Okay, not sure if this is the right place for this, but I didn't want to start a new thread and it seems too early for a "2011 supernova elite pursuit thread" but I wanted some advice.
Basically, I play a lot of online poker. I have a "real job" too but I probably play about 20-30 hours a week plus 10-12 hours a week at my local casino.
I recently picked up TableNinja to help with multitabling and it's really helped me increase my volume.
I feel like I'm a consistent winner at my game of choice, full ring 1-2NL with 20-50BB buy in, as I have 4BB/100 over 30K hands, and that includes a time when I was running way more tables than I could handle just trying it out (I was breakeven due to suboptimal play for about 10K hands).
So, what I am thinking is trying for SNE in 2011.
Here's my plan.
- Start adding tables with tableninja, one table per week (I currently play 8) will get me to 24 by the end of the year.
- Play enough poker to build a bankroll for higher games (I'm pretty sure I can beat 2/4 20-50, but I don't have the bankroll at the moment)
- Start 2011 cranking out the volume (I have January and February off work so I can get a good start).
- If I am still on schedule in August, quit my job and use the pokerstars supernova bonuses as my regular income (my contracts ends then, I'd simply choose not to renew).
- SNE happens
- life win
Some problems:
- I don't know if I can handle 24 tables. Right now I'm sure I can't but people have suggested that increasing slowly allows you to "get there."
- There usually aren't 24 tables of my preferred game going (just checked, and there are are 16 going). I think I can circumvent this by building a roll now until I can play one level up as well as the current level.
- I normally prefer short sessions (an hour or less). I don't know if I could/should/can do 4+ hour shifts with 24 tables.
- It seems like my table selection would go out the window. Normally I don't sit to the right of a reg with absurd 3-betting action, if I get a huge stack and only the good regs cover me I just leave, etc. but with 24 tables, I don't think I'd have time to be as picky.
- I'd be working and playing poker both "full time" the first part of the year. Ugh.
- My roll isn't where it should be (yet). I have 50 buy ins for 1-2, currently. I presume my bankroll will continue to increase and if I hit supernova this year I'll be able to cash in some of the big bonuses to build it, but, when playing this amount of hands, do you think you need even more bankroll, or not really? I can play aggressively with a bankroll for the first half of the year if necessary since I still have my "real job", but going with my plan, I'd need very conservative BR management after August as the training wheels would be coming off and poker would become my income source.
Basically, given the amount of time I spend playing poker anyway, and the limits I play at, I think that if I can gradually and successfully increase volume of tables at once and just slightly increase my playing time, it's possible for me.
I'm looking for any potential pitfalls/flaws in my plan/etc. etc. now. Basically, I want to spend 2010 getting ready, so I'm confident when I start in 2011.
Thanks for the help, I'd love to hear feedback. Sorry for the potential TLDR.