10c in the dem nomination market. Dont dump a bunch into "no" positions when you can make the same sorts of returns (with less risk) playing the HRC hype immediately. I think I'm figuring out how this all works.
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10-08-2019 , 02:29 PM
Hillary running again would be hilarious.

(pun intended)
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10-08-2019 , 02:32 PM
What happened to Buttigeg? I barely follow this stuff (which in some ways maybe is a more valuable perspective because it is probably closer to the actual swing voters that matter in general elections).

But it seems he just disappeared from the national stage and I don’t really know why.
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10-08-2019 , 02:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by joe6pack
Hillary running again would be hilarious.

(pun intended)
I think a lot of it is hype to try to sell the idea that Warren is unacceptable for the establishment--which I don't believe at all.
But if that is the situation somehow then it would be brokered convention and not her throwing her name in now, imo.
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10-08-2019 , 02:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kelhus999
What happened to Buttigeg? I barely follow this stuff (which in some ways maybe is a more valuable perspective because it is probably closer to the actual swing voters that matter in general elections).

But it seems he just disappeared from the national stage and I don’t really know why.
He doesn't excite anybody. I have money on him as a VP pick (along with Sherrod Brown, Castro, and Abrams).
But the demographic of people who like obvious Manchurian spooks and think he is a better choice than Biden is small.
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10-08-2019 , 08:11 PM
The Don had his John Oliver moment today. Obv gonna be getting BTFO. She'll show him this time. It's her turn.
Biden Harris 2020 (formerly: Who Will Be...) Quote
10-09-2019 , 11:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Luckbox Inc
It isn't "good money"--at least not with the small amount in cash I have--but buy HRC low and sell high, then repeatedly do that seems to be working out well. .11c is the new floor up from .10c in the dem nomination market. Dont dump a bunch into "no" positions when you can make the same sorts of returns (with less risk) playing the HRC hype immediately. I think I'm figuring out how this all works.
So the ability to do this seemed to dry up. I sold a couple thousand shares that I bought at .10 and .11 for 12-14 but the market is oversold (or is it overbought?). I have a buy order at .09 but not sure there can be continued demand for Clinton at prices too much higher unless news changes.
I have 850 shares of Clinton to win outright that I got at .05 and .04 that are going nowhere but I think the price might hit .06 today. Looking to dump some though.
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10-10-2019 , 09:01 PM
A good article on the self defeating chasm between working class Sanders and Professional Managerial Class Warren. A good key way to look at the class divides on the left

Quote:
When Clinton turned back Sanders’s challenge, appearing to weaponize corporate feminism and black identity politics against the socialist, Reed and Fraser became, for many on the left, the intellectuals who could explain what had happened, and the “PMC” became the key conceptual tool. The hegemonic function of the class had done its work, despite—or perversely, even because of—the subjective identity of many professionals as feminists or black radicals.

In many ways, it is difficult to deny the power of this analysis. Yet it oddly holds the PMC constant, imagining that it continues to smoothly carry out the function for which it developed a century ago, and identified in the late 1970s by the Ehrenreichs. This is particularly perverse since the Ehrenreichs’ analysis had always identified a dynamic factor: The PMC is not the ruling class, it merely serves it, deliberately or inadvertently. In this way, professionals do share something with the working class, which is why it is possible to imagine their realignment with working class interests: they share the lack of ultimate control over their conditions of labor.*
https://nplusonemag.com/online-only/...agerial-chasm/
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10-11-2019 , 12:00 PM
538 Article that looks at polling in early states
I put a money into Biden in Nevada and there is a big overlay there assuming only him and Warren have a shot.
Warren at .47c and Biden at .21c.. But Warren has never led poll there. Biden's price ought to go up there as people realize that low 20s is a great price.
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10-12-2019 , 11:53 AM
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So it's a freeroll for Biden in Nevada. If I put $30 on Sanders and buy a bit more Warren I'd be fully covered unless Buttigieg or someone not Warren/Biden/Sanders pulls out a miracle.
Everyone should do this but not before I can buy more.

Upswinging back to reality.

Last edited by Luckbox Inc; 10-12-2019 at 12:00 PM.
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10-12-2019 , 08:04 PM
Warren seems massively overvalued in many of the state markets when compared to latest polling.
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10-13-2019 , 10:49 AM


Seems like a good play, especially the part about no foreign business while Biden is president
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