Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
I don't think it is as simple with Trump as you suggest. There are a lot of prosecutors in New York who would love to tack Trump's hide on their wall. I am quite certain that the U.S. attorney's office in the SDNY isn't cowed by Trump's wealth.
I do think that prosecutors would be reluctant to bring a case against Trump unless they were highly confident of a conviction. That's because a failed prosecution of Trump is far worse for the country than no prosecution at all.
I agree Trump would be a great Trophy get but I only think that substantiates my point.
They know he will bring an A level defense team and despite Trumps blatant lawlessness, that would see others easily charged, they hold back. They are cowed into inaction if they cannot see a slam dunk win and that is bad. That is exactly what emboldens Trump and sees him get worse knowing that they are afraid to Prosecute lest they lose.
I think it is mistake to think a person is more emboldened by escaping a guilty verdict than they are by not being charged at all. There is a ton of stress and fear in court, even if you win after that most do not want to face. If you send a signal 'you are likely to not be charged' then you get far more lawlessness then if they know they will almost certainly be charged and need to win or they go to jail.
IRS tax lawbreakers are emboldened by knowing few rich people face prosecution and not by 'ya we get prosecuted most times, face real jeopardy, but can beat it'.
And I understand the view that Trump does better with wins as he trumpets it as proof of witch hunts but again disagree. Sure it may help help him with his base but I doubt, most watching these cases would move to supporting Trump if they saw all his malfeasance play out in court and the only reason he escapes is they cannot establish 'intent'.
Because as RF says above we KNOW Trump has done a lot wrong (call to Ukraine, call to Georgia Elections officials, etc) and his only defense is 'intent' and not "I did not do those bad and illegal things'.
The far bigger risk is that Trump normalizes his actions as the new bar for future POTUS and top officials. If Trump is not charged on those things how can you charge any other official who follows the same blueprint? You can't unless you admit Trump was just too powerful and popular and you are less so. It would be all over the news 'these are the same things Trump did and they were considered by Prosecutors as not chargeable at the time'.
NO, they have to charge, even if they lose so that future Politicians see there is jeopardy attached going down this road. You WILL be prosecuted so you better hope you get a jury friendly enough to win as you will be in real jeopardy if you tread on that road that Trump did.